Badge rules
Prime-time games
Badges are facts about past picks, given by published rules. A badge is not a recommendation.
The rule
Picks in games that start at 7 p.m. ET or later (Thursday, Sunday and Monday night games and other evening games), on one market: at least 6 decided, with a share at least 10 points above the field in the same category and more wins than losses.
- Holders now
- 0
- Window
- season
Picks that count. Picks we recorded before kickoff; picks whose time before kickoff was set by the publishing platform (timestamped by the publishing platform) or shown by a web archive copy of the page (archive record); and, for ESPN, CBS Sports and NFL.com, picks read after the game where the outlet's own published record for that expert matches our recount (per the outlet's published record). Any other pick read after the game can only lower a record, and any known loss ends a run. Levels (No.1, Top 3, Top 5, Top 10) use the live record only, from Week 6 of 2026 on.
Holders
No tracked forecaster holds this badge yet. Levels start once the live record (from Week 6) has enough graded picks.
Held earlier
- Seth Wickersham: Prime-time games · SU 8–7 · 2026 · field 39.5%
until Oct 12, 2026 - Brooke Cersosimo: Prime-time games · SU 8–7 · 2026 · field 39.5%
until Oct 12, 2026 - Pete Prisco: Prime-time games · SU 8–7 · 2026 · field 39.4%
until Oct 13, 2026
How common
Held now by 0 of the 73 forecasters in the badge count.
Our chance check (Oct 12, 2026): the same picks, with every game's score drawn again at random around the market line, 40 times. If a badge shows up about as often by chance as in the real record, it is a fact about the past, not a sign of skill.
| Variant | Picks used | Qualifying | Held, real record | Held by chance, average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prime-time games · ATS | all picks, including those read after the game | 12 | 0 | 2.2 |
| Prime-time games · ATS · levels | all picks, including those read after the game | 12 | 0 | 4.7 |
| Prime-time games · SU | all picks, including those read after the game | 23 | 3 | 2.9 |
| Prime-time games · SU · levels | all picks, including those read after the game | 23 | 3 | 10.6 |
