Big Blue View · NFL 2026 · week 6

James Hickey's 2026 NFL picks and record

Badges

Biggest upset of the week Week 6 upset · TEN (28% chance) Week 6 · 2026 · Recorded before kickoff

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<a href="https://hunchmeter.com/experts/james-hickey/"><img src="https://hunchmeter.com/experts/james-hickey/badge.svg" width="320" height="64" alt="Hunchmeter: Week 6 upset · TEN (28% chance), Week 6 · 2026"></a>

Badges are facts about past picks, given by published rules. Badge rules · How badges work

9–5–0

Straight up · 9 wins · 5 losses · 0 ties

64.3% right · 14 decided · likely range 39–84%

Week 7 picks: none recorded · Big Blue View usually posts on Wednesday · last checked Oct 23, 2:22 a.m. ET

View every pick

Market-adjusted points, straight up: +3.5 points 14 picks scored · 14 of 14 had a market price (the likely range still includes zero)

How to read the points: zero is what the betting odds expected from these picks; above zero is better than the odds, below zero is worse.

How the graded picks were recorded · 14 picks

13 Recorded before kickoff
1 Timestamped before kickoff

What the labels mean →

Record so far

Current streak, straight up: 2 wins in a row Longest: 2 wins in a row

Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.

Straight up, live record since Week 6: +4.5 points 13 picks scored · 13 of 13 had a market price (the likely range still includes zero).

A right pick on a 50-50 game earns 1 point, a right underdog pick earns more, and a wrong pick costs 1. Above zero means better than the betting odds expected. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated

Pick log
Market-adjusted results
Badges
By week
Record in each team's games
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Every pick

Week 6 · SU 9-5-0

Game	Straight up	Final	How we got it
SEA at DEN Thu, Oct 15	SEA Loss	SEA 14, DEN 17	Timestamped before kickoff
HOU at JAX Sun, Oct 18	HOU Win	HOU 34, JAX 31	Recorded before kickoff
BAL at CLE Sun, Oct 18	BAL Loss	BAL 10, CLE 13	Recorded before kickoff
CAR at PHI Sun, Oct 18	CAR Win	CAR 25, PHI 14	Recorded before kickoff
CHI at ATL Sun, Oct 18	CHI Win	CHI 31, ATL 23	Recorded before kickoff
NO at NYG Sun, Oct 18	NO Win	NO 34, NYG 27	Recorded before kickoff
NYJ at NE Sun, Oct 18	NE Win	NYJ 19, NE 26	Recorded before kickoff
PIT at TB Sun, Oct 18	TB Loss	PIT 26, TB 19	Recorded before kickoff
TEN at IND Sun, Oct 18	TEN Win	TEN 26, IND 20	Recorded before kickoff
ARI at LAR Sun, Oct 18	LAR Loss	ARI 18, LAR 16	Recorded before kickoff
BUF at LV Sun, Oct 18	LV Loss	BUF 33, LV 30	Recorded before kickoff
LAC at KC Sun, Oct 18	KC Win	LAC 6, KC 22	Recorded before kickoff
DAL at GB Sun, Oct 18	GB Win	DAL 13, GB 23	Recorded before kickoff
WSH at SF Mon, Oct 19	SF Win	WSH 17, SF 23	Recorded before kickoff

All Week 6 picks

Market-adjusted results

Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and how picking every favorite would have done. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks read after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. How points work

The 2026 season, the last four weeks, and the live record (picks recorded before kickoff, from Week 6) when available. Straight-up picks without a two-way price at the time are excluded from points; spread and over/under picks without line odds are scored at even odds.
Market and period	Record in these picks	Market-adjusted points	Compared with
Straight up 2026 season	9-5	+3.5 points 14 picks scored · 14 of 14 had a market price +0.25 per pick · likely range −0.34 to +0.87 per pick	Every favorite: 9-5 same 14 games
Straight up Live record since Week 6	9-4	+4.5 points 13 picks scored · 13 of 13 had a market price +0.35 per pick · likely range −0.21 to +0.96 per pick	Every favorite: 9-4 same 13 games

Winner picks: points vs picking every favorite · market-adjusted points on the same 14 picks

James Hickey +3.5 vs +0.6 favorites

Teal: the expert's market-adjusted points. Gray: picking every favorite in the same games, scored the same way.

All 6 badges and the picks behind them

Select any badge to see what it means, how it compares and the odds of earning it by chance. Every pick behind each badge, with the rule and the outlet pages, is one link away: picks behind each badge. Recording labels: Recorded before kickoff (we saw the pick before the game); Timestamped before kickoff (the platform's timestamp or a web archive copy of the page); Read after the game · matches the outlet's own record (the outlet's published record matches our recount); Read after the game (any other pick; it can only lower a record).

Season badges

2 outright upsets called · of 4 underdog picks · 2026 Recorded before kickoff

Picked 2 underdogs to win outright that did, out of 4 straight-up underdog picks.

Period: 2026
How rare: If every pick won only as often as the market odds said, about 62 of the 122 experts who qualify for it would earn this in a season. Held now by 49 of all 137 experts in the badge count.

All 4 picks behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules

Best call: TEN over IND (Week 6) — the market gave TEN a 27.5% chance Recorded before kickoff

The correct straight-up pick with the lowest market chance on record: TEN over IND in Week 6, when the market gave TEN a 27.5% chance.

Period: 2026 season
How rare: If every pick won only as often as the market odds said, about 102 of the 122 experts who qualify for it would earn this in a season. Held now by 98 of all 137 experts in the badge count.

The pick behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules

Verified · 13 picks recorded before kickoff

Graded picks we recorded on the outlet's page before kickoff. This says nothing about results.

Period: 2026 season
How rare: This is a fact about how the picks were recorded, not about results. Held now by 120 of all 137 experts in the badge count.

All 13 picks behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules

Right against the crowd · SU · 3 times · e.g. TEN at IND, 108 of 114 others wrong Recorded before kickoff

Right 3 times straight up when most other tracked experts on the game were wrong, e.g. TEN at IND: 108 of 114 other experts missed.

Period: 2026
Compared with: 108 of 114 others were wrong on the example game
How rare: If every pick won only as often as the market odds said, about 49 of the 113 experts who qualify for it would earn this in a season. Held now by 62 of all 137 experts in the badge count.

All 3 picks behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules

Weekly badges

No.1 on the Big Blue View panel · Week 6 · SU · of 5 · 9–4 Recorded before kickoff

Ranked No.1 of 5 Big Blue View panelists we track, straight up, Week 6, 2026: 9–4 (69.2%).

Period: Week 6, 2026 · given after the last game of Week 6, Oct 20, 2026, and kept with its date
Compared with: No.1 of 5 in the field; field average 55.9%
How rare: If every pick won only as often as the market odds said, about 15 of the 87 experts who qualify for it would earn this in a season. Held now by 1 of all 137 experts in the badge count.

All 13 picks behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules

Biggest upset called · Week 6 · TEN over IND · market chance 27.5% · called by 7 of 115 Recorded before kickoff

Picked TEN to beat IND straight up in Week 6; the market gave TEN a 27.5% chance. 7 of 115 tracked experts made that call.

Period: Week 6, 2026 · given after the last game of Week 6, Oct 20, 2026, and kept with its date
Compared with: 7 of 115 tracked experts made the same call
How rare: If every pick won only as often as the market odds said, about 15 of the 122 experts who qualify for it would earn this in a season. Held now by 7 of all 137 experts in the badge count.

The pick behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules

History

Verified · 9 picks recorded before kickoff
all time · until Oct 18, 2026 · now 11 picks recorded before kickoff

By week

W-L-T by week.
Week	Straight up
Week 6	9-5-0
Season	9-5-0

By team

Record when picking each team

W-L-P. "Picked to win" counts picks on that team; "picked to lose" counts picks on its opponent.
Team	Picked to win	Picked to lose
ARI Arizona Cardinals	—	0-1-0
ATL Atlanta Falcons	—	1-0-0
BAL Baltimore Ravens	0-1-0	—
BUF Buffalo Bills	—	0-1-0
CAR Carolina Panthers	1-0-0	—
CHI Chicago Bears	1-0-0	—
CLE Cleveland Browns	—	0-1-0
DAL Dallas Cowboys	—	1-0-0
DEN Denver Broncos	—	0-1-0
GB Green Bay Packers	1-0-0	—
HOU Houston Texans	1-0-0	—
IND Indianapolis Colts	—	1-0-0
JAX Jacksonville Jaguars	—	1-0-0
KC Kansas City Chiefs	1-0-0	—
LV Las Vegas Raiders	0-1-0	—
LAC Los Angeles Chargers	—	1-0-0
LAR Los Angeles Rams	0-1-0	—
NE New England Patriots	1-0-0	—
NO New Orleans Saints	1-0-0	—
NYG New York Giants	—	1-0-0
NYJ New York Jets	—	1-0-0
PHI Philadelphia Eagles	—	1-0-0
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers	—	0-1-0
SF San Francisco 49ers	1-0-0	—
SEA Seattle Seahawks	0-1-0	—
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-1-0	—
TEN Tennessee Titans	1-0-0	—
WSH Washington Commanders	—	1-0-0