Badge rules
Picks against the spread standing
Badges are facts about past picks, given by published rules. A badge is not a recommendation.
The rule
Share of against-the-spread picks right: wins divided by wins plus losses; pushes are left out. Forecasters with at least 30 decided picks in the window are ordered by the lower bound of the 95% Wilson interval. No.1 needs at least 5 forecasters in the field, Top 3 at least 8, Top 5 at least 12, Top 10 at least 20. The share must be above the field average, with more wins than losses.
- Holders now
- 0
- Window
- season, last 4 weeks, live record
Picks that count. The live record only: picks we recorded before kickoff, from Week 6 of 2026 on. A pick read from an outlet's page after the game can only lower a record here: it adds to the total but never counts as a win.
Holders
No tracked forecaster holds this badge yet. Levels start once the live record (from Week 6) has enough graded picks.
How common
Held now by 0 of the 73 forecasters in the badge count.
Our chance check (Oct 12, 2026): the same picks, with every game's score drawn again at random around the market line, 40 times. If a badge shows up about as often by chance as in the real record, it is a fact about the past, not a sign of skill.
| Variant | Picks used | Qualifying | Held, real record | Held by chance, average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATS · levels | all picks, including those read after the game | 12 | 1 | 4.8 |
