Badge rules

Right against the crowd

Badges are facts about past picks, given by published rules. A badge is not a recommendation.

The rule

A game where at least 6 other tracked forecasters made a pick on the same market, at least 60% of them were wrong, and this forecaster was right. Counted over the season. Steps: 2, 3, 5 and 10 times.

Holders now
45
Window
season

Picks that count. Picks we recorded before kickoff; picks whose time before kickoff was set by the publishing platform (timestamped by the publishing platform) or shown by a web archive copy of the page (archive record); and, for ESPN, CBS Sports and NFL.com, picks read after the game where the outlet's own published record for that expert matches our recount (per the outlet's published record). Any other pick read after the game can only lower a record, and any known loss ends a run.

Holders

Current holders. Each badge links to the picks behind it.
HolderBadgeSinceShare
Seth Wickersham
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 9 times · e.g. LV at NO, 19 of 22 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 13, 2026Card
Dan Graziano
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 8 times · e.g. LV at LAC, 20 of 22 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 13, 2026Card
Pete Prisco
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · SU · 8 times · e.g. CAR at CLE, 21 of 22 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Jason Reid
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 7 times · e.g. LV at LAC, 20 of 22 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 13, 2026Card
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · SU · 7 times · e.g. MIN at CHI, 22 of 22 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Gennaro Filice
NFL.com
Right against the crowd · SU · 7 times · e.g. CAR at CLE, 21 of 22 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Kalyn Kahler
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 6 times · e.g. DET at CAR, 24 of 25 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Lindsey Thiry
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 6 times · e.g. ARI at NYG, 20 of 25 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 13, 2026Card
Brooke Cersosimo
NFL.com
Right against the crowd · SU · 6 times · e.g. DAL at NYG, 21 of 22 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
John Breech
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · SU · 5 times · e.g. LAR at DEN, 17 of 22 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Ben Solak
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 5 times · e.g. PHI at CHI, 21 of 22 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 13, 2026Card
Pamela Maldonado
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 5 times · e.g. LAR at DEN, 17 of 22 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 13, 2026Card
Tyler Sullivan
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · SU · 5 times · e.g. DAL at NYG, 21 of 22 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Jeremy Fowler
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 4 times · e.g. SF at LAR, 15 of 22 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 13, 2026Card
Anthony Balaj
Pride of Detroit
Right against the crowd · SU · 4 times · e.g. CHI at GB, 85 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Mike Clay
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 4 times · e.g. HOU at IND, 19 of 22 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 13, 2026Card
Jeremy Bergman
NFL.com
Right against the crowd · SU · 4 times · e.g. PHI at CHI, 21 of 22 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Matt Bowen
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 3 times · e.g. BAL at ATL, 82 of 110 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 13, 2026Card
Eric Moody
ESPN
Right against the crowd · SU · 3 times · e.g. LAR at DEN, 17 of 22 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 13, 2026Card
justin Pratt
Gridiron Experts
Right against the crowd · SU · 3 times · e.g. CHI at GB, 85 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Ryan Wilson
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · SU · 3 times · e.g. BUF at HOU, 14 of 22 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Marek Brave
The Phinsider
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CHI at GB, 85 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. ARI at NYG, 20 of 25 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Bobby Kownack
NFL.com
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. SF at LAR, 15 of 22 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Bill Williamson
Silver And Black Pride
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CHI at GB, 85 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Jonny Page
Bleeding Green Nation
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CLE at NYJ, 70 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
James Bryer
Gridiron Experts
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CLE at NYJ, 70 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Jared Dubin
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. JAX at DEN, 14 of 22 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
James McKinney
The Phinsider
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CHI at GB, 85 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Curtiss Brown
Dawgs By Nature
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CLE at NYJ, 70 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Ben Natan
Bleeding Green Nation
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CHI at GB, 85 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Brandon Lee Gowton
Bleeding Green Nation
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CLE at NYJ, 70 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Ray Aspuria
Silver And Black Pride
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. BAL at ATL, 82 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Anthony DelGenio
Big Blue View
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. BAL at ATL, 82 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Eric Thompson
Daily Norseman
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. BAL at ATL, 82 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Warren Ludford
Daily Norseman
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. BAL at ATL, 82 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
John Whiticar
Pride of Detroit
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. BAL at ATL, 82 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
William Lafever
Gridiron Experts
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CLE at NYJ, 70 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
GA Skol
Daily Norseman
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CHI at GB, 85 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Alexis Chassen
Bleeding Green Nation
Right against the crowd · SU · 2 times · e.g. CLE at NYJ, 70 of 110 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · ATS · 19 times · e.g. SEA at WSH, 17 of 18 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · ATS · 13 times · e.g. NE at SEA, 15 of 18 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Brooke Cersosimo
NFL.com
Right against the crowd · ATS · 13 times · e.g. SEA at WSH, 17 of 18 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Gennaro Filice
NFL.com
Right against the crowd · ATS · 12 times · e.g. CAR at CLE, 16 of 18 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Tyler Sullivan
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · ATS · 11 times · e.g. DET at CAR, 16 of 21 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Ryan Wilson
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · ATS · 10 times · e.g. BUF at HOU, 14 of 18 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Pete Prisco
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · ATS · 9 times · e.g. CAR at CLE, 16 of 18 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Jared Dubin
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · ATS · 9 times · e.g. CIN at PIT, 15 of 18 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
John Breech
CBS Sports
Right against the crowd · ATS · 8 times · e.g. LAR at DEN, 15 of 18 others wrong
Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Bobby Kownack
NFL.com
Right against the crowd · ATS · 7 times · e.g. BUF at HOU, 14 of 18 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Dan Parr
NFL.com
Right against the crowd · ATS · 7 times · e.g. NE at SEA, 15 of 18 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
Jeremy Bergman
NFL.com
Right against the crowd · ATS · 6 times · e.g. PHI at CHI, 14 of 18 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (web archive copy)Matches the outlet's published record
Oct 12, 2026Card
James Bryer
Gridiron Experts
Right against the crowd · ATS · 4 times · e.g. TB at DAL, 36 of 44 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Adam Henley
Gridiron Experts
Right against the crowd · ATS · 4 times · e.g. TB at DAL, 36 of 44 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Shawn C
Daily Norseman
Right against the crowd · ATS · 3 times · e.g. TB at DAL, 36 of 44 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
William Lafever
Gridiron Experts
Right against the crowd · ATS · 3 times · e.g. TB at DAL, 36 of 44 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
justin Pratt
Gridiron Experts
Right against the crowd · ATS · 3 times · e.g. TB at DAL, 36 of 44 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Anthony Balaj
Pride of Detroit
Right against the crowd · ATS · 3 times · e.g. CHI at GB, 34 of 46 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Jeremy Reisman
Pride of Detroit
Right against the crowd · ATS · 3 times · e.g. TB at DAL, 36 of 44 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card
Eric Thompson
Daily Norseman
Right against the crowd · ATS · 3 times · e.g. BAL at ATL, 31 of 45 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 13, 2026Card
Brandon Knapp
Pride of Detroit
Right against the crowd · ATS · 2 times · e.g. BAL at ATL, 31 of 45 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 13, 2026Card
GA Skol
Daily Norseman
Right against the crowd · ATS · 2 times · e.g. CHI at GB, 34 of 46 others wrong
Timestamped before kickoff (platform)
Oct 12, 2026Card

Held earlier

How common

Held now by 45 of the 73 forecasters in the badge count.

Our chance check (Oct 12, 2026): the same picks, with every game's score drawn again at random around the market line, 40 times. If a badge shows up about as often by chance as in the real record, it is a fact about the past, not a sign of skill.

Right against the crowd: real record vs chanceSU: held by 18 of 41 qualifying forecasters in the real record; by chance about 13.4 on average. ATS: held by 11 of 16 qualifying forecasters in the real record; by chance about 9.2 on average.SU041by chance ≈13.4real record 18ATS016by chance ≈9.2real record 11
Chance check, SU: 18 of 41 qualifying forecasters held it in the real record; with every score drawn again at random around the market line, 13.4 on average (≈1 in 3 gets it by chance). Rows for 2 variants are in the table.Oct 13, 2026, 40 runs; picks recorded or timestamped before kickoff. Filled dot — real record, open circle — chance. Holders now are listed above.
Show as table
Every variant and data layer of the chance check.
VariantPicks usedQualifyingHeld, real recordHeld by chance, average
ATSpicks recorded or timestamped before kickoff16119.2
ATSall picks, including those read after the game292321.5
SUpicks recorded or timestamped before kickoff411813.4
SUall picks, including those read after the game814337.4
Right against the crowd — Hunchmeter badge for NFL forecasters, 2026: held now by 45 forecasters — Hunchmeter
Share this badge Copy link (the address of this badge) · Download card. To quote this badge:Right against the crowd — a Hunchmeter badge for NFL forecasters: A game where at least 6 other tracked forecasters made a pick on the same market, at least 60% of them were wrong, and this forecaster was right. Held now by 45 forecasters. https://hunchmeter.com/titles/right-against-the-crowd/ Each holder's own card is in the Share column of the table above.

All badges · New badges this week