Action Network · NFL 2026 · week 5
Topper: NFL picks record, 2026 season
Recently added · not yet eligible for comparisons We track new betting analysts for at least 30 graded picks recorded before kickoff, over at least 30 days and 2 NFL weeks, before they appear in rankings, badges and game-page counts. So far: 16 graded picks with a pre-kickoff timestamp (recorded by us before kickoff, or stamped by Action Network), over 4 days and 1 NFL week; each pick says who set the time and when we read it.
The record below counts every pick we have, the same way as for everyone. How we record and grade picks
Record so far
Topper is straight up 2-0-0 (2 of 2 decided picks), against the spread 7-0-0 (7 of 7 decided picks) and on totals 3-4-0 (3 of 7 decided picks).
- Straight up
- 2-0-02 of 2 decided picks
- Against the spread
- 7-0-07 of 7 decided picks
- Over/under
- 3-4-03 of 7 decided picks
- Current streak, straight up
- 2 wins in a rowLongest: 2 wins in a row
Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.
- Straight up, 2026 season: +2.0 points 2 picks scored · 2 of 2 with recorded odds; 2-0 in these games; picking every favorite in the same 2 games: 1-1.
- Against the spread, 2026 season: +7.0 points 7 picks scored · 4 with recorded odds, 3 at assumed even odds; 7-0 (7 of 7 decided picks); a coin flip averages 50%.
Each pick counts as a 1-point play at the no-margin market price; zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated
16 graded picks read after the games but timestamped before kickoff by Action Network.
Market-adjusted results
Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and a simple rule to compare with. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks added after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. Zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. How we score fairly
| Market and period | Record in these picks | Market-adjusted points | Simple rule |
|---|---|---|---|
| Straight up 2026 season | 2-0 | +2.0 points 2 picks scored · 2 of 2 with recorded odds | Every favorite: 1-1 same 2 games |
| Against the spread 2026 season | 7-0 | +7.0 points 7 picks scored · 4 with recorded odds, 3 at assumed even odds | Coin flip: 50% 3.5 of 7 decided |
| Over/under 2026 season | 3-4 | −1.0 points 7 picks scored · 1 with recorded odds, 6 at assumed even odds | Coin flip: 50% 3.5 of 7 decided |
Every pick
Week 5 · SU 2-0-0; ATS 7-0-0; O/U 3-4-0
| Game | Straight up | Against the spread | Over/under | Final | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB at DAL Thu, Oct 8 | — | TB +8.5 Win | — | TB 24, DAL 16 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| PHI at JAX Sun, Oct 11 | — | PHI +8 Win | Over 41.5 Loss | PHI 17, JAX 19 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| CHI at GB Sun, Oct 11 | GB Win | — | Under 47.5 Win | CHI 7, GB 31 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| CIN at MIA Sun, Oct 11 | — | — | Under 44.5 Loss | CIN 31, MIA 24 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| CLE at NYJ Sun, Oct 11 | — | — | Under 38.5 Win | CLE 12, NYJ 17 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| HOU at TEN Sun, Oct 11 | — | HOU -6.5 Win | — | HOU 26, TEN 3 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| IND at PIT Sun, Oct 11 | PIT Win | — | — | IND 22, PIT 34 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| MIN at NO Sun, Oct 11 | — | MIN -1.5 Win | — | MIN 23, NO 13 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| NYG at WSH Sun, Oct 11 | — | — | Under 42 Loss | NYG 27, WSH 27 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| DEN at LAC Sun, Oct 11 | — | DEN -3.5 Win | Under 42.5 Win | DEN 23, LAC 17 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| SF at SEA Sun, Oct 11 | — | SF +3 Win | Under 46.5 Loss | SF 32, SEA 29 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| BUF at LAR Mon, Oct 12 | — | BUF +3.5 Win | — | BUF 37, LAR 34 | Timestamped before kickoff |
By week
| Week | Straight up | Against the spread | Over/under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 | 2-0-0 | 7-0-0 | 3-4-0 |
| Season | 2-0-0 | 7-0-0 | 3-4-0 |
Pages we read
- Action Network · recorded Oct 13, 4:23 a.m. ET
- Action Network · recorded Oct 13, 4:23 a.m. ET
- Action Network · recorded Oct 13, 4:23 a.m. ET
Labels at each pick: recorded before kickoff (we saw it before the game), timestamped before kickoff (the platform's own time), added after the game.
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