Sportsbook Review · NFL 2026 · weeks 6–8
Mike Spector: NFL picks record, 2026 season
Recently added · outside the counts for now We track new betting analysts for at least 30 graded picks recorded before kickoff, over at least 30 days and 2 NFL weeks, before they appear in rankings, badges and game-page counts. So far: 27 graded picks with a pre-kickoff timestamp (recorded by us before kickoff), over 16 days and 3 NFL weeks; each pick says who set the time and when we read it.
The record below counts every pick we have, the same way as for everyone. How we record and grade picks
Record so far
- Straight up · wins‑losses‑ties
- 0-1-0 0 of 1 decided picks · no win % until 10 decided picks
- Against the spread · wins‑losses‑pushes
- 7-5-0 58.3% of 12 decided · likely range 32–81%
- Over/under · wins‑losses‑pushes
- 8-6-0 57.1% of 14 decided · likely range 33–79%
- Longest run, ATS
- 4 wins in a row this season
Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds. For each of these numbers, the likely range still includes zero.
- Against the spread, live record since Week 6: +1.9 points 12 picks scored · all priced by the market; 7-5 (58.3%); a coin flip averages 50%.
- Against the spread, 2026 season: +1.9 points 12 picks scored · all priced by the market; 7-5 (58.3%); a coin flip averages 50%.
- Over/under, live record since Week 6: +1.9 points 14 picks scored · all priced by the market; 8-6 (57.1%); a coin flip averages 50%.
- Over/under, 2026 season: +1.9 points 14 picks scored · all priced by the market; 8-6 (57.1%); a coin flip averages 50%.
A right pick on a 50-50 game earns 1 point, a right underdog pick earns more, and a wrong pick costs 1. Above zero means better than the betting odds expected. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated
27 graded picks recorded by us before kickoff; 2 picks waiting for a result.
Week 8: 6 picks recorded · see them
Market-adjusted results
Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and how picking every favorite would have done. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks read after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. How points work
| Market and period | Record in these picks | Market-adjusted points | Compared with |
|---|---|---|---|
| Straight up 2026 season | 0-1 | −1.0 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 had a market price | Every favorite: 0-0 same 0 games |
| Straight up Live record since Week 6 | 0-1 | −1.0 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 had a market price | Every favorite: 0-0 same 0 games |
| Against the spread 2026 season | 7-5 | +1.9 points 12 picks scored · all priced by the market +0.16 per pick · likely range −0.35 to +0.66 per pick | Coin flip: 50% 6 of 12 decided |
| Against the spread Live record since Week 6 | 7-5 | +1.9 points 12 picks scored · all priced by the market +0.16 per pick · likely range −0.49 to +0.52 per pick | Coin flip: 50% 6 of 12 decided |
| Over/under 2026 season | 8-6 | +1.9 points 14 picks scored · all priced by the market +0.14 per pick · likely range −0.43 to +0.70 per pick | Coin flip: 50% 7 of 14 decided |
| Over/under Live record since Week 6 | 8-6 | +1.9 points 14 picks scored · all priced by the market +0.14 per pick · likely range −0.43 to +0.71 per pick | Coin flip: 50% 7 of 14 decided |
Every pick
Week 8 · ATS 0-2-0; O/U 0-2-0
| Game | Straight up | Against the spread | Over/under | Final | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR at GB Thu, Oct 29 | — |  CAR +3.5 Loss | Over 48 Loss | CAR 19, GB 27 | Recorded before kickoff |
| BAL at BUF Sun, Nov 1 | — | — | Over 54 Loss | BAL 10, BUF 36 | Recorded before kickoff |
| CLE at PIT Sun, Nov 1 | — |  CLE +3.5 Loss | — | CLE 6, PIT 27 | Recorded before kickoff |
| PHI at WSH Sun, Nov 1 | — |  WSH -5.5 Pending | Over 40 Pending | Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET | Recorded before kickoff |
Week 7 · ATS 3-3-0; O/U 4-2-0
| Game | Straight up | Against the spread | Over/under | Final | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT at NO Sun, Oct 25 | — |  NO +3.5 Loss | Under 44.5 Win | PIT 16, NO 10 | Recorded before kickoff |
| IND at MIN Sun, Oct 25 | — | — | Under 41.5 Win | IND 10, MIN 16 | Recorded before kickoff |
| DEN at ARI Sun, Oct 25 | — |  DEN -4.5 Win | Over 43.5 Win | DEN 30, ARI 16 | Recorded before kickoff |
| GB at DET Sun, Oct 25 | — |  GB +3.5 Win | Over 53.5 Loss | GB 17, DET 20 | Recorded before kickoff |
| LAR at LV Sun, Oct 25 | — |  LV +3.5 Loss | — | LAR 35, LV 21 | Recorded before kickoff |
| KC at SEA Sun, Oct 25 | — |  KC +2.5 Loss | Under 42.5 Win | KC 3, SEA 20 | Recorded before kickoff |
| DAL at PHI Mon, Oct 26 | — |  DAL -3.5 Win | Under 44.5 Loss | DAL 38, PHI 21 | Recorded before kickoff |
Week 6 · SU 0-1-0; ATS 4-0-0; O/U 4-2-0
| Game | Straight up | Against the spread | Over/under | Final | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA at DEN Thu, Oct 15 | — | DEN +2.5 Win | Under 40.5 Win | SEA 14, DEN 17 | Recorded before kickoff |
| BAL at CLE Sun, Oct 18 | — | CLE +3.5 Win | Under 41.5 Win | BAL 10, CLE 13 | Recorded before kickoff |
| CHI at ATL Sun, Oct 18 | — |  CHI -1.5 Win | — | CHI 31, ATL 23 | Recorded before kickoff |
| PIT at TB Sun, Oct 18 | — | — | Under 39.5 Loss | PIT 26, TB 19 | Recorded before kickoff |
| LAC at KC Sun, Oct 18 | — | KC -7.5 Win | Under 41.5 Win | LAC 6, KC 22 | Recorded before kickoff |
| DAL at GB Sun, Oct 18 | DAL Loss | — | Over 52.5 Loss | DAL 13, GB 23 | Recorded before kickoff |
| WSH at SF Mon, Oct 19 | — | — | Under 52.5 Win | WSH 17, SF 23 | Recorded before kickoff |
By week
Source pages
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 15, 3:21 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 16, 9:20 a.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 17, 3:18 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 17, 5:22 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 18, 7:16 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 19, 12:37 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 24, 6:23 a.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 24, 10:21 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 24, 10:21 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 25, 12:16 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 25, 12:16 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 26, 12:20 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 28, 12:32 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 30, 2:22 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Oct 31, 8:21 p.m. ET
- Sportsbook Review · recorded Nov 1, 8:18 a.m. ET
Labels at each pick: recorded before kickoff (we saw it before the game), timestamped before kickoff (the platform's own time), read after the game.
Also at Sportsbook Review
Recently added · outside the counts for now Gary Pearson · Liam Fox · Matt MacKay · Philip Wood