NBA · Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026 · 7:12 p.m. ET · Final · Week 3 · Wed, Oct 28

Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks expert picks and results, Oct 28, 2026

Miami Heat beat Atlanta Hawks 129–117 on Oct 28, 2026. 2 of 3 moneyline picks (67%), 4 of 4 spread picks, 1 of 2 over/under picks were right. Each pick below is graded at the exact line recorded with that source's pick.

Miami HeatMiami Heat0-4 before this game
129–117
Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks2-2 before this game
Final · Wed, Oct 28, 7:12 p.m. ET · Market favorite: ATL (57%)

How the picks turned out

2 of 3 counted winner picks took the Heat; most sources were right.

MIA: 2 (67%) · WonATL: 1 (33%)

Spread: 4 of 4 right at the recorded lines.

Over/under: 1 of 2 right at the recorded lines.

Matchup picture

Heat at Hawks: 9 countable picks by market and lineMoneyline (winner) · 3MIA 2 · avg. price 2.37ATL 1 · avg. price 1.81Spread · 4MIA 4 · avg. price 1.85ATL 01 × MIA +8.51 × MIA +4.51 × MIA +3.51 × MIA +2.5MIA +8.5MIA +4.5MIA +3.5MIA +2.5median MIA +4Over/under · 2Over 1 · avg. price 2.00Under 1 · avg. price 1.961 × Over 241.51 × Under 242.5241.5242.5median 242
Based on 9 counted picks on this game; the picture appears once a game has 8. Bars: how the picks split by market; for against the spread and totals, the dots below a bar show which lines the sources printed. Prices are the no-margin market price when each pick was recorded, averaged per side.
Show as table
MarketSidePicksLines printedAvg. price at record
Moneyline (winner)MIA22.37
ATL11.81
SpreadMIA4+2.5, +3.5, +4.5, +8.51.85
ATL0—
Over/underOver1241.52.00
Under1242.51.96

Picks

9 picks: 3 moneyline (winner) · 4 spread · 2 over/under

Moneyline (winner) (3 counted of 3)

MIA: 2 (67%) · WonATL: 1 (33%)

Miami Heat (2)

Recorded before tip-off (2)

  • Basketball Sphere Heat Priced (2.25) +1.39 pts Win

    captured Wed, Oct 28, 5:11 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 2–4 · 33% before this game

    Quote
    Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction & Odds: NBA, October 29, 2026 By Deep Blue Hoops October 28, 2026 I am backing Miami Heat to win at odds of 2.25 with BetLabel.
  • Filip Tomic Pickswise Heat Priced (2.26) +1.35 pts Win

    captured Wed, Oct 28, 6:40 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Miami Heat Atlanta Hawks NBA Wed, Oct 28 7:00 PM Moneyline - Miami Heat +138

Atlanta Hawks (1)

Recorded before tip-off (1)

  • ProtoLab (프로토랩) Hawks Priced (1.74) -1.00 pts CLV -10.5% Loss

    captured Wed, Oct 28, 11:11 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 14–7 · 67% before this game

    Quote
    NBA · 10-28 23:00 C등급 대기 Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat 머니라인 Atlanta Hawks 승 @ 1.59

Spread (4 counted of 4)

MIA: 4 (100%)ATL: 0 (0%)

Miami Heat (4)

Recorded before tip-off (4)

  • TheTargetBet Heat +4.5 Priced (1.76) +0.87 pts CLV -2.6% Win

    published Wed, Oct 28, 4:33 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 0–2 · 0% before this game

    Quote
    1) 🏀 29.10.2026 02:00 Атланта Хокс - Майами Хит 🌌 📈 Ставка - Ф2(+4,5) - 1,75
  • Mattias Andersen Basketball Sphere Heat +8.5 Priced (1.42) +0.54 pts CLV -5.3% Win

    captured Wed, Oct 28, 6:40 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 2–1 · 67% before this game

    Quote
    Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat – Wednesday, 6:00 p.m. ESTPick: Miami Heat +8.5Odds: 1.42
  • Jazz Ray Big Al Heat +2.5 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts CLV -4.5% Win

    captured Wed, Oct 28, 9:44 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Jazz Ray NBA - Point Spread - Wed, Oct 28 @ 07:10 PM Jazz Ray Free NBA Wednesday Winner Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Miami Heat +2.5 (-110) (Consensus Line)
  • Oliver Rossi Big Al Heat +3.5 Priced (1.89) +0.98 pts CLV -1.1% Win

    captured Wed, Oct 28, 9:44 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Oliver Rossi NBA - Point Spread - Wed, Oct 28 @ 07:10 PM Oliver's NBA Free Pick Wednesday Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Miami Heat +3.5 (-110) (BetMGM) Miami Point Spread +3.5 at Atlanta [NBA, 7:10 pm...

Atlanta Hawks (0)

No picks.

Over/under (2 counted of 2)

Over: 1 (50%)Under: 1 (50%)

Over (1)

Recorded before tip-off (1)

  • Jim Feist Big Al Over 241.5 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts CLV -1.0% Win

    captured Wed, Oct 28, 3:41 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Over 241.5 (-105) (BetMGM)

Under (1)

Timestamped before tip-off (1)

  • Wighty The JuiceBox Under 242.5 Priced (1.87) -1.00 pts CLV -4.5% Loss

    published Wed, Oct 28, 6:04 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 2–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    - MIA @ ATL Under 242.5 Total (-110) [1u]

Recording history · 12 recordings, including 3 repeats of the same pick

Read after the game: the pick as the source shows it now, read after the game started, with no verifiable pre-game stamp. These picks are shown and counted in recording history only; they do not enter records, points or leaderboards. What the labels mean →

Repeats and picks read after the game (3)

Recorded before tip-off (0 + 2 repeats)

  • Pickswise Heat Priced (2.29) Repeat

    captured Wed, Oct 28, 8:10 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 1–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    Miami Heat Atlanta Hawks NBA Wed, Oct 28 7:00 PM Moneyline - Miami Heat +144 ... +141
  • ProtoLab (프로토랩) Hawks Priced (1.75) Repeat

    captured Wed, Oct 28, 12:41 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 14–7 · 67% before this game

    Quote
    NBA · 10-28 23:00 C등급 대기 Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat 머니라인 Atlanta Hawks 승 @ 1.72 ★★☆☆☆ 【C등급 · 신뢰도 낮음】 역배 일정 스팟: Atlanta Hawks 배당이 1.59에서 1.72로(+8.4%) 벌어졌습니다.

Timestamped before tip-off (0 + 1 repeat)

  • Wighty The JuiceBox Under 242.5 Priced (1.87) Repeat

    published Wed, Oct 28, 6:04 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 2–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    MIA @ ATL Under 242.5 Total (-110) [1u]

Market reference (no-margin closing probabilities)

Before tip-off, the betting market gave the Hawks a 57% chance to win (with bookmaker margin removed) and the Heat 43%, by the median of the no-margin closing prices behind the recorded picks. Market lines are shown for context so you can compare each source's pick with the market of the day; each pick is graded against the line recorded with that pick. How points are calculated

Lines the sources printed: Spread MIA +2.5, MIA +3.5, MIA +4.5, MIA +8.5; Over/under 241.5, 242.5.

Sources

6 sources · 7 pages · Tip-off Wed, Oct 28, 7:12 p.m. ET; picks seen after it are labeled. How recording works

The two teams

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