NBA · Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026 · 7:40 p.m. ET · Final · Wed, Nov 4

Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics expert picks and results, Nov 4, 2026

Boston Celtics beat Milwaukee Bucks 109–102 on Nov 4, 2026. 4 of 4 moneyline picks (100%), 5 of 7 spread picks, 0 of 3 over/under picks were right. Each pick below is graded at the exact line recorded with that source's pick. Updated Nov 5, 2026, 7 a.m. ET.

Matchup picture · final · 12 experts graded

Celtics beat the Bucks 109–102: 4 of 4 experts picked the Celtics

Spread: 5 of 7 right · Over/under: 0 of 3 right.

MIL to cover, no moneyline pick 5
BOS to cover, no moneyline pick 1
BOS to win, no spread pick 3
BOS to win and cover 1
Over/under pick only 1
Other 1

Milwaukee Bucks1-6 before this game

102–109

Boston Celtics5-2 before this game

Final · Wed, Nov 4, 7:40 p.m. ET · Market favorite: BOS (82%)

How the picks turned out

4 of 4 counted winner picks took the Celtics; most sources were right.

MIL: 0 (0%)BOS: 4 (100%) · Won

Spread: 5 of 7 right at the recorded lines.

Over/under: 0 of 3 right at the recorded lines.

Matchup picture

Based on 14 counted picks on this game; the picture appears once a game has 8. Bars: how the picks split by market; for against the spread and totals, the dots below a bar show which lines the sources printed. Prices are the no-margin market price when each pick was recorded, averaged per side. Not shown: 3 picks on other markets (60-min regulation, team totals, player props) — see the lists below.

Show as table

Market	Side	Picks	Lines printed	Avg. price at record
Moneyline (winner)	MIL	0		—
	BOS	4		1.23
Spread	MIL	5	+11.5, +12, +12.5	1.96
	BOS	2	-11.5	2.00
Over/under	Over	3	221.5, 223.5	2.00
	Under	0		—

Picks

20 picks: 4 moneyline (winner) · 7 spread · 3 over/under · 6 player props

Within each side, picks are ordered by the writer's record on that market before this game.

Moneyline (winner) (4 counted of 4)

MIL: 0 (0%)BOS: 4 (100%) · Won

Milwaukee Bucks (0)

No picks.

Boston Celtics (4)

Recorded before tip-off (4)

PredixSport Celtics Priced (1.18) +0.23 pts Win
published Wed, Nov 4, 12:17 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 10–6 · 62% before this game
Quote
Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks 🏆 Winner: Boston Celtics (83.0%)
Kim Smith StatSalt Celtics Result only (no price) Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 12:42 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Moneyline Pick: Boston Celtics I’m taking Boston, and I don’t see much reason to overthink it. ... Give me Boston to win at home.
Kappara.Net Celtics Result only (no price) Win
published Wed, Nov 4, 10:27 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 1–1 · 50% before this game
Quote
3. Милуоки — Бостон: П2
David Anicetti Picks and Parlays Celtics Priced (1.18) +0.23 pts Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 12:43 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
Final Score Prediction: Boston Celtics win and cover ATS, 127-108.

Spread (7 counted of 7)

MIL: 5 (71%)BOS: 2 (29%)

Milwaukee Bucks (5)

Recorded before tip-off (5)

Geoff Clark Covers Bucks +11.5 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 11:45 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 2–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
MIL @ BOS Wed, Nov 4 • 7:30 PM ET Spread MIL +11.5 (52%) Best Odds +11.5 50% Pick made: 17 minutes ago Geoff Clark Betting Analyst
Sean Barnard DraftKings Network Bucks +11.5 Priced (1.90) +1.00 pts CLV -5.7% Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 4:43 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Best Bet: Milwaukee Bucks +11.5 (-103)
Basketball Sphere Bucks +12.5 Priced (1.80) +0.88 pts CLV -9.2% Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 4:10 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 18–18 · 50% before this game
Quote
I am backing Milwaukee Bucks +12.5 at odds of 1.77 with BetLabel.
BetBlog Bucks +12 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts CLV -7.5% Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 5:42 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
kirpejas Pick @ 1.850 Pick: Milwaukee Bucks (+12) Units: 431.99; 56.12% Added 2026/11/04 21:51 Boston Celtics - Milwaukee Bucks
Randy Chambers Sports Chat Place Bucks +11.5 Priced (1.90) +0.90 pts Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 2:43 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 3–7 · 30% before this game
Quote
Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +11.5

Boston Celtics (2)

Recorded before tip-off (2)

Kappara.Net Celtics -11.5 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts Loss
published Wed, Nov 4, 10:27 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 1–1 · 50% before this game
Quote
3. Милуоки — Бостон: ... Бостон -11.5
Cameron Ross Winners and Whiners Celtics -11.5 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 1:12 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
Pick: Boston Celtics -11.5

Over/under (3 counted of 3)

Over: 3 (100%)Under: 0 (0%)

Over (3)

Recorded before tip-off (3)

Cameron Ross Winners and Whiners Over 223.5 Priced (1.90) -1.00 pts Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 1:12 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Total: Over 223.5
Joe Williams Pickswise Over 221.5 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 4:11 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Joe Williams High Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics NBA Wed, Nov 4 7:30 PM Over 221.5 o221.5 -102
Kappara.Net Over 223.5 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts Loss
published Wed, Nov 4, 10:27 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–1 · 50% before this game
Quote
3. Милуоки — Бостон: ... Больше 223.5

Under (0)

No picks.

Player props (3 counted of 6)

Recorded before tip-off (6)

Covers Under 16.5 Derrick White · points · actual 24 Result only (no price) Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 8:41 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 90–80 · 53% before this game
Quote
Derrick White u16.5 Points Scored (55%) ... Pick made: a minute ago EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Covers Under 7.5 Jayson Tatum · assists Result only (no price) Not graded
captured Wed, Nov 4, 8:41 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 90–80 · 53% before this game
Quote
Jayson Tatum u7.5 Total Assists (61%) ... Pick made: a minute ago EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Covers Under 11.5 Brayden Burries · points · actual 9 Result only (no price) Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 11:41 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 90–80 · 53% before this game
Quote
Brayden Burries u11.5 Points Scored (51%) ... Pick made: 3 seconds ago EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Peter Dewey SI Betting (Sports Illustrated) Over 6.5 Jayson Tatum · assists author odds 1.63 · Result only (no price) Not graded
captured Wed, Nov 4, 9:13 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 7–9 · 44% before this game
Quote
Jayson Tatum 7+ Assists (-159)
BettingPros Under 43.5 Jayson Tatum · PTS+REB+AST author odds 1.85 · Result only (no price) Not graded
captured Tue, Nov 3, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 2–4 · 33% before this game
Quote
Jayson Tatum U 43.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-118) vs MIL
Geoff Clark Covers Over 5.5 Paul George · rebounds · actual 3 Result only (no price) Loss
captured Wed, Nov 4, 2:41 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 0–7 · 0% before this game
Quote
Paul George o5.5 Total Rebounds (44%) ... Pick made: 2 hours ago Geoff Clark Betting Analyst

Recording history · 26 recordings, including 3 repeats of the same pick

23 Recorded before tip-off (88%)
0 Timestamped before tip-off (0%)
3 Read after the game (12%)

Read after the game: the pick as the source shows it now, read after the game started, with no verifiable pre-game stamp. These picks are shown and counted in recording history only; they do not enter records, points or leaderboards. What the labels mean →

Repeats and picks read after the game (6)

Recorded before tip-off (0 + 3 repeats)

Geoff Clark Covers Bucks +10.5 Priced (1.93) Repeat
captured Wed, Nov 4, 2:41 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 2–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Spread MIL +10.5 (53%) ... Pick made: an hour ago Geoff Clark Betting Analyst
Pickswise Over 221.5 Priced (1.91) Repeat
captured Wed, Nov 4, 5:42 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 9–10 · 47% before this game
Quote
Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics NBA Wed, Nov 4 7:30 PM Over 221.5 o221.5 +100
David Anicetti Picks and Parlays Celtics Result only (no price) Repeat
captured Wed, Nov 4, 12:43 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 0–1 · 0% before this game
Quote
Final Score Prediction: Boston Celtics win and cover ATS, 127-108.

Read after the game (3)

Kleos Sports Free Plays Under 221.5 author odds 1.91 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game
published Wed, Nov 4, 10:23 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 1–0 · 100% before this game
Quote
Free NBA Play 🏀 🌟 BUCKS / CELTICS UNDER 221.5 (3 UNITS) -110 Start Time: 7:30pm ET
Robert Ferringo Doc's Sports Over 223 Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game
captured Thu, Nov 5, 7:11 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Robert Ferringo 3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 223.0 Milwaukee at Boston (7:40 p.m.)
Pau Sisternas Casasdeapuestas Celtics -10 author odds 1.77 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game
captured Sun, Nov 8, 1:13 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Pau Sisternas -654,00 | 139 pronósticos Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks 05/11/2026 01:30 , NBA ... Pronóstico Fallado Boston Celtics -10 Cuota 1.77

More markets

Periods, exact scores, 60-minute calls and same-game combos for this game. Graded on the final and period scores and counted on their own, apart from the leaderboards and the pick count above. All sources on these markets →

Quarters, halves and regulation (1 pick · 1-0-0 · 100.0%)

Peter Dewey SI Betting (Sports Illustrated) 1st half · Celtics -6.5 Win
captured Wed, Nov 4, 9:13 a.m. ET · original page
Quote
Pick: Celtics First Half -6.5 (-105 at DraftKings)

Market reference (no-margin closing probabilities)

Before tip-off, the betting market gave the Celtics a 82% chance to win (with bookmaker margin removed) and the Bucks 18%, by the median of the no-margin closing prices behind the recorded picks. Market lines are shown for context so you can compare each source's pick with the market of the day; each pick is graded against the line recorded with that pick. How points are calculated

Lines the sources printed: Spread BOS -11.5, MIL +11.5, MIL +12, MIL +12.5; Over/under 221.5, 223.5.

Sources

13 sources · 13 pages · Tip-off Wed, Nov 4, 7:40 p.m. ET; picks seen after it are labeled. How recording works

Basketball Sphere · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 4:10 a.m. ET
BetBlog · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 5:42 p.m. ET
BettingPros · record · first recorded Tue, Nov 3, 10:10 a.m. ET
Covers · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 8:41 a.m. ET; last Wed, Nov 4, 2:41 p.m. ET
DraftKings Network · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 4:43 p.m. ET
Kappara.Net · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 10:27 a.m. ET; last Wed, Nov 4, 10:27 a.m. ET
Picks and Parlays · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 12:43 a.m. ET
Pickswise · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 4:11 p.m. ET
PredixSport · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 12:17 p.m. ET
SI Betting (Sports Illustrated) · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 9:13 a.m. ET
Sports Chat Place · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 2:43 a.m. ET
StatSalt · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 12:42 a.m. ET
Winners and Whiners · record · first recorded Wed, Nov 4, 1:12 a.m. ET; last Wed, Nov 4, 1:12 a.m. ET