NFL 2026 season · Nov 1–9, 2026 · month in progress
Who beat the favorites in November 2026 so far: NFL expert picks
25 of 88 NFL experts with at least 20 scored straight-up picks in November 2026 games so far won more games than picking every favorite in the same games would have. Updated .
The month so far
- Picking the favorite is hard to beat: in the 28 games of November 2026 we hold a price for, the favorite won 23 of 28 decided (82.1%).
- The rule is the same for everyone: the expert's record and the favorite's record in the same games, at the same no-margin market prices. Games without a price are left out of both.
- Only the experts who did better are named here. Every expert's full record is on their own page.
Show as table
| More wins than every favorite | Experts | Named |
|---|---|---|
| +4 | 1 | Dan Parr |
| +3 | 1 | Mike Florio |
| +2 | 5 | Curtiss Brown, Jamey Eisenberg, Jonny Page, Joseph Potter, Sam Farmer |
| +1 | 18 | Brett Whitefield, Chris Ransom, Eric Thompson, Erik Schlitt, Gennaro Filice, Graham Barfield, James McKinney, Jason Reid, Jeremy Bergman, Jeremy Cluff, Kalyn Kahler, Kevin Nogle, Pete Prisco, Scott Barrett, Sumeet Jena, Tony Mario, Wes Langley, William Yanish |
| 0 | 21 | |
| −1 | 18 | |
| −2 | 12 | |
| −3 | 8 | |
| −4 | 1 | |
| −5 | 2 | |
| −6 | 1 |
The experts who did better
| Expert | Record | Every favorite | More wins | Market-adjusted points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Parr NFL.com | 27-1 | 23-5 | +4 | +15.3 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price · above zero beats the betting odds |
| Mike Florio ProFootballTalk | 26-2 | 23-5 | +3 | +13.8 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Curtiss Brown Dawgs By Nature | 25-3 | 23-5 | +2 | +11.1 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Joseph Potter Draft Utopia | 24-3 | 22-5 | +2 | +11.0 points 27 picks scored · 27 of 27 had a market price |
| Sam Farmer Los Angeles Times | 25-3 | 23-5 | +2 | +10.6 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Jonny Page Bleeding Green Nation | 25-3 | 23-5 | +2 | +10.4 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Jamey Eisenberg CBS Sports | 25-3 | 23-5 | +2 | +10.1 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| William Yanish Draft Utopia | 23-4 | 22-5 | +1 | +11.4 points 27 picks scored · 27 of 27 had a market price |
| Gennaro Filice NFL.com | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +10.1 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Jeremy Cluff The Arizona Republic | 24-3 | 23-4 | +1 | +9.7 points 27 picks scored · 27 of 27 had a market price |
| Jason Reid ESPN | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +9.5 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Jeremy Bergman NFL.com | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +9.3 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Kalyn Kahler ESPN | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +9.3 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Kevin Nogle The Phinsider | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +9.1 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Graham Barfield Fantasy Points | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +8.9 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Scott Barrett Fantasy Points | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +8.8 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Erik Schlitt Pride of Detroit | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +8.8 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Sumeet Jena The Phinsider | 23-4 | 22-5 | +1 | +8.7 points 27 picks scored · 27 of 27 had a market price |
| Pete Prisco CBS Sports | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +8.6 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Eric Thompson Daily Norseman | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +8.3 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Tony Mario Draft Utopia | 23-4 | 22-5 | +1 | +8.0 points 27 picks scored · 27 of 27 had a market price |
| Brett Whitefield Fantasy Points | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +8.0 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Chris Ransom Draft Utopia | 23-4 | 22-5 | +1 | +8.0 points 27 picks scored · 27 of 27 had a market price |
| James McKinney The Phinsider | 24-4 | 23-5 | +1 | +7.9 points 28 picks scored · 28 of 28 had a market price |
| Wes Langley Draft Utopia | 23-4 | 22-5 | +1 | +7.4 points 27 picks scored · 27 of 27 had a market price |
How we count
- Favorite: the side the market price at the time of the pick, with the bookmaker margin taken out, made more likely to win. The price is the one that existed at or before the pick; for picks read from an outlet's page after the game, the start of that NFL week.
- All picks we hold count, including picks read from the outlets' pages after the games, as on the leaderboard; each pick is labeled on the expert's page.
- Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at that fair price: a win adds what the price paid, a loss takes away 1, a push counts 0.
How points work · All monthly reports · Leaderboard
The numbers behind this report
- 230 tracked experts at 65 outlets have graded picks on November 2026 games so far; 194 of them, at CBS Sports, ESPN, NFL.com, Daily Norseman, Pride of Detroit, Fantasy Points, Gridiron Experts, Draft Utopia, Bleeding Green Nation, Dawgs By Nature, USA Today, Big Blue View, Sporting News, The Phinsider, Silver And Black Pride, Action Network, Covers, Los Angeles Times, PhillyVoice, ProFootballTalk, Fantasy Alarm, The Arizona Republic, Sportsnaut, Broncos On SI, Ringer Wise Guys, The Baltimore Banner, Houston Chronicle, Still Curtain, Chris Simms Unbuttoned, Las Vegas Review-Journal, The Philadelphia Inquirer, Titans Wire, Chiefs Wire, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, News4JAX, The Herd with Colin Cowherd, Buccaneers On SI, DallasCowboys.com, Seahawks On SI, Panthers On SI, The Tennessean, IndyStar, The Times-Picayune, Bear Goggles On, Falcons On SI, Inside the Iggles, The Florida Times-Union, Toro Times, Raising Zona, BuffaLowDown, Cat Crave, Ebony Bird, Lions Wire, SideLion Report, The Pewter Plank, Titans On SI and Predominantly Orange, made straight-up picks.
- The 28 games, with every expert pick and the final score, are on the Week 8 and Week 9 pages.
- They made 2,678 straight-up picks in 28 games; 2,675 had a market price at the time of the pick and count here.
- 88 of them had at least 20 scored straight-up picks and are compared; the other 106 are not part of this month's comparison.
- 2,673 of the 2,678 were recorded or timestamped before kickoff; the other 5 were read after the games, read from the outlets' own pages.
Limits of this report
- One month (NFL Weeks 8–9): each compared expert has 26 to 28 scored picks; full-season records are on each expert's page.
- Straight-up picks from CBS Sports, ESPN, NFL.com, Daily Norseman, Pride of Detroit, Fantasy Points, Gridiron Experts, Draft Utopia, Bleeding Green Nation, Dawgs By Nature, USA Today, Big Blue View, Sporting News, The Phinsider, Silver And Black Pride, Action Network, Covers, Los Angeles Times, PhillyVoice, ProFootballTalk, Fantasy Alarm, The Arizona Republic, Sportsnaut, Broncos On SI, Ringer Wise Guys, The Baltimore Banner, Houston Chronicle, Still Curtain, Chris Simms Unbuttoned, Las Vegas Review-Journal, The Philadelphia Inquirer, Titans Wire, Chiefs Wire, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, News4JAX, The Herd with Colin Cowherd, Buccaneers On SI, DallasCowboys.com, Seahawks On SI, Panthers On SI, The Tennessean, IndyStar, The Times-Picayune, Bear Goggles On, Falcons On SI, Inside the Iggles, The Florida Times-Union, Toro Times, Raising Zona, BuffaLowDown, Cat Crave, Ebony Bird, Lions Wire, SideLion Report, The Pewter Plank, Titans On SI and Predominantly Orange only: no other outlet in our record has straight-up picks on November 2026 games.
- 3 straight-up picks had no market price at the time of the pick and are left out of both records.
Other months: September 2026 · October 2026.