NBA · Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026 · 9:12 p.m. ET · Final · Wed, Nov 4

Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets expert picks and results, Nov 4, 2026

Denver Nuggets beat Toronto Raptors 128–109 on Nov 4, 2026. 4 of 7 moneyline picks (57%), 3 of 5 spread picks, 5 of 6 over/under picks were right. Each pick below is graded at the exact line recorded with that source's pick. Updated Nov 5, 2026, 7 a.m. ET.

Matchup picture · final · 16 experts graded

Nuggets beat the Raptors 128–109: 4 of 7 experts picked the Nuggets

Spread: 3 of 5 right · Over/under: 5 of 6 right.

TOR to win, no spread pick 3
TOR to cover, no moneyline pick 2
DEN to cover, no moneyline pick 2
DEN to win, no spread pick 3
DEN to win and cover 1
Over/under pick only 3
Other 2

Toronto Raptors4-3 before this game

109–128

Denver Nuggets3-3 before this game

Final · Wed, Nov 4, 9:12 p.m. ET · Market favorite: DEN (62%)

How the picks turned out

4 of 7 counted winner picks took the Nuggets; most sources were right.

TOR: 3 (43%)DEN: 4 (57%) · Won

Spread: 3 of 5 right at the recorded lines.

Over/under: 5 of 6 right at the recorded lines.

Matchup picture

Based on 18 counted picks on this game; the picture appears once a game has 8. Bars: how the picks split by market; for against the spread and totals, the dots below a bar show which lines the sources printed. Prices are the no-margin market price when each pick was recorded, averaged per side. Not shown: 8 picks on other markets (60-min regulation, team totals, player props) — see the lists below.

Show as table

Market	Side	Picks	Lines printed	Avg. price at record
Moneyline (winner)	TOR	3		2.69
	DEN	4		1.53
Spread	TOR	2	+4.5	2.01
	DEN	3	-4.5, -3.5	2.00
Over/under	Over	5	228.5, 230.5, 231.5	1.96
	Under	1	231.5	1.99

Picks

26 picks: 7 moneyline (winner) · 5 spread · 6 over/under · 8 player props

Within each side, picks are ordered by the writer's record on that market before this game.

Moneyline (winner) (7 counted of 7)

TOR: 3 (43%)DEN: 4 (57%) · Won

Toronto Raptors (3)

Recorded before tip-off (3)

PredixSport Raptors Priced (2.55) -1.00 pts Loss
published Wed, Nov 4, 12:17 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 15–8 · 65% before this game
Quote
Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors 🏆 Winner: Toronto Raptors (75.7%)
Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Raptors Priced (2.55) -1.00 pts CLV -6.3% Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Moneyline LEAN RAPTORS (+155)
Charlie Cummings DraftKings Network Raptors Priced (2.60) -1.00 pts CLV -1.2% Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 6:42 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
Best Bet: Toronto Raptors Moneyline (+169)

Denver Nuggets (4)

Recorded before tip-off (4)

Kim Smith Picks and Parlays Nuggets Result only (no price) Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 12:43 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 4–1 · 80% before this game
Quote
Moneyline Pick: Denver Nuggets I’m going with Denver.
David Anicetti StatSalt Nuggets Result only (no price) Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 1:12 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 4–2 · 67% before this game
Quote
Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Game Pick Denver Nuggets ... I expect a close contest, but I'll take Denver to win at home.
Kappara.Net Nuggets Result only (no price) Win
published Wed, Nov 4, 10:27 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 5–4 · 56% before this game
Quote
10. Торонто — Денвер: П2
BetMGM Nuggets Priced (1.53) +0.53 pts Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 9:14 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 1–1 · 50% before this game
Quote
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday ‘s game with 61.4% confidence

Spread (5 counted of 5)

TOR: 2 (40%)DEN: 3 (60%)

Toronto Raptors (2)

Recorded before tip-off (2)

Peter Dewey SI Betting (Sports Illustrated) Raptors +4.5 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts CLV -6.5% Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:42 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 9–7 · 56% before this game
Quote
Pick: Raptors +4.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Peter Tran Sports Chat Place Raptors +4.5 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 12:12 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 4–5 · 44% before this game
Quote
Peter Tran's Free Pick: Toronto +4.5

Denver Nuggets (3)

Recorded before tip-off (3)

Mr. Reddington Basketball Sphere Nuggets -3.5 Priced (1.88) +1.00 pts CLV -4.2% Win
captured Tue, Nov 3, 11:45 p.m. ET · original page
Quote
I am backing Denver Nuggets -3.5 at odds of 1.80 with BetLabel.
Kappara.Net Nuggets -4.5 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts Win
published Wed, Nov 4, 10:27 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 4–5 · 44% before this game
Quote
10. Торонто — Денвер: ... Денвер -4.5
Cameron Ross Winners and Whiners Nuggets -4.5 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 1:11 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 1–4 · 20% before this game
Quote
Pick: Denver Nuggets -4.5

Over/under (6 counted of 6)

Over: 5 (83%)Under: 1 (17%)

Over (5)

Recorded before tip-off (5)

VseProSport Over 228.5 Priced (1.71) +0.77 pts CLV -7.0% Win
published Wed, Nov 4, 2:05 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 3–1 · 75% before this game
Quote
🏀 🇸 Денвер Наггетс — Торонто Рэпторс. Прогноз на матч НБА — тотал больше 228.5 очков ⚫️ 1,70
Brandon Sachs Pickswise Over 230.5 Priced (1.90) +1.00 pts CLV -1.9% Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Brandon Sachs High Toronto Raptors Denver Nuggets NBA Wed, Nov 4 9:00 PM Over 230.5 o230.5 -106 Read more The Raptors continue their Western Conference road trip in Denver. The Nuggets allow the mos ... n the league, and Toronto leads the NBA in that category. The Raptors scored 125 in back-to-back games in Los Angeles, and no visitor has scored fewer than 118 at Ball Arena this season. o230.5 -109
Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 230.5 Priced (1.90) +1.00 pts CLV -2.4% Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
Over/Under LEAN OVER 230.5 (-110).
Kappara.Net Over 230.5 Priced (1.90) +1.00 pts Win
published Wed, Nov 4, 10:27 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 3–6 · 33% before this game
Quote
10. Торонто — Денвер: ... Больше 230.5
Cameron Ross Winners and Whiners Over 231.5 Priced (1.91) +1.02 pts Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 1:11 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–4 · 20% before this game
Quote
Total: Over 231.5

Under (1)

Recorded before tip-off (1)

Al McMordie Big Al Under 231.5 Priced (1.90) -1.00 pts CLV -4.5% Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 2:44 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Under 231.5 (-110) (BetMGM)

Player props (8 counted of 8)

Recorded before tip-off (8)

Payton Shanks USA Today Sportsbook Wire Under 24.5 Nikola Jokić · points · actual 32 author odds 1.87 · Result only (no price) Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Best prop bet Nuggets C NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 24.5 POINTS (-115).
Covers Under 23.5 Scottie Barnes · points · actual 17 Result only (no price) Win
captured Tue, Nov 3, 11:10 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 105–94 · 53% before this game
Quote
TOR @ DEN Wed, Nov 4 • 9:00 PM ET Points Scored Scottie Barnes u23.5 Points Scored (55%) Projection 20.497 (Under) Best Odds u23.5 55% Pick made: 11 minutes ago
Covers Under 9.5 Nikola Jokić · assists · actual 11 Priced (1.90) -1.00 pts Loss
captured Tue, Nov 3, 11:10 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 105–94 · 53% before this game
Quote
Total Assists Nikola Jokic u9.5 Total Assists (55%) Projection 7.3958 (Under) Best Odds u9.5 55% Pick made: 17 minutes ago
Covers Over 5.5 Trevon Brazile · points · actual 6 Result only (no price) Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 8:41 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 105–94 · 53% before this game
Quote
Trevon Brazile o5.5 Points Scored (50%) ... Pick made: 3 minutes ago EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Covers Under 22.5 Scottie Barnes · points · actual 17 Result only (no price) Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 11:41 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 105–94 · 53% before this game
Quote
Scottie Barnes u22.5 Points Scored (50%) ... Pick made: 23 minutes ago EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Peter Dewey SI Betting (Sports Illustrated) Over 22.5 Scottie Barnes · points · actual 17 author odds 1.82 · Result only (no price) Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:42 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 8–14 · 36% before this game
Quote
Scottie Barnes OVER 22.5 Points (-122)
Dustin Saracini Covers Over 21.5 RJ Barrett · points · actual 22 Result only (no price) Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 2:41 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 0–2 · 0% before this game
Quote
RJ Barrett o21.5 Points Scored (57%) ... Pick made: an hour ago Dustin Saracini Senior Analyst
Dustin Saracini Covers Over 19.5 RJ Barrett · points · actual 22 Result only (no price) Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 8:41 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 0–2 · 0% before this game
Quote
Pick made: 7 hours ago Dustin Saracini Senior Analyst o19.5 58%

Recording history · 29 recordings, including 1 repeat of the same pick

27 Recorded before tip-off (93%)
0 Timestamped before tip-off (0%)
2 Read after the game (7%)

Read after the game: the pick as the source shows it now, read after the game started, with no verifiable pre-game stamp. These picks are shown and counted in recording history only; they do not enter records, points or leaderboards. What the labels mean →

Repeats and picks read after the game (3)

Recorded before tip-off (0 + 1 repeat)

Pickswise Over 230.5 Priced (1.86) Repeat
captured Wed, Nov 4, 11:41 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 9–12 · 43% before this game
Quote
Over 230.5 o230.5 -108 ... High ... The Nuggets allow the most offensive rebounds in the league and Toronto leads the NBA in that category. The Raptors scored 125 in back-to-back games in Los Angeles, and no visitor has scored fewer than 118 at Ball Arena this season.

Read after the game (2)

Craig Trapp Doc's Sports Over 230.5 Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game
captured Thu, Nov 5, 7:11 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Craig Trapp 7-Unit Play. Take #521 Over (230.5) Toronto vs Denver (9:10 pm, Wednesday November 4) **FD Odds**
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Nuggets -4.5 author odds 1.91 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game
captured Sat, Nov 7, 5:21 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Nuggets -4.5 (-110)

Market reference (no-margin closing probabilities)

Before tip-off, the betting market gave the Nuggets a 62% chance to win (with bookmaker margin removed) and the Raptors 38%, by the median of the no-margin closing prices behind the recorded picks. Market lines are shown for context so you can compare each source's pick with the market of the day; each pick is graded against the line recorded with that pick. How points are calculated

Lines the sources printed: Spread DEN -4.5, DEN -3.5, TOR +4.5; Over/under 228.5, 230.5, 231.5.

Sources

15 sources · 15 pages · Tip-off Wed, Nov 4, 9:12 p.m. ET; picks seen after it are labeled. How recording works

Basketball Sphere · record · first recorded Tue, Nov 3, 11:45 p.m. ET
BetMGM · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 9:14 a.m. ET
Big Al · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 2:44 p.m. ET
Covers · record · first recorded Tue, Nov 3, 11:10 p.m. ET; last Wed, Nov 4, 8:41 p.m. ET
DraftKings Network · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 6:42 p.m. ET
Kappara.Net · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 10:27 a.m. ET; last Wed, Nov 4, 10:27 a.m. ET
Picks and Parlays · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 12:43 a.m. ET
Pickswise · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 10:10 a.m. ET
PredixSport · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 12:17 p.m. ET
SI Betting (Sports Illustrated) · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 10:42 a.m. ET; last Wed, Nov 4, 10:42 a.m. ET
Sports Chat Place · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 12:12 a.m. ET
StatSalt · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 1:12 a.m. ET
USA Today Sportsbook Wire · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 10:10 a.m. ET; last Wed, Nov 4, 10:10 a.m. ET
VseProSport · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 2:05 p.m. ET
Winners and Whiners · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 1:11 a.m. ET; last Wed, Nov 4, 1:11 a.m. ET