Market-adjusted points

The rule

Market-adjusted points over the season on one market: at least 15 scored picks (10 on totals) and at least +2.0 points in total. Each pick counts as a 1-point play at the no-margin market price at the time of the pick (for picks added after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week): a win adds 1/p − 1, a loss takes away 1, a push counts 0. A straight-up pick with no two-sided price at that moment is left out; a spread or total pick with no price on its own line counts at even odds.

Holders now

8

Window

season

Picks that count. Picks we recorded before kickoff; picks whose time before kickoff was set by the publishing platform (timestamped by the publishing platform) or shown by a web archive copy of the page (archive record); and, for ESPN, CBS Sports and NFL.com, picks read after the game where the outlet's own published record for that expert matches our recount (per the outlet's published record). Any other pick read after the game can only lower a record, and any known loss ends a run. Points use the fair market price at the moment of each pick, with the bookmaker margin taken out; a straight-up pick without a two-sided price at that moment is left out, a spread or total pick without a price on its own line counts at even odds, and a pick read after the game counts as a miss (−1).