USA Today · NFL 2026 · week 4

Nate Davis's 2026 NFL picks and record

1–0–0

Straight up · 1 win · 0 losses · 0 ties · 1 of 1 decided picks

How these picks were recorded · 2 picks

2 Added after the game

What the labels mean

View every pick

Record so far

Nate Davis is straight up 1-0-0 (1 of 1 decided picks) and against the spread 1-0-0 (1 of 1 decided picks).

Straight up: 1-0-01 of 1 decided picks
Against the spread: 1-0-01 of 1 decided picks
Current streak, straight up: 1 win in a rowLongest: 1 win
Current streak, ATS: 1 win in a rowLongest: 1 win

Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.

Straight up, 2026 season: +1.3 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 with recorded odds; 1-0 in these games; picking every favorite in the same 1 game: 0-1.
Against the spread, 2026 season: +1.0 points 1 pick scored · 0 with recorded odds, 1 at assumed even odds; 1-0 (1 of 1 decided picks); a coin flip averages 50%.

Each pick counts as a 1-point play at the no-margin market price; zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated

2 graded picks added from USA Today pages after the games.

Market-adjusted results
Pick log
By week
Does this match the outlet?
Record in each team's games

Market-adjusted results

Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and a simple rule to compare with. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks added after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. Zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. How we score fairly

The 2026 season, the last four weeks and the live record (picks we recorded before kickoff, from Week 6), where there is one. A straight-up pick without a two-sided price at the time is left out of points; a spread or total pick without a price on its own line counts at even odds.
Market and period	Record in these picks	Market-adjusted points	Simple rule
Straight up 2026 season	1-0	+1.3 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 with recorded odds	Every favorite: 0-1 same 1 game
Against the spread 2026 season	1-0	+1.0 points 1 pick scored · 0 with recorded odds, 1 at assumed even odds	Coin flip: 50% 0.5 of 1 decided

Every pick

Week 4 · SU 1-0-0; ATS 1-0-0

Game	Straight up	Against the spread	Final	Predicted score	How we got it
PIT at CLE Thu, Oct 1	CLE Win	CLE +2.5 Win	PIT 24, CLE 27	CLE 24-23	Added after the game

All Week 4 picks

By week

W-L-P by week.
Week	Straight up	Against the spread
Week 4	1-0-0	1-0-0
Season	1-0-0	1-0-0

Does this match USA Today?

USA Today does not print a running record or per-pick marks that we can check against yet. Our count comes from the picks and the final scores alone.

By team

Record when picking each team

W-L-P. "Picked to win" counts picks on that team; "picked to lose" counts picks on its opponent.
Team	Picked to win	Picked to lose	ATS on them	ATS against
CLE Cleveland Browns	1-0-0	—	1-0-0	—
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers	—	1-0-0	—	1-0-0

Also at USA Today

Adam Kaufman · Blake Schuster · Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz · Nicholas Brinkerhoff

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