Chicago Blackhawks
4-13-1 this season
Last games: CHI 4, BOS 5 Sat, Oct 31 · COL 5, CHI 2 Mon, Nov 2 · CHI 3, FLA 5 Wed, Nov 4
Next: CHI 2, CAR 9 Sat, Nov 7
NHL · Thursday, Nov 5, 2026 · 7:12 p.m. ET · Final · Week 6 · Thu, Nov 5
Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning expert picks and results, Nov 5, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning beat Chicago Blackhawks 4–1 in regulation on Nov 5, 2026. 5 of 5 moneyline picks (100%) were right, 1 of 1 60-minute regulation pick. Each pick below shows when it was recorded and is graded against the official score. Updated .
1–4
Final · Thu, Nov 5, 7:12 p.m. ET · Market favorite: TBL (80%)
How the picks turned out
5 of 5 counted winner picks took the Lightning; most sources were right.
CHI: 0 (0%)TBL: 5 (100%) · Won
60-min regulation: 1 of 1 right at the recorded lines.
Puck line: 5 of 6 right at the recorded lines.
Over/under: 1 of 4 right at the recorded lines.
Team totals: 1 of 2 right at the recorded lines.
Matchup picture
Show as table
| Market | Side | Picks | Lines printed | Avg. price at record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) | CHI | 0 | — | |
| TBL | 5 | 1.30 | ||
| Puck line | CHI | 1 | +2.5 | 1.84 |
| TBL | 5 | -1.5 | 1.73 | |
| Over/under | Over | 3 | 6.5 | 2.06 |
| Under | 1 | 6.5 | 1.92 |
Picks
20 picks: 5 moneyline (incl. OT/SO) · 1 60-min regulation · 6 puck line · 4 over/under · 2 team totals · 2 player props
Within each side, picks are ordered by the writer's record on that market before this game.
Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) (5 counted of 5)
CHI: 0 (0%)TBL: 5 (100%) · Won
Chicago Blackhawks (0)
No picks.
Tampa Bay Lightning (5)
Recorded before puck drop (4)
- Kim Smith Picks and Parlays Lightning Result only (no price) Win
captured Thu, Nov 5, 12:43 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 6–1 · 86% before this game
Quote
Moneyline Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning I’m taking Tampa Bay.
- Sports Chat Place Lightning Result only (no price) Win
captured Thu, Nov 5, 2:42 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 7–3 · 70% before this game
Quote
I’m on the Lightning in this one. I get the case to be made for an underdog in some spots, but this is just a bad matchup for Chicago. The Lightning are at home and Chicago’s been getting crushed on ... on long up to this point. The Lightning are in a big spot for a big win here and if they can’t crush Chicago here then we’ll need to have a talk. I’ll lay it in a big way with Tampa Bay in this one.
- FanDuel Research Lightning Priced (1.25) +0.30 pts Win
captured Thu, Nov 5, 8:11 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 7–4 · 64% before this game
Quote
Prediction: Lightning win (81.5%)
- Dustin Saracini Covers Lightning Result only (no price) Win
captured Thu, Nov 5, 11:42 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 11–8 · 58% before this game
Quote
Blackhawks vs. Lightning pick: Lightning Novig probability: 80%
Timestamped before puck drop (1)
- Pensador ML | Machine Learning Lightning Priced (1.25) +0.30 pts CLV -1.3% Win
published Thu, Nov 5, 8 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
🏆 USA - NHL 🆚 Chicago Blackhawks @ Tampa Bay Lightning ➡️ Tampa Bay Lightning ML 📈 @1.24 🏠 Pinnacle 💰 Stake 0.5/10 📅 06-11-2026 01:00
60-min regulation (1 counted of 1)
Recorded before puck drop (1)
- Kush v Sporte Lightning Priced (1.38) +0.52 pts Win
captured Thu, Nov 5, 4:11 p.m. ET · original page · 60-min regulation 21–20 · 51% before this game
Quote
Тампа-Бэй Лайтнинг Чикаго Блэкхокс ... Наша ставка и коэффициент на П1 - 1.46 Прогноз: П1
Puck line (6 counted of 6)
CHI: 1 (17%)TBL: 5 (83%)
Chicago Blackhawks (1)
Recorded before puck drop (1)
- BetMGM Blackhawks +2.5 Alt line Priced (1.77) -1.00 pts Loss
captured Thu, Nov 5, 8:12 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Blackhawks | +2.5 -118
Tampa Bay Lightning (5)
Recorded before puck drop (5)
- Cameron Ross StatSalt Lightning -1.5 Priced (1.67) +0.72 pts Win
captured Thu, Nov 5, 1:41 a.m. ET · original page · Puck line 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
- Alex MacMillan Winners and Whiners Lightning -1.5 Priced (1.61) +0.66 pts CLV +2.8% Win
captured Thu, Nov 5, 6:42 p.m. ET · original page · Puck line 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday November 5 2026 Tampa Bay Puck Line at -142 Tampa Bay -1.5 at -142 tonight. The Lightning hosting Chicago
- Chris Ruffolo Sports Chat Place Lightning -1.5 Priced (1.65) +0.72 pts Win
captured Thu, Nov 5, 2:42 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
- VseProSport Lightning -1.5 Priced (1.63) +0.63 pts CLV -5.3% Win
published Thu, Nov 5, 3:06 p.m. ET · original page
Quote
🏒 🇺🇸 Тампа-Бэй Лайтнинг — Чикаго Блэкхоукс. Прогноз на матч НХЛ — победа «Тампы-Бэй» с форой (-1.5) шайбы ⚫️ 1,57
- Evgeniy Sergienko LiveSport.ru Lightning -1.5 Priced (1.80) +0.90 pts CLV +16.5% Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 9:11 a.m. ET · original page · Puck line 0–2 · 0% before this game
Quote
1.93 «Тампа-Бэй» победит с форой -1.5 Ставка на матч #1 Поставить →
Over/under (4 counted of 4)
Over: 3 (75%)Under: 1 (25%)
Over (3)
Recorded before puck drop (3)
- Cameron Ross StatSalt Over 6.5 Priced (1.97) -1.00 pts Loss
captured Thu, Nov 5, 1:41 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 3–1 · 75% before this game
Quote
Total Pick: Over 6.5
- Kim Smith Picks and Parlays Over 6.5 Priced (1.97) -1.00 pts Loss
captured Thu, Nov 5, 12:43 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 4–2 · 67% before this game
Quote
Total Pick: Over 6.5 Goals I’m leaning over 6.5 if the sportsbooks offer that number.
- Tokyo Brandon Over 6.5 Priced (1.94) -1.00 pts Loss
published Thu, Nov 5, 10:05 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 2–4 · 33% before this game
Quote
Why the Over 6.5 is the smart play for Blackhawks vs Lightning tonight.
Under (1)
Recorded before puck drop (1)
- Connor Grootenhuis Pickswise Under 6.5 Priced (1.83) +0.92 pts Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:42 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–1 · 50% before this game
Quote
Connor Grootenhuis Medium Chicago Blackhawks Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Thu, Nov 5 7:00 PM Under 6.5
Team totals (2 counted of 2)
Recorded before puck drop (2)
- Evgeniy Sergienko LiveSport.ru CHI under 2.5 Priced (1.61) +0.78 pts CLV +4.0% Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 9:11 a.m. ET · original page · Team totals 5–4–2 · 56% before this game
Quote
1.74 Индивидуальный тотал «Чикаго» меньше 2.5 Ставка на матч #2 Поставить →
- VSiN TBL over 4 Priced (1.65) +0.00 pts CLV -7.5% Push
captured Thu, Nov 5, 3:12 p.m. ET · original page · Team totals 0–2 · 0% before this game
Quote
Tampa Bay Lightning Team Total Over 4 (-155) – 2 units
Player props (2 counted of 2)
Recorded before puck drop (2)
- VSiN Over 0.5 Ilya Mikheyev · points · actual 2 author odds 2.35 · Result only (no price) Win
captured Thu, Nov 5, 3:12 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 2–8 · 20% before this game
Quote
Ilya Mikheyev Over 1⁄2 point (+135) – 1⁄4 unit
- VSiN Over 0.5 Nikita Kucherov · goals · actual 0 author odds 2.35 · Result only (no price) Loss
captured Thu, Nov 5, 3:12 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 2–8 · 20% before this game
Quote
Nikita Kucherov anytime goal (+135) – 1⁄4 unit
Recording history · 25 recordings, including 5 repeats of the same pick
- 23 Recorded before puck drop (92%)
- 1 Timestamped before puck drop (4%)
- 1 Read after the game (4%)
Read after the game: the pick as the source shows it now, read after the game started, with no verifiable pre-game stamp. These picks are shown and counted in recording history only; they do not enter records, points or leaderboards. What the labels mean →
Repeats and picks read after the game (5)
Recorded before puck drop (0 + 4 repeats)
- Alex MacMillan Winners and Whiners Lightning -1.5 Priced (1.61) Repeat
captured Thu, Nov 5, 6:43 p.m. ET · original page · Puck line 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Best Bet: Tampa Bay -1.5 (-142) — A 9-3-2 club scoring 3.71 per game hosting a 4-10-1 team scoring 2.25 with the worst power play in hockey.
- Pickswise Under 6.5 Priced (1.83) Repeat
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:42 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 5–5 · 50% before this game
Quote
CHI vs TB | Under 6.5 | 3⭐ | -150 | Rebet
- Connor Grootenhuis Pickswise Under 6.5 Priced (1.83) Repeat
captured Wed, Nov 4, 10:42 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–1 · 50% before this game
Quote
Blackhawks vs Lightning prediction: Under 6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing.
- MHLNHL Lightning -1.5 Priced (1.65) Repeat
published Thu, Nov 5, 9:08 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Победа Тампа с форой -1.5
Read after the game (0 + 1 repeat)
- Pickswise Under 5 author odds 1.77 · Result only (no price) Repeat
captured Thu, Nov 5, 8:40 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 5–5 · 50% before this game
Quote
CHI vs TB | Under 5 | 3⭐ | -130
Market reference (no-margin closing probabilities)
Before puck drop, the betting market gave the Lightning a 80% chance to win (with bookmaker margin removed) and the Blackhawks 20%, by the median of the no-margin closing prices behind the recorded picks. Market lines are shown for context so you can compare each source's pick with the market of the day; each pick is graded against the line recorded with that pick. How points are calculated
Lines the sources printed: Puck line CHI +2.5, TBL -1.5; Over/under 6.5.
Sources
14 sources · 14 pages · Puck drop Thu, Nov 5, 7:12 p.m. ET; picks seen after it are labeled. How recording works
- BetMGM · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 8:12 a.m. ET
- Covers · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 11:42 a.m. ET
- FanDuel Research · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 8:11 a.m. ET
- Kush v Sporte · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 4:11 p.m. ET
- LiveSport.ru · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 9:11 a.m. ET; last Wed, Nov 4, 9:11 a.m. ET
- Pensador ML | Machine Learning · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 8 a.m. ET
- Picks and Parlays · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 12:43 a.m. ET; last Thu, Nov 5, 12:43 a.m. ET
- Pickswise · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 10:42 p.m. ET
- Sports Chat Place · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 2:42 a.m. ET; last Thu, Nov 5, 2:42 a.m. ET
- StatSalt · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 1:41 a.m. ET; last Thu, Nov 5, 1:41 a.m. ET
- Tokyo Brandon · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 10:05 a.m. ET
- VSiN · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 3:12 p.m. ET; last Thu, Nov 5, 3:12 p.m. ET
- VseProSport · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 3:06 p.m. ET
- Winners and Whiners · record · first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 6:42 p.m. ET
The two teams
Tampa Bay Lightning
11-4-2 this season
Last games: WPG 4, TBL 6 Thu, Oct 29 · TBL 4, NSH 5 Sat, Oct 31 · DET 2, TBL 4 Tue, Nov 3
Next: TBL 4, MIN 3 Sat, Nov 7
Found an error on this page? Write to editors@hunchmeter.com; every confirmed fix is logged on the corrections page.