Primero y Diez · NFL 2026 · week 9
Sebastian M. Christensen's 2026 NFL picks and record
Sebastian M. Christensen of Primero y Diez is 12-2-0 (85.7%) on NFL winner picks in the 2026 season through Week 9. No Week 10 picks are recorded yet. Updated .
Badges
12–2–0
Straight up · 12 wins · 2 losses · 0 ties
85.7% right · 14 decided · likely range 60–96%
Winner picks only · Against the spread records
Market-adjusted points, straight up: +4.7 points 14 picks scored · 14 of 14 had a market price (the likely range still includes zero)
How to read the points: zero is what the betting odds expected from these picks; above zero is better than the odds, below zero is worse.
Week 10 picks
No Week 10 picks recorded yet.
Last completed week · Week 9
12–2 winner picks
See Sebastian's 14 Week 9 games
See 106 experts' Week 10 picks so far
Next game: Patriots at Lions (Sun 9:30 a.m. ET) — 68 of 76 experts pick the Lions →
Every pick
All experts: Week 10 picks · Week 11 early picks
Week 9 · SU 12-2-0
| Game | Straight up | Final | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN at ATL Sun, Nov 8 |  CIN Win | CIN 34, ATL 17 | Recorded before kickoff |
| CLE at NO Sun, Nov 8 |  CLE Loss | CLE 22, NO 23 | Recorded before kickoff |
| DAL at IND Sun, Nov 8 |  DAL Win | DAL 27, IND 23 | Recorded before kickoff |
| DEN at CAR Sun, Nov 8 |  DEN Win | DEN 26, CAR 21 | Recorded before kickoff |
| DET at MIA Sun, Nov 8 |  DET Win | DET 19, MIA 9 | Recorded before kickoff |
| LAR at WSH Sun, Nov 8 |  LAR Win | LAR 20, WSH 13 | Recorded before kickoff |
| NYG at PHI Sun, Nov 8 |  NYG Win | NYG 19, PHI 11 | Recorded before kickoff |
| NYJ at KC Sun, Nov 8 |  KC Win | NYJ 12, KC 35 | Recorded before kickoff |
| HOU at LAC Sun, Nov 8 |  HOU Win | HOU 44, LAC 22 | Recorded before kickoff |
| ARI at SEA Sun, Nov 8 |  SEA Win | ARI 3, SEA 17 | Recorded before kickoff |
| GB at NE Sun, Nov 8 |  GB Win | GB 45, NE 27 | Recorded before kickoff |
| LV at SF Sun, Nov 8 |  SF Win | LV 17, SF 38 | Recorded before kickoff |
| TB at CHI Sun, Nov 8 |  CHI Win | TB 24, CHI 27 | Recorded before kickoff |
| BUF at MIN Mon, Nov 9 |  MIN Loss | BUF 23, MIN 6 | Recorded before kickoff |
By week
| Week | Straight up |
|---|---|
| Week 9 | 12-2-0 |
| Season | 12-2-0 |
By team
| Team | Winner picks | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 1–0 | 1 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 1–0 | 1 |
| Buffalo Bills | 0–1 | 1 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1–0 | 1 |
Record when picking each team
| Team | Picked to win | Picked to lose |
|---|---|---|
 ARI Arizona Cardinals | — | 1-0-0 |
 ATL Atlanta Falcons | — | 1-0-0 |
 BUF Buffalo Bills | — | 0-1-0 |
 CAR Carolina Panthers | — | 1-0-0 |
| CHI Chicago Bears | 1-0-0 | — |
| CIN Cincinnati Bengals | 1-0-0 | — |
| CLE Cleveland Browns | 0-1-0 | — |
| DAL Dallas Cowboys | 1-0-0 | — |
| DEN Denver Broncos | 1-0-0 | — |
| DET Detroit Lions | 1-0-0 | — |
| GB Green Bay Packers | 1-0-0 | — |
| HOU Houston Texans | 1-0-0 | — |
 IND Indianapolis Colts | — | 1-0-0 |
| KC Kansas City Chiefs | 1-0-0 | — |
 LV Las Vegas Raiders | — | 1-0-0 |
 LAC Los Angeles Chargers | — | 1-0-0 |
| LAR Los Angeles Rams | 1-0-0 | — |
 MIA Miami Dolphins | — | 1-0-0 |
| MIN Minnesota Vikings | 0-1-0 | — |
 NE New England Patriots | — | 1-0-0 |
 NO New Orleans Saints | — | 0-1-0 |
| NYG New York Giants | 1-0-0 | — |
 NYJ New York Jets | — | 1-0-0 |
 PHI Philadelphia Eagles | — | 1-0-0 |
| SF San Francisco 49ers | 1-0-0 | — |
| SEA Seattle Seahawks | 1-0-0 | — |
 TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | 1-0-0 |
 WSH Washington Commanders | — | 1-0-0 |
Record so far
- Longest run, straight up
- 5 wins in a row this season
Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.
- Straight up, live record since Week 6: +4.7 points 14 picks scored · 14 of 14 had a market price.
A right pick on a 50-50 game earns 1 point, a right underdog pick earns more, and a wrong pick costs 1. Above zero means better than the betting odds expected. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated
Market-adjusted results
Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and how picking every favorite would have done. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks read after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. How points work
| Market and period | Record in these picks | Market-adjusted points | Compared with |
|---|---|---|---|
| Straight up 2026 season | 12-2 | +4.7 points 14 picks scored · 14 of 14 had a market price +0.34 per pick · likely range −0.02 to +0.63 per pick | Every favorite: 13-1 same 14 games |
| Straight up Live record since Week 6 | 12-2 | +4.7 points 14 picks scored · 14 of 14 had a market price +0.34 per pick · likely range +0.01 to +0.66 per pick | Every favorite: 13-1 same 14 games |
- Sebastian M. Christensen +4.7 vs +5.4 favorites
Teal: the expert's market-adjusted points. Gray: picking every favorite in the same games, scored the same way.
All 4 badges and the picks behind them
Select any badge to see what it means, how it compares and the odds of earning it by chance. Every pick behind each badge, with the rule and the outlet pages, is one link away: picks behind each badge. Recording labels: Recorded before kickoff (we saw the pick before the game); Timestamped before kickoff (the platform's timestamp or a web archive copy of the page); Read after the game · matches the outlet's own record (the outlet's published record matches our recount); Read after the game (any other pick; it can only lower a record).
Badges are facts about past picks, given by published rules. Badge rules · How badges work
Season badges
Best call: GB over NE (Week 9) — the market gave GB a 38.8% chance Recorded before kickoff
The correct straight-up pick with the lowest market chance on record: GB over NE in Week 9, when the market gave GB a 38.8% chance.
- Period
- 2026 season
- How rare
- If every pick won only as often as the market odds said, about 102 of the 122 experts who qualify for it would earn this in a season. Held now by 158 of all 211 experts in the badge count.
The pick behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules
Link to this badge https://hunchmeter.com/s/b/experts/sebastian-m-christensen/#badge-best-call · Save image
Verified · 14 picks recorded before kickoff
Graded picks we recorded on the outlet's page before kickoff. This says nothing about results.
- Period
- 2026 season
- How rare
- This is a fact about how the picks were recorded, not about results. Held now by 170 of all 211 experts in the badge count.
All 14 picks behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules
Link to this badge https://hunchmeter.com/s/b/experts/sebastian-m-christensen/#badge-recorded-before-kick-off · Save image
Weekly badges
Week 9 · SU 12–2 Recorded before kickoff
12–2 straight up in NFL Week 9, 2026.
- Period
- Week 9, 2026 · given after the last game of Week 9, Nov 10, 2026, and kept with its date
- How rare
- If every pick won only as often as the market odds said, about 11 of the 113 experts who qualify for it would earn this in a season. Held now by 71 of all 211 experts in the badge count.
All 14 picks behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules
Link to this badge https://hunchmeter.com/s/b/experts/sebastian-m-christensen/#badge-strong-week-su-week-9 · Save image
Biggest upset called · Week 9 · GB over NE · market chance 38.8% · called by 59 of 117 Recorded before kickoff
Picked GB to beat NE straight up in Week 9; the market gave GB a 38.8% chance. 59 of 117 tracked experts made that call.
- Period
- Week 9, 2026 · given after the last game of Week 9, Nov 10, 2026, and kept with its date
- Compared with
- 59 of 117 tracked experts made the same call
- How rare
- If every pick won only as often as the market odds said, about 15 of the 122 experts who qualify for it would earn this in a season. Held now by 59 of all 211 experts in the badge count.
The pick behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules
Link to this badge https://hunchmeter.com/s/b/experts/sebastian-m-christensen/#badge-biggest-upset-called-week-9 · Save image
History
No earlier badges.
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This record is our count of the picks published on Primero y Diez's pages, graded against the final scores.
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Best call: GB over NE · Week 9 · market chance 38.8% card · 14 picks recorded before kickoff card · Week 9 · SU 12–2 card · Biggest upset called · Week 9 · GB over NE · market chance 38.8% · called by 59 of 117 card.
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