Governor · Florida · Before the vote
Florida governor race: what the forecasters say
David Jolly (D) vs Byron Donalds (R) · candidates as listed by Race to the WH
The seat is held by a Republican. Inside Elections and Race to the WH favor the Republican. They lean the same way, but at least one rates the race close, so it is graded as a battleground. No rating change caught here since Oct 21.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Lean Republican | R Lean | Sep 17 | Their governor forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | does not forecast governor races | |||
| DDHQ / The Hill | does not forecast governor races | |||
| Race to the WH | Lean R | R Lean | Oct 31 | Their governor forecast → |
Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (0)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
Unchanged since Oct 21: Inside Elections and Race to the WH.
Inside Elections dates its last change here Sep 17, by its own change date: Likely Republican → Lean Republican. That is before our monitoring began on Oct 21, so it is not in the count above.
Same state
Other battlegrounds in Florida
- Florida Senate
Angie Nixon (D) vs Ashley Moody (R) - Florida 2 (House)
Amanda Green (D) vs Austin Rogers (R) - Florida 7 (House)
Bale Dalton (D) vs Ryan Elijah (R) - Florida 9 (House)
Darren Soto (D) vs Dan Green (R) - Florida 13 (House)
Leela Gray (D) vs Anna Paulina Luna (R) - Florida 14 (House)
Kathy Castor (D) vs Mike Beltran (R) - Florida 16 (House)
Kelly Kirschner (D) vs Sydney Gruters (R) - Florida 22 (House)
Pia Dandiya (D) vs Casey Askar (R) - Florida 25 (House)
Jared Moskowitz (D) vs Scott Singer (R) - Florida 27 (House)
Eliott Rodriguez (D) vs Maria Salazar (R)
How this race will be graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for both. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.
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