Badge rules

Panel standing

Badges are facts about past picks, given by published rules. A badge is not a recommendation.

The rule

Ranking within one outlet's panel (ESPN, CBS Sports, NFL.com, a Tallysight team site) on one market, by the lower bound of the 95% Wilson interval, with levels by the number of panelists. For a single week, only No.1, with at least 5 panelists.

Holders now
0
Window
season, NFL week

Picks that count. The live record only: picks we recorded before kickoff, from Week 6 of 2026 on. A pick read from an outlet's page after the game can only lower a record here: it adds to the total but never counts as a win.

Holders

No tracked forecaster holds this badge yet. Levels start once the live record (from Week 6) has enough graded picks.

How common

Held now by 0 of the 73 forecasters in the badge count.

Our chance check (Oct 12, 2026): the same picks, with every game's score drawn again at random around the market line, 40 times. If a badge shows up about as often by chance as in the real record, it is a fact about the past, not a sign of skill.

Panel standing: real record vs chanceweek · SU · levels: held by 11 of 29 qualifying forecasters in the real record; by chance about 6.8 on average. week · ATS · levels: held by 2 of 12 qualifying forecasters in the real record; by chance about 2.4 on average. week · O/U · levels: held by 2 of 6 qualifying forecasters in the real record; by chance about 1.3 on average.week · SU · levels029by chance ≈6.8real record 11week · ATS · levels012by chance ≈2.4real record 2week · O/U · levels06by chance ≈1.3real record 2
Chance check, week · SU · levels: 11 of 29 qualifying forecasters held it in the real record; with every score drawn again at random around the market line, 6.8 on average (≈1 in 4 gets it by chance). Rows for 3 variants are in the table.Oct 13, 2026, 40 runs; picks recorded or timestamped before kickoff. Filled dot — real record, open circle — chance. Holders now are listed above.
Show as table
Every variant and data layer of the chance check.
VariantPicks usedQualifyingHeld, real recordHeld by chance, average
season · ATS · levelsall picks, including those read after the game1212.2
season · SU · levelsall picks, including those read after the game2375.8
week · ATS · levelspicks recorded or timestamped before kickoff1222.4
week · ATS · levelsall picks, including those read after the game24810.4
week · O/U · levelspicks recorded or timestamped before kickoff621.3
week · O/U · levelsall picks, including those read after the game621.3
week · SU · levelspicks recorded or timestamped before kickoff29116.8
week · SU · levelsall picks, including those read after the game692923
week · SU · sharedall picks, including those read after the game700
Panel standing — Hunchmeter badge for NFL forecasters, 2026: held now by no one yet — Hunchmeter
Share this badge Copy link (the address of this badge) · Download card. To quote this badge:Panel standing — a Hunchmeter badge for NFL forecasters: Ranking within one outlet's panel (ESPN, CBS Sports, NFL.com, a Tallysight team site) on one market, by the lower bound of the 95% Wilson interval, with levels by the number of panelists. Held now by no one yet. https://hunchmeter.com/titles/panel-standing/

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