House · Texas · Before the vote
Texas 23rd District (TX-23): what the forecasters say
Katy Stout (D) vs Brandon Herrera (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill
The seat is held by a Republican. Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne and DDHQ / The Hill favor the Republican; Race to the WH rates it a Toss-up. They split: at least one names a favorite while another calls it a Toss-up. No rating change caught here since Oct 21.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Likely Republican | R Likely | May 8 | Their House forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | Lean Rep | R Lean | recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET | Their House forecast → |
| DDHQ / The Hill | Likely R | R Likely | Oct 14 | Their House forecast → |
| Race to the WH | Tossup | Toss-up | Oct 31 | Their House forecast → |
Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (0)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
Unchanged since Oct 21: Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH.
Inside Elections dates its rating here May 8, by its own date column: the rating has not changed since then. Our record shows no change since Oct 21.
Same state
Other battlegrounds in Texas
- Texas Senate
James Talarico (D) vs Ken Paxton (R) - Texas governor
Gina Hinojosa (D) vs Greg Abbott (R) - Texas 9 (House)
Leticia Gutierrez (D) vs Alex Mealer (R) - Texas 15 (House)
Bobby Pulido (D) vs Monica De La Cruz (R) - Texas 28 (House)
Henry Cuellar (D) vs Tano Tijerina (R) - Texas 34 (House)
Vicente Gonzalez (D) vs Eric Flores (R) - Texas 35 (House)
Johnny Garcia (D) vs Carlos De La Cruz (R)
How this race will be graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.
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