Bleacher Report · NFL 2026 · weeks 1–5

Wes O'Donnell's 2026 NFL picks and record

35–43–1

Against the spread · 35 wins · 43 losses · 1 push

How these picks were recorded · 79 picks

  • 79 Added after the game

What the labels mean

Week 6 picks not recorded yet · last checked Oct 14, 11:21 a.m. ET

View every pick

Record so far

Wes O'Donnell is against the spread 35-43-1 (44.9%).

Against the spread
35-43-144.9% of 78 decided · 95% range 34–56%
Current streak, ATS
1 win in a rowLongest: 4 wins in a row

See points and comparisons

79 graded picks added from Bleacher Report pages after the games.

Market-adjusted results

Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and a simple rule to compare with. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks added after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. Zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. How we score fairly

The 2026 season, the last four weeks and the live record (picks we recorded before kickoff, from Week 6), where there is one. A straight-up pick without a two-sided price at the time is left out of points; a spread or total pick without a price on its own line counts at even odds.
Market and periodRecord in these picksMarket-adjusted pointsSimple rule
Against the spread
2026 season
35-43-1−8.0 points 79 picks scored · 6 with recorded odds, 73 at assumed even odds
−0.10 per pick · 95% range −0.32 to +0.14 per pick
Coin flip: 50%
39 of 78 decided
Against the spread
Weeks 2–5
28-34-1−6.0 points 63 picks scored · 1 with recorded odds, 62 at assumed even odds
−0.10 per pick · 95% range −0.32 to +0.14 per pick
Coin flip: 50%
31 of 62 decided
Wes O'Donnell: market-adjusted points, week by week, against the spreadMarket-adjusted points after Week 5: −8.0 over the season. Best stretch: weeks 4–5, +5.0 points.best stretch−15−10−50W1W2W3W4W5Week 1: −2.0 on 16 picks; −2.0 so farWeek 2: −8.0 on 16 picks; −10.0 so farWeek 3: −3.0 on 16 picks; −13.0 so farWeek 4: +2.0 on 16 picks; −11.0 so farWeek 5: +3.0 on 15 picks; −8.0 so far−8.0
Best stretch: weeks 4–5, +5.0 points 31 picks scored · 0 with recorded odds, 31 at assumed even odds. Points, this expert; zero is a coin flip on average Against the spread, 2026 season: −8.0 points 79 picks scored · 6 with recorded odds, 73 at assumed even odds. Zero is where a coin flip lands on average. Each point is the total after that week; the shaded band is the best stretch of weeks in a row. As of Week 6 (data Oct 14, 2026).
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Market-adjusted points by week, against the spread (79 scored picks).
WeekPicks scoredPoints that weekSeason so far
Week 116−2.0−2.0
Week 216−8.0−10.0
Week 316−3.0−13.0
Week 416+2.0−11.0
Week 515+3.0−8.0

Picks from the latest 4 weeks

Full pick log, all 5 weeks

Week 5 · ATS 9-6-0
GameAgainst the spreadFinalHow we got it
TB at DAL
Thu, Oct 8
DAL -9.5 LossTB 24, DAL 16Added after the game
PHI at JAX
Sun, Oct 11
PHI +6.5 WinPHI 17, JAX 19Added after the game
CHI at GB
Sun, Oct 11
GB +2.5 WinCHI 7, GB 31Added after the game
CIN at MIA
Sun, Oct 11
CIN -7.5 LossCIN 31, MIA 24Added after the game
CLE at NYJ
Sun, Oct 11
NYJ -1.5 WinCLE 12, NYJ 17Added after the game
HOU at TEN
Sun, Oct 11
HOU -6.5 WinHOU 26, TEN 3Added after the game
IND at PIT
Sun, Oct 11
PIT -1.5 WinIND 22, PIT 34Added after the game
LV at NE
Sun, Oct 11
NE -3.5 WinLV 17, NE 45Added after the game
MIN at NO
Sun, Oct 11
NO +1.5 LossMIN 23, NO 13Added after the game
NYG at WSH
Sun, Oct 11
NYG +3.5 WinNYG 27, WSH 27Added after the game
DEN at LAC
Sun, Oct 11
LAC +3.5 LossDEN 23, LAC 17Added after the game
DET at ARI
Sun, Oct 11
ARI +4.5 LossDET 45, ARI 21Added after the game
SF at SEA
Sun, Oct 11
SF +3 WinSF 32, SEA 29Added after the game
BAL at ATL
Sun, Oct 11
ATL +2.5 LossBAL 30, ATL 23Added after the game
BUF at LAR
Mon, Oct 12
BUF +2.5 WinBUF 37, LAR 34Added after the game

All Week 5 picks

Week 4 · ATS 9-7-0
GameAgainst the spreadFinalHow we got it
PIT at CLE
Thu, Oct 1
CLE +2.5 WinPIT 24, CLE 27Added after the game
IND at WSH
Sun, Oct 4
IND -3.5 WinIND 30, WSH 13Added after the game
ARI at NYG
Sun, Oct 4
ARI +1.5 LossARI 24, NYG 36Added after the game
DAL at HOU
Sun, Oct 4
HOU -2.5 LossDAL 34, HOU 30Added after the game
GB at TB
Sun, Oct 4
GB -3.5 LossGB 17, TB 14Added after the game
JAX at CIN
Sun, Oct 4
JAX +2.5 WinJAX 22, CIN 17Added after the game
LAR at PHI
Sun, Oct 4
LAR -3 WinLAR 24, PHI 20Added after the game
NE at BUF
Sun, Oct 4
NE +6.5 WinNE 29, BUF 26Added after the game
NYJ at CHI
Sun, Oct 4
CHI -3.5 WinNYJ 12, CHI 23Added after the game
TEN at BAL
Sun, Oct 4
BAL -11.5 LossTEN 18, BAL 24Added after the game
MIA at MIN
Sun, Oct 4
MIN -10.5 LossMIA 10, MIN 15Added after the game
DEN at SF
Sun, Oct 4
SF -2.5 WinDEN 14, SF 24Added after the game
KC at LV
Sun, Oct 4
LV +4.5 WinKC 30, LV 27Added after the game
LAC at SEA
Sun, Oct 4
LAC +6.5 LossLAC 23, SEA 30Added after the game
DET at CAR
Sun, Oct 4
DET -3.5 LossDET 26, CAR 32Added after the game
ATL at NO
Mon, Oct 5
ATL +2.5 WinATL 45, NO 24Added after the game

All Week 4 picks

Week 3 · ATS 6-9-1
GameAgainst the spreadFinalHow we got it
ATL at GB
Thu, Sept 24
ATL +6.5 WinATL 35, GB 14Added after the game
CAR at CLE
Sun, Sept 27
CAR -2.5 LossCAR 18, CLE 21Added after the game
CIN at PIT
Sun, Sept 27
PIT +3.5 WinCIN 27, PIT 30Added after the game
HOU at IND
Sun, Sept 27
IND +2.5 WinHOU 17, IND 19Added after the game
KC at MIA
Sun, Sept 27
KC -10.5 WinKC 24, MIA 10Added after the game
LAC at BUF
Sun, Sept 27
LAC +7 LossLAC 16, BUF 24Added after the game
NE at JAX
Sun, Sept 27
JAX -2.5 WinNE 6, JAX 35Added after the game
NYJ at DET
Sun, Sept 27
NYJ +6.5 LossNYJ 24, DET 31Added after the game
SEA at WSH
Sun, Sept 27
SEA -6.5 LossSEA 31, WSH 33Added after the game
TEN at NYG
Sun, Sept 27
TEN +3 LossTEN 7, NYG 12Added after the game
ARI at SF
Sun, Sept 27
SF -8.5 LossARI 30, SF 36Added after the game
MIN at TB
Sun, Sept 27
MIN -1.5 WinMIN 23, TB 16Added after the game
BAL at DAL
Sun, Sept 27
DAL +3 PushBAL 34, DAL 31Added after the game
LV at NO
Sun, Sept 27
NO -3 LossLV 35, NO 27Added after the game
LAR at DEN
Sun, Sept 27
LAR -2.5 LossLAR 26, DEN 30Added after the game
PHI at CHI
Mon, Sept 28
PHI -4.5 LossPHI 7, CHI 27Added after the game

All Week 3 picks

Week 2 · ATS 4-12-0
GameAgainst the spreadFinalHow we got it
DET at BUF
Thu, Sept 17
DET +4.5 LossDET 31, BUF 41Added after the game
CAR at ATL
Sun, Sept 20
ATL +1.5 LossCAR 34, ATL 3Added after the game
CIN at HOU
Sun, Sept 20
CIN +3 WinCIN 20, HOU 6Added after the game
CLE at TB
Sun, Sept 20
TB -8.5 LossCLE 23, TB 19Added after the game
GB at NYJ
Sun, Sept 20
GB -3.5 LossGB 20, NYJ 17Added after the game
MIN at CHI
Sun, Sept 20
CHI -5.5 LossMIN 9, CHI 3Added after the game
NO at BAL
Sun, Sept 20
BAL -8.5 LossNO 24, BAL 17Added after the game
PHI at TEN
Sun, Sept 20
PHI -7 LossPHI 24, TEN 20Added after the game
PIT at NE
Sun, Sept 20
NE -4.5 WinPIT 3, NE 20Added after the game
JAX at DEN
Sun, Sept 20
JAX +2.5 LossJAX 13, DEN 20Added after the game
LV at LAC
Sun, Sept 20
LAC -7 LossLV 26, LAC 14Added after the game
MIA at SF
Sun, Sept 20
SF -13.5 WinMIA 13, SF 35Added after the game
SEA at ARI
Sun, Sept 20
SEA -4.5 WinSEA 31, ARI 7Added after the game
WSH at DAL
Sun, Sept 20
WSH +3.5 LossWSH 20, DAL 37Added after the game
IND at KC
Sun, Sept 20
KC -6.5 LossIND 30, KC 33Added after the game
NYG at LAR
Mon, Sept 21
NYG +7.5 LossNYG 6, LAR 28Added after the game

All Week 2 picks

By week

W-L-P by week.
WeekAgainst the spread
Week 17-9-0
Week 24-12-0
Week 36-9-1
Week 49-7-0
Week 59-6-0
Season35-43-1

Does this match Bleacher Report?

Bleacher Report prints ATS standings in its weekly article. Our week-by-week check of the whole panel against them is on the Bleacher Report page.

By team

  • 80% or more right
  • 70–79%
  • 60–69%
  • over 50%, under 60%
  • 50% or under
  • fewer than 3 picks
Best read: Pittsburgh Steelers games, 5–0 against the spread (5 picks); also Jacksonville Jaguars games, 4–1 against the spread (5 picks); New England Patriots games, 4–1 against the spread (5 picks).Each tile: against the spread record in games involving the team. Shaded where more than half are right, darker for a higher share (14 of 32 teams); grey: half or fewer right, or fewer than 3 picks. 78 decided against the spread picks, as of Week 6 (data Oct 14, 2026). Tap a team for these picks in its games; team pages are linked in the table.
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W-L-P. "In their games" counts every against the spread pick in games involving the team (the tiles above); "picked to win" counts picks on that team; "picked to lose" counts picks on its opponent.
TeamATS in their gamesATS on themATS against
ARI Arizona Cardinals1–40-2-01-2-0
ATL Atlanta Falcons3–22-2-01-0-0
BAL Baltimore Ravens0–4–10-2-00-2-1
BUF Buffalo Bills2–31-0-01-3-0
CAR Carolina Panthers1–30-1-01-2-0
CHI Chicago Bears3–22-1-01-1-0
CIN Cincinnati Bengals3–21-1-02-1-0
CLE Cleveland Browns3–21-0-02-2-0
DAL Dallas Cowboys1–3–10-1-11-2-0
DEN Denver Broncos2–3—2-3-0
DET Detroit Lions0–50-3-00-2-0
GB Green Bay Packers2–31-3-01-0-0
HOU Houston Texans3–21-2-02-0-0
IND Indianapolis Colts3–22-1-01-1-0
JAX Jacksonville Jaguars4–13-1-01-0-0
KC Kansas City Chiefs3–12-1-01-0-0
LV Las Vegas Raiders2–31-0-01-3-0
LAC Los Angeles Chargers0–50-5-0—
LAR Los Angeles Rams3–21-1-02-1-0
MIA Miami Dolphins2–30-1-02-2-0
MIN Minnesota Vikings1–41-1-00-3-0
NE New England Patriots4–13-0-01-1-0
NO New Orleans Saints1–40-2-01-2-0
NYG New York Giants2–32-1-00-2-0
NYJ New York Jets2–31-1-01-2-0
PHI Philadelphia Eagles3–21-2-02-0-0
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers5–03-0-02-0-0
SF San Francisco 49ers4–14-1-0—
SEA Seattle Seahawks2–31-2-01-1-0
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers1–40-2-01-2-0
TEN Tennessee Titans1–40-2-01-2-0
WSH Washington Commanders3–21-1-02-1-0

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