Even Money · NFL 2026 · week 7

Steve Fezzik's 2026 NFL picks and record

1–0–0

Against the spread · 1 win · 0 losses · 0 pushes · 1 of 1 decided picks · no win % until 10 decided picks

This week: CHI -2.5 vs NE · IND +6.5 vs MIN · NYG +10.5 vs HOU · see all 8 picks

Market-adjusted points, against the spread: +0.9 points 1 pick scored · all priced by the market

How to read the points: zero is what the betting odds expected from these picks; above zero is better than the odds, below zero is worse.

How the graded picks were recorded · 1 pick

1 Recorded before kickoff

What the labels mean →

Record so far

Over/under: — 2 picks waiting for a result
Current streak, ATS: 1 win in a row Longest: 1 win

Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.

Against the spread, live record since Week 6: +0.9 points 1 pick scored · all priced by the market; 1-0 (1 of 1 decided picks); a coin flip averages 50%.

A right pick on a 50-50 game earns 1 point, a right underdog pick earns more, and a wrong pick costs 1. Above zero means better than the betting odds expected. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated

7 picks waiting for a result, all recorded before kickoff.

Pick log
Market-adjusted results
By week
Record in each team's games
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Every pick

Week 7 · ATS 1-0-0; O/U 2 waiting for a result

Game	Against the spread	Over/under	Final	How we got it
NE at CHI Thu, Oct 22	CHI -2.5 Win	—	NE 24, CHI 30	Recorded before kickoff
CLE at TEN Sun, Oct 25	—	Under 38.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
IND at MIN Sun, Oct 25	IND +6.5 Pending	—	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
NYG at HOU Sun, Oct 25	NYG +10.5 Pending Changed before kickoff: NYG +10 (Oct 21, 11:29 a.m. ET), then NYG +10.5 (Oct 22, 10:32 a.m. ET)	—	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
TB at CAR Sun, Oct 25	TB +3.5 Pending	Over 44.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
LAR at LV Sun, Oct 25	LV +4.5 Pending	—	Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
KC at SEA Sun, Oct 25	SEA -2.5 Pending	—	Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff

All Week 7 picks

Market-adjusted results

Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and how picking every favorite would have done. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks read after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. How points work

The 2026 season, the last four weeks, and the live record (picks recorded before kickoff, from Week 6) when available. Straight-up picks without a two-way price at the time are excluded from points; spread and over/under picks without line odds are scored at even odds.
Market and period	Record in these picks	Market-adjusted points	Compared with
Against the spread 2026 season	1-0	+0.9 points 1 pick scored · all priced by the market	Coin flip: 50% 0.5 of 1 decided
Against the spread Live record since Week 6	1-0	+0.9 points 1 pick scored · all priced by the market	Coin flip: 50% 0.5 of 1 decided

By week

W-L-P by week.
Week	Against the spread	Over/under
Week 7	1-0-0	2 picks waiting for a result
Season	1-0-0	2 picks waiting for a result

By team

Record when picking each team

W-L-P. "Picked to win" counts picks on that team; "picked to lose" counts picks on its opponent.
Team	ATS on them	ATS against
CAR Carolina Panthers	—	—
CHI Chicago Bears	1-0-0	—
HOU Houston Texans	—	—
IND Indianapolis Colts	—	—
KC Kansas City Chiefs	—	—
LV Las Vegas Raiders	—	—
LAR Los Angeles Rams	—	—
MIN Minnesota Vikings	—	—
NE New England Patriots	—	1-0-0
NYG New York Giants	—	—
SEA Seattle Seahawks	—	—
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers	—	—