USA Today Sportsbook Wire · 2026–27 NBA season · 24 graded picks
Payton Shanks: NBA picks and record
Payton Shanks's public 2026–27 NBA picks published at USA Today Sportsbook Wire. Overall graded record: 12-12-0 (50.0%, 95% likely range 31–69%) across 24 scored picks, with -4.0 market-adjusted points on 16 priced picks. Each pick below shows when it was recorded. Updated , results through Nov 10, 2026.
Season record
- All markets
- 12-12-050.0% · 24 graded picks · 95% likely range 31–69%
- Moneyline (winner)
- 0-2-00.0% · 95% likely range 0–66% · 2 priced · min. 5 for points
- Spread
- 2-4-033.3% · 95% likely range 10–70% · -2.0 pts on 6 priced
- Over/under
- 4-4-050.0% · 95% likely range 22–78% · +0.0 pts on 8 priced
One person counts once. A writer who publishes under the same full name at more than one outlet is one record, listed under the outlet with the larger graded sample, and a pick posted at both outlets is counted once. Outlet columns and channels without a byline are listed on the sources page.
Recording history · 24 recordings
- 24 Recorded before tip-off (100%)
- 0 Timestamped before tip-off (0%)
- 0 Read after the game (0%)
Read after the game: the pick as the source shows it now, read after the game started, with no verifiable pre-game stamp. These picks are shown and counted in recording history only; they do not enter records, points or leaderboards. What the labels mean →
All NBA picks, newest first
Recorded before tip-off (24)
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 21.5 Jamal Murray · points · actual 38 DEN at HOU · Mon, Nov 9 author odds 1.95 · Result only (no price) Win
captured Mon, Nov 9, 10:11 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 5–2 · 71% before this game
Quote
Best prop bet Nuggets G JAMAL MURRAY OVER 21.5 POINTS (-105).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Under 219.5 DEN at HOU · Mon, Nov 9 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts CLV -4.5% Win
captured Mon, Nov 9, 10:11 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 3–4 · 43% before this game
Quote
Over/Under BET UNDER 219.5 (-110)
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Nuggets +8.5 DEN at HOU · Mon, Nov 9 Priced (1.93) -1.00 pts CLV -5.1% Loss
captured Mon, Nov 9, 10:11 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 2–3 · 40% before this game
Quote
Against the spread LEAN NUGGETS +8.5 (-105)
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 7.5 Ausar Thompson · rebounds · actual 5 WAS at DET · Mon, Nov 9 author odds 1.87 · Result only (no price) Loss
captured Mon, Nov 9, 9:12 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 5–1 · 83% before this game
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Best prop bet Pistons F AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS (-115).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Under 218.5 WAS at DET · Mon, Nov 9 Priced (1.90) -1.00 pts CLV -5.7% Loss
captured Mon, Nov 9, 9:12 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 3–3 · 50% before this game
Quote
Over/Under BET UNDER 218.5 (-110) .
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Pistons -10.5 WAS at DET · Mon, Nov 9 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts CLV -5.5% Win
captured Mon, Nov 9, 9:12 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 1–3 · 25% before this game
Quote
Against the spread BET PISTONS -10.5 (-110) .
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 6.5 Amen Thompson · rebounds · actual 7 HOU at PHX · Sat, Nov 7 author odds 1.74 · Result only (no price) Win
captured Sat, Nov 7, 12:41 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 4–1 · 80% before this game
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Best prop bet ROCKETS G AMEN THOMPSON OVER 6.5 REBOUNDS (-135).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Under 223.5 HOU at PHX · Sat, Nov 7 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts CLV -4.5% Win
captured Sat, Nov 7, 12:41 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 2–3 · 40% before this game
Quote
Over/Under LEAN UNDER 223.5 (-110).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Rockets -6.5 HOU at PHX · Sat, Nov 7 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts CLV -6.5% Loss
captured Sat, Nov 7, 12:41 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 1–2 · 33% before this game
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Against the spread BET ROCKETS -6.5 (-115).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 26.5 Stephen Curry · points · actual 41 ORL at GSW · Sat, Nov 7 author odds 1.87 · Result only (no price) Win
captured Sat, Nov 7, 12:41 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 3–1 · 75% before this game
Quote
Best prop bet Warriors G STEPHEN CURRY OVER 26.5 POINTS (-115).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Under 222.5 ORL at GSW · Sat, Nov 7 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts CLV -4.5% Loss
captured Sat, Nov 7, 12:41 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 2–2 · 50% before this game
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Over/Under LEAN UNDER 222.5 (-110).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Warriors -5.5 ORL at GSW · Sat, Nov 7 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts CLV -3.3% Win
captured Sat, Nov 7, 12:41 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 0–2 · 0% before this game
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Against the spread BET WARRIORS -5.5 (-110).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 35.5 Luka Dončić · points · actual 53 POR at LAL · Fri, Nov 6 author odds 1.80 · Result only (no price) Win
captured Fri, Nov 6, 11:41 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 2–1 · 67% before this game
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Best prop bet Lakers G LUKA DONCIC OVER 35.5 POINTS (-125).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 231.5 POR at LAL · Fri, Nov 6 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts CLV -3.7% Win
captured Fri, Nov 6, 11:41 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–2 · 33% before this game
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Over/Under BET OVER 231.5 (-110).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Trail Blazers POR at LAL · Fri, Nov 6 Priced (2.21) -1.00 pts CLV -4.2% Loss
captured Fri, Nov 6, 11:41 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 0–1 · 0% before this game
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Moneyline LEAN TRAIL BLAZERS (+125) .
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 18.5 Ajay Mitchell · points · actual 35 OKC at MEM · Fri, Nov 6 author odds 1.83 · Result only (no price) Win
captured Fri, Nov 6, 10:41 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 1–1 · 50% before this game
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Thunder G AJAY MITCHELL OVER 18.5 POINTS (-120).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Under 224.5 OKC at MEM · Fri, Nov 6 Priced (1.88) -1.00 pts CLV -6.5% Loss
captured Fri, Nov 6, 10:41 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–1 · 50% before this game
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BET UNDER 224.5 (-115) .
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Grizzlies +4.5 OKC at MEM · Fri, Nov 6 Priced (1.88) -1.00 pts CLV -7.6% Loss
captured Fri, Nov 6, 10:41 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 0–1 · 0% before this game
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LEAN GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-118) .
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Under 24.5 Nikola Jokić · points · actual 32 TOR at DEN · Wed, Nov 4 author odds 1.87 · Result only (no price) Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 1–0 · 100% before this game
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Best prop bet Nuggets C NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 24.5 POINTS (-115).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 230.5 TOR at DEN · Wed, Nov 4 Priced (1.90) +1.00 pts CLV -2.4% Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
Over/Under LEAN OVER 230.5 (-110).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Raptors TOR at DEN · Wed, Nov 4 Priced (2.55) -1.00 pts CLV -6.3% Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Moneyline LEAN RAPTORS (+155)
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 2.5 Fred VanVleet · 3-pointers made · actual 4 MIN at HOU · Wed, Nov 4 author odds 2.05 · Result only (no price) Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 9:42 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Best prop bet Rockets G FRED VANVLEET OVER 2.5 3s MADE (+105).
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Under 220.5 MIN at HOU · Wed, Nov 4 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts CLV -4.5% Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 9:42 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Over/Under BET UNDER 220.5 (-110) .
- Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Rockets -7.5 MIN at HOU · Wed, Nov 4 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts CLV -6.8% Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 9:42 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Against the spread LEAN ROCKETS -7.5 (-118) .
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