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The rule

Market-adjusted points over the last four NFL weeks with graded picks: at least 15 scored picks (10 on totals) and at least +2.0 points, for forecasters whose record on that market starts before the window. Levels (No.1 to Top 10) in the same window use the live record only, with at least 30 scored picks (20 on totals).

Holders now

4

Window

last 4 weeks

Picks that count. Picks we recorded before kickoff; picks whose time before kickoff was set by the publishing platform (timestamped by the publishing platform) or shown by a web archive copy of the page (archive record); and, for ESPN, CBS Sports and NFL.com, picks read after the game where the outlet's own published record for that expert matches our recount (per the outlet's published record). Any other pick read after the game can only lower a record, and any known loss ends a run. Points use the fair market price at the moment of each pick, with the bookmaker margin taken out; a straight-up pick without a two-sided price at that moment is left out, a spread or total pick without a price on its own line counts at even odds, and a pick read after the game counts as a miss (−1). Levels (No.1, Top 3, Top 5, Top 10) use the live record only, from Week 6 of 2026 on.