House · Michigan · Before the vote

Michigan 7th District (MI-7): what the forecasters say

William Lawrence (D) vs Tom Barrett (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill

The seat is held by a Republican. FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH favor the Democrat; Inside Elections rates it a Toss-up. They split: at least one names a favorite while another calls it a Toss-up. No rating change caught here since Oct 21.

Result: after Nov 3. Once the race is called, the result appears on this page, and each forecaster’s final rating, sealed before the polls close, is graded under the published rules.

✓ Sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET · Verify

Right now

Each forecaster’s current rating

The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.

Forecaster	Rating	Side	As of	Source
Inside Elections	Toss-up	Toss-up	Dec 5, 2025	Their House forecast →
FiftyPlusOne	Likely Dem	D Likely	recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET	Their House forecast →
DDHQ / The Hill	Lean D	D Lean	Oct 14	Their House forecast →
Race to the WH	Tilt D	D Tilt	Oct 31	Their House forecast →

Rating history

Changes since Oct 21 (0)

A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.

Unchanged since Oct 21: Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH.

Inside Elections dates its rating here Dec 5, 2025, by its own date column: the rating has not changed since then. Our record shows no change since Oct 21.

Same state

Other battlegrounds in Michigan

Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed (D) vs Mike Rogers (R)
Michigan governor
Jocelyn Benson (D) vs John James (R)
Michigan 4 (House)
Sean McCann (D) vs Bill Huizenga (R)
Michigan 10 (House)
Christina Hines (D) vs Michael Bouchard (R)

How this race will be graded

Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.

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