House · Michigan · Before the vote
Michigan 4th District (MI-4): what the forecasters say
Sean McCann (D) vs Bill Huizenga (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill
The seat is held by a Republican. FiftyPlusOne favors the Democrat; DDHQ / The Hill favors the Republican; Inside Elections and Race to the WH rate it a Toss-up. That is a head-on clash: the forecasters name opposite winners. 3 rating changes caught since Oct 21, the latest Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Toss-up | Toss-up | Oct 29 | Their House forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | Lean Dem | D Lean | recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET | Their House forecast → |
| DDHQ / The Hill | Lean R | R Lean | Oct 14 | Their House forecast → |
| Race to the WH | Tossup | Toss-up | Oct 31 | Their House forecast → |
Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (3)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
| When we saw it | Forecaster | From → to |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET | Inside Elections | Tilt R → Toss-up (toward D) |
| Oct 26, 10:09 PM ET | Race to the WH | Tilt R 67% → Toss-up R 63% (toward D) |
| Oct 26, 2:07 PM ET | Race to the WH | Toss-up R 62% → Tilt R 67% (toward R) |
No change since Oct 21: FiftyPlusOne and DDHQ / The Hill.
Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 29, by its own change date: Tilt Republican → Toss-up. That is the change in the table above: we first saw it Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET.
Same state
Other battlegrounds in Michigan
- Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed (D) vs Mike Rogers (R) - Michigan governor
Jocelyn Benson (D) vs John James (R) - Michigan 7 (House)
William Lawrence (D) vs Tom Barrett (R) - Michigan 10 (House)
Christina Hines (D) vs Michael Bouchard (R)
How this race will be graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.
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