House · Florida · Before the vote
Florida 22nd District (FL-22): what the forecasters say
Pia Dandiya (D) vs Casey Askar (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill
The seat is held by a Democrat. Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH rate it a Toss-up. They lean the same way, but at least one rates the race close, so it is graded as a battleground. 4 rating changes caught since Oct 21, the latest Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Toss-up | Toss-up | Oct 29 | Their House forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | Toss-Up | Toss-up | recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET | Their House forecast → |
| DDHQ / The Hill | Toss Up | Toss-up | Oct 14 | Their House forecast → |
| Race to the WH | Tossup | Toss-up | Oct 31 | Their House forecast → |
Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (4)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
| When we saw it | Forecaster | From → to |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET | Inside Elections | Tilt R → Toss-up (toward D) |
| Oct 27, 10:11 PM ET | FiftyPlusOne | Lean D 60% → Toss-up D 59% (toward R) |
| Oct 27, 6:09 PM ET | FiftyPlusOne | Toss-up D 59.8% → Lean D 60.2% (toward D) |
| Oct 27, 4:09 PM ET | FiftyPlusOne | Lean D 61% → Toss-up D 60% (toward R) |
No change since Oct 21: DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH.
Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 29, by its own change date: Tilt Republican → Toss-up. That is the change in the table above: we first saw it Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET.
Same state
Other battlegrounds in Florida
- Florida Senate
Angie Nixon (D) vs Ashley Moody (R) - Florida governor
David Jolly (D) vs Byron Donalds (R) - Florida 2 (House)
Amanda Green (D) vs Austin Rogers (R) - Florida 7 (House)
Bale Dalton (D) vs Ryan Elijah (R) - Florida 9 (House)
Darren Soto (D) vs Dan Green (R) - Florida 13 (House)
Leela Gray (D) vs Anna Paulina Luna (R) - Florida 14 (House)
Kathy Castor (D) vs Mike Beltran (R) - Florida 16 (House)
Kelly Kirschner (D) vs Sydney Gruters (R) - Florida 25 (House)
Jared Moskowitz (D) vs Scott Singer (R) - Florida 27 (House)
Eliott Rodriguez (D) vs Maria Salazar (R)
How this race will be graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.
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