NHL · Saturday, Nov 7, 2026 · 8:09 p.m. ET · Final (OT/SO) · Week 6 · Sat, Nov 7

Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild expert picks and results, Nov 7, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Minnesota Wild 4–3 (OT/SO) on Nov 7, 2026 after a 3–3 tie in 60-minute regulation. 5 of 9 moneyline picks (including OT/SO) won, and puck line −1.5 picks on the Lightning lost on the one-goal margin. Updated Nov 8, 2026, 7 a.m. ET.

Matchup picture · final · 14 experts graded

Lightning beat the Wild 4–3: 5 of 9 experts picked the Lightning

Puck line: 1 of 2 right · Over/under: 4 of 5 right.

MIN to win, no puck line pick 4
MIN to cover, no moneyline pick 1
TBL to win, no puck line pick 4
TBL to win and cover 1
Over/under pick only 3
Other 1

Tampa Bay Lightning10-3-2 before this game

4–3

Minnesota Wild12-3-3 before this game

Final (OT/SO) · Sat, Nov 7, 8:09 p.m. ET · Reg. 60 min: 3–3 · Market favorite: TBL (55%)

How the picks turned out

5 of 9 counted winner picks took the Lightning; most sources were right.

TBL: 5 (56%) · WonMIN: 4 (44%)

Puck line: 1 of 2 right at the recorded lines.

Over/under: 4 of 5 right at the recorded lines.

Team totals: 0 of 1 right at the recorded lines.

Went past regulation: 3–3 after 60 minutes. Moneyline picks are graded on the final score; 60-minute regulation picks on the 60-minute score; a −1.5 puck line on the winner loses on the one-goal margin.

Matchup picture

Based on 16 counted picks on this game; the picture appears once a game has 8. Bars: how the picks split by market; for puck line and totals, the dots below a bar show which lines the sources printed. Prices are the no-margin market price when each pick was recorded, averaged per side. Not shown: 2 picks on other markets (60-min regulation, team totals, player props) — see the lists below.

Show as table

Market	Side	Picks	Lines printed	Avg. price at record
Moneyline (incl. OT/SO)	TBL	5		1.86
	MIN	4		2.18
Puck line	TBL	1	-1.5	2.90
	MIN	1	+1.5	1.53
Over/under	Over	4	5.5, 6.5	1.80
	Under	1	6.5	1.90

Picks

18 picks: 9 moneyline (incl. OT/SO) · 2 puck line · 5 over/under · 1 team totals · 1 player props

Within each side, picks are ordered by the writer's record on that market before this game.

Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) (9 counted of 9)

TBL: 5 (56%) · WonMIN: 4 (44%)

Tampa Bay Lightning (5)

Recorded before puck drop (5)

Kim Smith Picks and Parlays Lightning Result only (no price) Win (OT/SO)
captured Sat, Nov 7, 12:42 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 15–6 · 71% before this game
Quote
Moneyline Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning I’m taking Tampa Bay.
Josh Schonwald Doc's Sports Lightning Priced (1.75) +0.85 pts CLV -0.2% Win (OT/SO)
captured Fri, Nov 6, 9:42 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 2–1 · 67% before this game
Quote
Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-122)
Dustin Saracini Covers Lightning Result only (no price) Win (OT/SO)
captured Sat, Nov 7, 11:42 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 17–13 · 57% before this game
Quote
Lightning vs. Wild pick: Lightning Novig probability: 58%
Nick Wojton USA Today Sportsbook Wire Lightning Priced (1.74) +0.83 pts CLV -4.6% Win (OT/SO)
captured Sat, Nov 7, 3:41 p.m. ET · original page
Quote
Moneyline BET LIGHTNING -135.
Mark Lammey Pickswise Lightning Priced (1.80) +0.90 pts CLV -4.6% Win (OT/SO)
captured Fri, Nov 6, 3:43 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
Mark Lammey Medium Tampa Bay Lightning Minnesota Wild NHL Sat, Nov 7 8:00 PM Moneyline - Tampa Bay Lightning ... | TB vs MIN | Moneyline - Tampa Bay Lightning | 3⭐ | -135 | Rebet

Minnesota Wild (4)

Recorded before puck drop (4)

Alex MacMillan Winners and Whiners Wild Priced (2.15) -1.00 pts CLV -2.8% Loss (OT/SO)
captured Fri, Nov 6, 11:42 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 5–2 · 71% before this game
Quote
Best Bet: Minnesota Wild full-game moneyline (+120 at Fanatics reference, or better).
VseProSport Wild Priced (2.15) -1.00 pts CLV -13.4% Loss (OT/SO)
published Sat, Nov 7, 3:06 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 8–4 · 67% before this game
Quote
🏒 🏒 🇺🇸 Миннесота Уайлд — Тампа-Бэй Лайтнинг. Прогноз на матч НХЛ — победа «Миннесоты» в матче ⚫️ 1,96
US Sportwetten Wild Priced (2.15) -1.00 pts CLV -9.4% Loss (OT/SO)
published Sat, Nov 7, 4:07 p.m. ET · original page
Quote
NHL 🏒 🇺🇸 02:00 Uhr Minnesota vs Tampa bay Pick : Minnesota 2-Way @ 2,05
Evgeniy Sergienko LiveSport.ru Wild Priced (2.05) -1.00 pts CLV -16.4% Loss (OT/SO)
captured Fri, Nov 6, 10:11 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 6–7 · 46% before this game
Quote
1.89 «Миннесота» победит в матче Ставка на матч #1 Поставить → ... Ставка : «Миннесота» победит в матче за 1.89.

Puck line (2 counted of 2)

TBL: 1 (50%)MIN: 1 (50%)

Tampa Bay Lightning (1)

Recorded before puck drop (1)

Nick Wojton USA Today Sportsbook Wire Lightning -1.5 Priced (2.75) -1.00 pts CLV -4.1% Loss (OT/SO)
captured Sat, Nov 7, 3:41 p.m. ET · original page · Puck line 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Puck line/Against the spread BET LIGHTNING -1.5 (+170).

Minnesota Wild (1)

Recorded before puck drop (1)

BetMGM Wild +1.5 Priced (1.47) +0.53 pts CLV -2.6% Win (OT/SO)
captured Sat, Nov 7, 8:43 a.m. ET · original page · Puck line 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
Wild | +1.5 -200

Over/under (5 counted of 5)

Over: 4 (80%)Under: 1 (20%)

Over (4)

Recorded before puck drop (4)

Nick Wojton USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 6.5 Priced (1.89) +1.00 pts CLV -4.5% Win
captured Sat, Nov 7, 3:41 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Over/Under BET OVER 6.5 (-115) .
Lyutiy Stavkoman - Telegram kanali @l_stavkoman statistikasi va tahlili Over 5.5 Priced (1.61) +0.61 pts CLV -8.3% Win
published Sat, Nov 7, 4:57 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
10 000,00 УАН - Ординар Очікує Більше 5.5 Тотал Міннесота Уальд vs Тампа-Бей Лайтнінг 08.11, 03:00 Кешаут 8 842,59 УАН Можливий виграш: 15 300,00 УАН Деталі ▶ ... Ставки на НХЛ !!️ Сьогодні поставив на 6 матчів 🍀
VPrognoze · shipuchka Over 5.5 Priced (1.61) +0.61 pts CLV -7.1% Win
captured Sat, Nov 7, 4:11 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 8–8 · 50% before this game
Quote
04:00 Миннесота Уайлд - Тампа-Бэй Лайтнинг Хоккей. NHL. Регулярный чемпионат ТБ (5.5) @1.55
Big Al Over 6.5 Priced (1.89) +1.00 pts CLV -4.5% Win
captured Sat, Nov 7, 4:10 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
NHL - Over / Under - Sat, Nov 07 @ 08:07 PM VEGAS WRITER'S FREE NHL WINNER Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild Over 6.5 (-115) (BetMGM)

Under (1)

Recorded before puck drop (1)

Kim Smith Picks and Parlays Under 6.5 Priced (1.81) -1.00 pts Loss
captured Sat, Nov 7, 12:42 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 10–9 · 53% before this game
Quote
Total Pick: Under 6.5 Goals Give me the under 6.5.

Team totals (1 counted of 1)

Recorded before puck drop (1)

Evgeniy Sergienko LiveSport.ru MIN over 3 author odds 1.90 · Result only (no price) Push
captured Fri, Nov 6, 10:11 a.m. ET · original page · Team totals 6–4–2 · 60% before this game
Quote
1.90 Индивидуальный тотал «Миннесоты» больше 3 Ставка на матч #2 Поставить → ... Ставка : Индивидуальный тотал «Миннесоты» больше 3 за 1.90.

Player props (1 counted of 1)

Recorded before puck drop (1)

Todd Cordell Covers Over 0.5 Brandon Hagel · points · actual 0 Result only (no price) Loss
captured Sat, Nov 7, 10:42 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 12–19 · 39% before this game
Quote
Brandon Hagel o0.5 Points (57%) ... Brandon Hagel is playable for a point to 60%.

Recording history · 24 recordings, including 4 repeats of the same pick

21 Recorded before puck drop (88%)
0 Timestamped before puck drop (0%)
3 Read after the game (12%)

Read after the game: the pick as the source shows it now, read after the game started, with no verifiable pre-game stamp. These picks are shown and counted in recording history only; they do not enter records, points or leaderboards. What the labels mean →

Repeats and picks read after the game (6)

Recorded before puck drop (0 + 3 repeats)

Mark Lammey Pickswise Lightning Priced (1.80) Repeat
captured Fri, Nov 6, 3:43 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
Moneyline - Tampa Bay Lightning Lightning vs Wild prediction: Tampa Bay ML (-120) available at time of publishing.
Pickswise Lightning Priced (1.75) Repeat
captured Fri, Nov 6, 8:40 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 5–9 · 36% before this game
Quote
TB vs MIN | Moneyline - Tampa Bay Lightning | 3⭐ | -143
Pickswise Lightning Result only (no price) Repeat
captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:41 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 5–9 · 36% before this game
Quote
| TB vs MIN | Moneyline - Tampa Bay Lightning

Read after the game (2 + 1 repeat)

Overbetting.ru Wild author odds 2.18 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game
captured Sat, Nov 7, 8:41 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 5–1 · 83% before this game
Quote
02:27, 08 ноя Миннесота Вайлд – Тампа-Бэй Лайтнинг 04:00, 08 ноя 2.18 Победа в матче 1 Ставка: 500
VPrognoze · shipuchka Over 5.5 author odds 1.55 · Result only (no price) Repeat
captured Sat, Nov 7, 11:42 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 8–8 · 50% before this game
Quote
ТБ (5.5) @ 1.55 ... Миннесота хоть и будет проводить матч в формате бэк-ту-бэк... Приедет Тампа... Проверяем яркую вывеску на тотальный матч.
NHL Predictions & Betting Picks Under 6.5 author odds 1.82 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game
captured Sat, Nov 7, 10:12 p.m. ET · original page
Quote
Tampa Bay Lightning Minnesota Wild ... There’s a case to be made for Under 6.5 goals considering the odds of -122 available.

More markets

Periods, exact scores, 60-minute calls and same-game combos for this game. Graded on the final and period scores and counted on their own, apart from the leaderboards and the pick count above. All sources on these markets →

Periods and 60-minute lines (1 pick · 1-0-0 · 100.0%)

WagerTalk 1st period · Over 1.5 Win
captured Sat, Nov 7, 11:41 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Event: (17) Tampa Bay Lightning at (18) Minnesota Wild: 1P Total Date/Time: November 7, 2026 8:07 PM EST Play: 1P Total Over 1.5 (-140)

Exact score (2 picks · 0-2-0 · 0.0%)

Alex MacMillan Winners and Whiners TBL 3 – 4 MIN Loss
captured Fri, Nov 6, 11:42 p.m. ET · original page
Quote
Score Prediction: Minnesota Wild 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3.
Nick Wojton USA Today Sportsbook Wire TBL 5 – 3 MIN Loss
captured Sat, Nov 7, 3:41 p.m. ET · original page
Quote
Prediction Lightning 5, Wild 3

60-minute three-way: draw, double chance, draw no bet (1 pick · 1-0-0 · 100.0%)

Collabtok · TripleX53 Draw after 60 minutes Win
captured Sat, Nov 7, 1:12 p.m. ET · original page
Quote
Миннесота Уайлд — Тампа-Бэй Лайтнинг X · кф 4.3 ПРОГНОЗ: X @ 4,30

Market reference (no-margin closing probabilities)

Before puck drop, the betting market gave the Lightning a 55% chance to win (with bookmaker margin removed) and the Wild 45%, by the median of the no-margin closing prices behind the recorded picks. Market lines are shown for context so you can compare each source's pick with the market of the day; each pick is graded against the line recorded with that pick. How points are calculated

Lines the sources printed: Puck line MIN +1.5, TBL -1.5; Over/under 5.5, 6.5.

Sources

13 sources · 14 pages · Puck drop Sat, Nov 7, 8:09 p.m. ET; picks seen after it are labeled. How recording works

BetMGM · record · first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 8:43 a.m. ET
Big Al · record · first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 4:10 p.m. ET
Covers · page 2 · record · first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 10:42 a.m. ET; last Sat, Nov 7, 11:42 a.m. ET
Doc's Sports · record · first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 9:42 p.m. ET
LiveSport.ru · record · first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 10:11 a.m. ET; last Fri, Nov 6, 10:11 a.m. ET
Lyutiy Stavkoman - Telegram kanali @l_stavkoman statistikasi va tahlili · record · first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 4:57 p.m. ET
Picks and Parlays · record · first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 12:42 a.m. ET; last Sat, Nov 7, 12:42 a.m. ET
Pickswise · record · first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 3:43 p.m. ET
US Sportwetten · record · first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 4:07 p.m. ET
USA Today Sportsbook Wire · record · first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 3:41 p.m. ET; last Sat, Nov 7, 3:41 p.m. ET
VPrognoze · shipuchka · record · first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 4:11 p.m. ET
VseProSport · record · first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 3:06 p.m. ET
Winners and Whiners · record · first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:42 p.m. ET