Action Network · NFL 2026 · weeks 5–6

Doug Ziefel: NFL picks record, 2026 season

Recently added · not yet eligible for comparisons We track new betting analysts for at least 30 graded picks recorded before kickoff, over at least 30 days and 2 NFL weeks, before they appear in rankings, badges and game-page counts. So far: 10 graded picks with a pre-kickoff timestamp (recorded by us before kickoff, or stamped by Action Network), over 4 days and 1 NFL week; each pick says who set the time and when we read it.

The record below counts every pick we have, the same way as for everyone. How we record and grade picks

Record so far

Doug Ziefel is straight up 0-2-0 (0 of 2 decided picks), against the spread 2-1-0 (2 of 3 decided picks) and on totals 4-1-0 (4 of 5 decided picks).

Straight up
0-2-00 of 2 decided picks
Against the spread
2-1-02 of 3 decided picks
Over/under
4-1-04 of 5 decided picks
Longest run, O/U
4wins in a row this season

Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.

  • Against the spread, 2026 season: +1.0 points 3 picks scored · 0 with recorded odds, 3 at assumed even odds; 2-1 (2 of 3 decided picks); a coin flip averages 50%.
  • Over/under, 2026 season: +3.0 points 5 picks scored · 0 with recorded odds, 5 at assumed even odds; 4-1 (4 of 5 decided picks); a coin flip averages 50%.

Each pick counts as a 1-point play at the no-margin market price; zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated

10 graded picks read after the games but timestamped before kickoff by Action Network; 11 picks waiting for a result.

Market-adjusted results

Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and a simple rule to compare with. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks added after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. Zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. How we score fairly

The 2026 season, the last four weeks and the live record (picks we recorded before kickoff, from Week 6), where there is one. A straight-up pick without a two-sided price at the time is left out of points; a spread or total pick without a price on its own line counts at even odds.
Market and periodRecord in these picksMarket-adjusted pointsSimple rule
Straight up
2026 season
0-2−2.0 points 2 picks scored · 2 of 2 with recorded oddsEvery favorite: 1-1
same 2 games
Against the spread
2026 season
2-1+1.0 points 3 picks scored · 0 with recorded odds, 3 at assumed even oddsCoin flip: 50%
1.5 of 3 decided
Over/under
2026 season
4-1+3.0 points 5 picks scored · 0 with recorded odds, 5 at assumed even oddsCoin flip: 50%
2.5 of 5 decided

Every pick

Week 6 · SU 0-0-0; ATS 0-0-0; O/U 0-0-0
GameStraight upAgainst the spreadOver/underFinalHow we got it
SEA at DEN
Thu, Oct 15
—DEN +3.5 Pending—Not playedRecorded before kickoff
HOU at JAX
Sun, Oct 18
——Under 43.5 PendingNot playedRecorded before kickoff
BAL at CLE
Sun, Oct 18
—BAL -4.5 Pending—Not playedRecorded before kickoff
CAR at PHI
Sun, Oct 18
CAR Pending——Not playedRecorded before kickoff
CHI at ATL
Sun, Oct 18
—CHI -3 PendingOver 47.5 PendingNot playedRecorded before kickoff
NO at NYG
Sun, Oct 18
——Over 44.5 PendingNot playedRecorded before kickoff
NYJ at NE
Sun, Oct 18
—NYJ +7.5 Pending—Not playedRecorded before kickoff
TEN at IND
Sun, Oct 18
—IND -6.5 Pending—Not playedRecorded before kickoff
LAC at KC
Sun, Oct 18
——Under 42.5 PendingNot playedRecorded before kickoff
DAL at GB
Sun, Oct 18
——Over 52.5 PendingNot playedRecorded before kickoff

All Week 6 picks

Week 5 · SU 0-2-0; ATS 2-1-0; O/U 4-1-0
GameStraight upAgainst the spreadOver/underFinalHow we got it
TB at DAL
Thu, Oct 8
—TB +9.5 Win—TB 24, DAL 16Timestamped before kickoff
CLE at NYJ
Sun, Oct 11
CLE Loss——CLE 12, NYJ 17Timestamped before kickoff
IND at PIT
Sun, Oct 11
——Over 44 WinIND 22, PIT 34Timestamped before kickoff
LV at NE
Sun, Oct 11
——Over 44.5 WinLV 17, NE 45Timestamped before kickoff
DEN at LAC
Sun, Oct 11
——Under 42.5 WinDEN 23, LAC 17Timestamped before kickoff
DET at ARI
Sun, Oct 11
—DET -4.5 Win—DET 45, ARI 21Timestamped before kickoff
SF at SEA
Sun, Oct 11
—SEA -2.5 Loss—SF 32, SEA 29Timestamped before kickoff
BAL at ATL
Sun, Oct 11
ATL Loss—Over 45.5 WinBAL 30, ATL 23Timestamped before kickoff
BUF at LAR
Mon, Oct 12
——Under 54.5 LossBUF 37, LAR 34Timestamped before kickoff

All Week 5 picks

By week

W-L-P by week.
WeekStraight upAgainst the spreadOver/under
Week 50-2-02-1-04-1-0
Week 60-0-00-0-00-0-0
Season0-2-02-1-04-1-0

Pages we read

Labels at each pick: recorded before kickoff (we saw it before the game), timestamped before kickoff (the platform's own time), added after the game.

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