Tampa Bay Lightning
11-4-2 this season
Last games: CHI 1, TBL 4 Thu, Nov 5 · TBL 4, MIN 3 Sat, Nov 7 · TBL 3, WPG 4 Sun, Nov 8
NHL · Wednesday, Nov 11, 2026 · 7:10 p.m. ET · Scheduled · Week 7 · Wed, Nov 11
Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres expert picks, Nov 11, 2026
4 public picks recorded from 4 sources for Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres (Wed, Nov 11, 7:10 p.m. ET). On the moneyline (including OT/SO), 3 of 4 counted picks take Lightning (75%), compared with a 54% no-margin market win probability. Updated .
Wed, Nov 11, 7:10 p.m. ET
Scheduled · Market favorite: TBL (54%)
Where the picks stand
3 of 4 counted winner picks take the Lightning.
TBL: 3 (75%)BUF: 1 (25%)
Picks
4 picks: 4 moneyline (incl. OT/SO)
Within each side, picks are ordered by the writer's record on that market before this game.
Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) (4 counted of 4)
TBL: 3 (75%)BUF: 1 (25%)
Tampa Bay Lightning (3)
Recorded before puck drop (3)
- Kim Smith Picks and Parlays Lightning Result only (no price) Pending
captured Wed, Nov 11, 12:43 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 30–12 · 71% before this game
Quote
Moneyline Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning I’m taking Tampa Bay.
- Tipico.de Lightning Priced (1.80) Pending
captured Wed, Nov 11, 4:13 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 6–3 · 67% before this game
Quote
Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 12.11.2026, 01:00 Uhr - KeyBank Center Tipp 2 2,20
- Tokyo Brandon SportsMemo Lightning Priced (1.80) Pending
captured Wed, Nov 11, 1:41 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 4–2 · 67% before this game
Quote
(57) Tampa Bay Lightning at (58) Buffalo Sabres: Moneyline The Play Tampa Bay Lightning -122
Buffalo Sabres (1)
Recorded before puck drop (1)
- Guy Bruhn Doc's Sports Sabres author odds 2.07 · Result only (no price) Pending
captured Tue, Nov 10, 6:45 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 3–6 · 33% before this game
Quote
Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo (+107)
Recording history · 5 recordings, including 1 repeat of the same pick
- 5 Recorded before puck drop (100%)
- 0 Timestamped before puck drop (0%)
- 0 Read after the game (0%)
Read after the game: the pick as the source shows it now, read after the game started, with no verifiable pre-game stamp. These picks are shown and counted in recording history only; they do not enter records, points or leaderboards. What the labels mean →
Repeats and picks read after the game (1)
Recorded before puck drop (0 + 1 repeat)
- Tokyo Brandon WagerTalk Lightning Priced (1.80) Repeat
captured Wed, Nov 11, 1:41 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 4–2 · 67% before this game
Quote
Event: (57) Tampa Bay Lightning at (58) Buffalo Sabres: Moneyline Date/Time: November 11, 2026 7:07 PM EST Play: Tampa Bay Lightning -122
Market reference (no-margin closing probabilities)
Ahead of puck drop, the betting market gives the Lightning a 54% chance to win (with bookmaker margin removed) and the Sabres 46%, by the median of the no-margin prices recorded with the picks so far. Market lines are shown for context so you can compare each source's pick with the market of the day; each pick is graded against the line recorded with that pick. How points are calculated
Sources
4 sources · 4 pages · Puck drop Wed, Nov 11, 7:10 p.m. ET; picks seen after it are labeled. How recording works
- Doc's Sports · record · first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 6:45 p.m. ET
- Picks and Parlays · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:43 a.m. ET
- SportsMemo · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 1:41 a.m. ET
- Tipico.de · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 4:13 a.m. ET
The two teams
Buffalo Sabres
8-6-3 this season
Last games: OTT 2, BUF 1 Wed, Nov 4 · CBJ 2, BUF 5 Fri, Nov 6 · VGK 4, BUF 1 Sun, Nov 8
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