NBA · Thursday, Nov 5, 2026 · 10:11 p.m. ET · Final · Thu, Nov 5

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors expert picks and results, Nov 5, 2026

Golden State Warriors beat Miami Heat 120–100 on Nov 5, 2026. 6 of 6 moneyline picks (100%), 14 of 18 spread picks, 0 of 5 over/under picks were right. Each pick below is graded at the exact line recorded with that source's pick. Updated .

Matchup picture · final · 30 experts graded

Warriors beat the Heat 120–100: 6 of 6 experts picked the Warriors

Spread: 14 of 18 right · Over/under: 0 of 5 right.

MIAGSW5Tie51015Spread GSW −2.5…8.5MIA covers · 4GSW covers · 14MIA wins byGSW wins by
  • MIA to cover, no moneyline pick 4
  • GSW to cover, no moneyline pick 13
  • GSW to win, no spread pick 5
  • GSW to win and cover 1
  • Other 7
Miami HeatMiami Heat3-5 before this game
100–120
Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors5-3 before this game
Final · Thu, Nov 5, 10:11 p.m. ET · Market favorite: GSW (60%)

How the picks turned out

6 of 6 counted winner picks took the Warriors; most sources were right.

MIA: 0 (0%)GSW: 6 (100%) · Won

Spread: 14 of 18 right at the recorded lines.

Over/under: 0 of 5 right at the recorded lines.

Matchup picture

Heat at Warriors: 42 countable picks by market and lineMoneyline (winner) · 6MIA 0GSW 6 · avg. price 1.47Spread · 18MIA 4 · avg. price 1.92GSW 14 · avg. price 1.982 × MIA +8.55 × GSW -7.51 × MIA +71 × GSW -74 × GSW -6.51 × MIA +5.51 × GSW -5.51 × GSW -4.51 × GSW -3.51 × GSW -2.5MIA +8.5GSW -7.5GSW -7 · MIA +7GSW -6.5MIA +5.5 · GSW -5.5GSW -4.5GSW -3.5GSW -2.5median GSW -6.75Over/under · 5Over 5 · avg. price 1.87Under 01 × Over 226.52 × Over 233.51 × Over 235.51 × Over 237.5226.5233.5235.5237.5median 233.5
Based on 29 counted picks on this game; the picture appears once a game has 8. Bars: how the picks split by market; for against the spread and totals, the dots below a bar show which lines the sources printed. Prices are the no-margin market price when each pick was recorded, averaged per side. Not shown: 13 picks on other markets (60-min regulation, team totals, player props) — see the lists below.
Show as table
MarketSidePicksLines printedAvg. price at record
Moneyline (winner)MIA0—
GSW61.47
SpreadMIA4+5.5, +7, +8.51.92
GSW14-7.5, -7, -6.5, -5.5, -4.5, -3.5, -2.51.98
Over/underOver5226.5, 233.5, 235.5, 237.51.87
Under0—

Picks

42 picks: 6 moneyline (winner) · 18 spread · 5 over/under · 13 player props

Within each side, picks are ordered by the writer's record on that market before this game.

Moneyline (winner) (6 counted of 6)

MIA: 0 (0%)GSW: 6 (100%) · Won

Miami Heat (0)

No picks.

Golden State Warriors (6)

Recorded before tip-off (6)

  • David Anicetti Winners and Whiners Warriors Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 12:42 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 8–2 · 80% before this game

    Quote
    Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Game Pick Golden State Warriors ... I'll take the Warriors at home.
  • BetMGM Warriors Priced (1.35) +0.41 pts Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 9:13 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 4–1 · 80% before this game

    Quote
    The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday ‘s game with 80.0% confidence
  • Exklusive Sportwetten Warriors Priced (1.62) +0.67 pts CLV -4.8% Win

    published Thu, Nov 5, 4:49 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 2–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    🏀 NA FREE TIPP! 🇺 Golden Stae Warriors vs. iami Heat ⏰ 06.11.2026 | 04:00 Uhr 🎯 Tipp: Sieg Warriors (inkl. Verlängerung) 💰 Qute: 1,60
  • PredixSport Warriors Priced (1.35) +0.41 pts Win

    published Thu, Nov 5, 12:19 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 18–10 · 64% before this game

    Quote
    Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat 🏆 Winner: Golden State Warriors (68.6%)
  • FanDuel Research Warriors Priced (1.34) +0.40 pts Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 8:11 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 4–2 · 67% before this game

    Quote
    Prediction: Warriors win (60.8%)
  • WagerTalk Warriors Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 9:13 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 1–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    Moneyline Pick: Golden State Warriors.

Spread (18 counted of 18)

MIA: 4 (22%)GSW: 14 (78%)

Miami Heat (4)

Recorded before tip-off (4)

  • VseProSport Heat +8.5 Priced (1.71) -1.00 pts CLV +10.8% Loss

    published Thu, Nov 5, 3:59 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 7–7 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    🏀 🇸 Голден Стэйт Уорриорз — Майами Хит. Прогноз на матч НБА — победа «Майами» с учетом форы (+8.5) очков ⚫️ 1,72
  • BetBlog Heat +7 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts CLV -5.0% Loss

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 4:11 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 1–1 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    rocky1 Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat 23 minutes ago Pick: Miami Heat (handicap +7) @ 1.900 8/10
  • Onebet NBA Prognozy Heat +8.5 Priced (1.75) -1.00 pts CLV +11.5% Loss

    published Thu, Nov 5, 12:12 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 6–7 · 46% before this game

    Quote
    🇺 NBA 🏀 ⏰ 06.11.2026 | 6:00(Мск) ◾️ ГС-Майами 🔺 Ф2(+8,5).Кф-1,73
  • Vzyal Myach Kefy Heat +5.5 Priced (1.93) -1.00 pts CLV +1.5% Loss

    published Thu, Nov 5, 2:25 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 0–1 · 0% before this game

    Quote
    🔥 Забираем фору +5,5 на «Майами» за 2,03!

Golden State Warriors (14)

Recorded before tip-off (14)

  • Brandon Sachs Pickswise Warriors -6.5 Priced (1.89) +0.92 pts CLV -6.5% Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 11:41 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 6–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    Brandon Sachs Medium Miami Heat Golden State Warriors NBA Thu, Nov 5 10:00 PM Spread - Golden State Warriors -6.5 -6.5 -115 Read more The Warriors are currently firing on all cylinders...
  • Bill Yin DraftKings Network Warriors -6.5 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts CLV -4.5% Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 4:12 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 3–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    Best bet: Warriors -6.5 (-118)
  • WagerTalk Warriors -7.5 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts CLV -5.5% Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 9:13 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 1–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    Spread Lean: Warriors -7.5 (-106)
  • BumblebeeBet Warriors -3.5 Priced (1.89) +0.96 pts CLV -20.0% Win

    published Thu, Nov 5, 3:15 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 5–3 · 62% before this game

    Quote
    🔮 PREDICTION 🔮 Handicap (GSW): -3.5 (1.58) ... MATCH INFO i️ #Basketball 🏀 NBA Golden State Warriors 🏀 – Miami Heat 🏀
  • Kim Smith StatSalt Warriors -7 Priced (1.91) +1.00 pts Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 12:43 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 3–2 · 60% before this game

    Quote
    Spread Pick: Golden State Warriors -7 I’ll lay the seven with Golden State if that’s where the sportsbook line lands.
  • Peter Tran Sports Chat Place Warriors -7.5 Priced (1.93) +1.05 pts Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 2:11 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 7–6 · 54% before this game

    Quote
    Peter Tran's Free Pick: Golden State -7.5
  • Basketball Sphere Warriors -5.5 Priced (1.95) +1.05 pts CLV -20.5% Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 7:12 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 22–21 · 51% before this game

    Quote
    Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction: NBA, November 6, 2026 By Marchionni November 5, 2026 I am backing Golden State Warriors -5.5 at odds of 1.75 with BetLabel.
  • Peter Dewey SI Betting (Sports Illustrated) Warriors -7.5 Priced (1.92) +1.02 pts CLV -5.5% Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 11:11 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 10–10 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    Pick: Warriors -7.5 (-106 at DraftKings)
  • Eddie Kline Picks and Parlays Warriors -4.5 Priced (1.78) +0.91 pts Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 1:41 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 2–2 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    Pick: Golden State Warriors -4.5 ... Take the Warriors to win and cover at home.
  • Nathan Beighle USA Today Sportsbook Wire Warriors -7.5 Priced (1.93) +1.08 pts CLV -5.1% Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 2:11 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 2–2 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    BET WARRIORS -7.5 (-105)
  • Sportwetten-Magazin Warriors -6.5 Priced (1.89) +0.96 pts Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 4:11 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 4–5 · 44% before this game

    Quote
    | 🏀 NBA um 04:00 | Golden State Warriors – Miami Heat | Warriors -6,5
  • Corey Scott Sportsbook Review Warriors -6.5 Priced (1.89) +0.98 pts CLV -7.0% Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 11:11 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 1–3 · 25% before this game

    Quote
    GS -6.5 (-116)
  • Kush v Sporte Warriors -2.5 Priced (1.74) +0.83 pts CLV -2.7% Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 8:40 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 2–6 · 25% before this game

    Quote
    Голден Стэйт Уорриорз Сегодня 06:00 Майами Хит Баскетбол . NBA ... Прогноз: Ф1 (-2.50) Шансы 57% Повторить в БК 1.78
  • Tipico.de Warriors -7.5 Priced (1.90) -1.00 pts CLV +0.8% Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 10:11 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 0–2 · 0% before this game

    Quote
    Warriors vs. Heat 06.11.2026, 04:00 Uhr - Chase Center Tipp 1 (HC 0:7,5) 1,95

Over/under (5 counted of 5)

Over: 5 (100%)Under: 0 (0%)

Over (5)

Recorded before tip-off (5)

  • Eddie Kline Picks and Parlays Over 237.5 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts Loss

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 1:41 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 3–1 · 75% before this game

    Quote
    Pick: Over 237.5 ... Take the over.
  • Kush v Sporte Over 226.5 Priced (1.40) -1.00 pts CLV +5.3% Loss

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 4:11 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 12–11–2 · 52% before this game

    Quote
    Aleksandrit 05 ноября 23:48 ... Голден Стэйт Уорриорз - Майами Хит ... Прогноз: ТБ (226.50) ... Повторить в БК 1.5
  • Kim Smith StatSalt Over 233.5 Priced (1.71) -1.00 pts Loss

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 12:43 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 3–3 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    Total Pick: Over 233.5 Points I’m taking the over 233.5 if that number is available.
  • WagerTalk Over 235.5 Priced (1.91) -1.00 pts CLV -2.5% Loss

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 9:13 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 0–1 · 0% before this game

    Quote
    Total Pick: Over 235.5 (-110)
  • Nathan Beighle USA Today Sportsbook Wire Over 233.5 Priced (1.90) -1.00 pts CLV -3.5% Loss

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 2:11 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 2–5 · 29% before this game

    Quote
    BET OVER 233.5 (-110)

Under (0)

No picks.

Player props (13 counted of 13)

Recorded before tip-off (13)

  • Alex Selesnick CBS Sports (expert picks) Under 13.5 Klay Thompson · points · actual 11 author odds 1.80 · Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 5–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    MIA @ GS • Thu 10:00pm K. Thompson Under 13.5 -125 Points Picked: Nov 5 @ 9:05am
  • Matt Severance CBS Sports (expert picks) Under 29.5 Giannis Antetokounmpo · points · actual 20 author odds 1.93 · Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 1–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    MIA @ GS • Thu 10:00pm G. Antetokounmpo Under 29.5 -108 Points Picked: Nov 5 @ 7:52am
  • Covers Under 19.5 Yaxel Lendeborg · points · actual 17 Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 5:42 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 119–99 · 55% before this game

    Quote
    Points Scored YL Yaxel Lendeborg u19.5 Points Scored (50%) Projection 16.9953 (Under) Best Odds u19.5 51%
  • Covers Under 12.5 Pelle Larsson · points · actual 13 Result only (no price) Loss

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 11:45 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 119–99 · 55% before this game

    Quote
    Pelle Larsson u12.5 Points Scored (51%) Projection 10.6135 (Under) Best Odds u14.5 72% Pick made: 18 seconds ago EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5 - u14.5 72% u12.5 51%
  • Corey Scott Sportsbook Review Over 26.5 Stephen Curry · points · actual 29 author odds 1.83 · Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 11:11 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 2–2 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    Stephen Curry o26.5 Points Scored (-120)
  • Corey Scott Sportsbook Review Over 7.5 Davion Mitchell · assists · actual 8 Priced (1.87) +0.87 pts Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 11:11 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 2–2 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    Davion Mitchell o7.5 Total Assists (+100)
  • VSiN Over 6.5 Draymond Green · assists · actual 11 Priced (2.02) +1.01 pts Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 1:13 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 1–1 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    Draymond Green Over 6.5 Assists (+110) vs. Heat Heat at Warriors – 10:00 pm ET
  • BettingPros Under 25.5 Bam Adebayo · PTS+AST · actual 18 author odds 1.91 · Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 10:10 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 3–4 · 43% before this game

    Quote
    Bam Adebayo U 25.5 Pts + Ast (-110) @ GSW
  • Steve Seagrave WagerTalk Over 11.5 Draymond Green · REB+AST · actual 16 author odds 2.00 · Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 1:43 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 1–2 · 33% before this game

    Quote
    Draymond Green Player Prop Pick: OVER 11.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100) vs Miami Heat
  • Nathan Beighle USA Today Sportsbook Wire Under 21.5 Bam Adebayo · points · actual 18 author odds 1.80 · Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 2:11 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 2–4 · 33% before this game

    Quote
    Heat C BAM ADEBAYO UNDER 21.5 POINTS (-125).
  • Peter Dewey SI Betting (Sports Illustrated) Over 4.5 Stephen Curry · 3-pointers made · actual 6 author odds 2.25 · Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 11:11 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 10–17 · 37% before this game

    Quote
    Steph Curry OVER 4.5 3-Pointers Made (+125)
  • Juan Carlos Blanco Covers Under 45.5 Giannis Antetokounmpo · PTS+REB+AST · actual 38 Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 2:40 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 1–6 · 14% before this game

    Quote
    Giannis Antetokounmpo u45.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (53%) ... @ GS Thu, Nov 5 • 10:00 PM ET ... Miami is a fairly sizable road underdog and has an implied team total that suggests a more subdued night than usual for its front-line players.
  • Juan Carlos Blanco Covers Over 29.5 Yaxel Lendeborg · PTS+REB+AST · actual 31 Result only (no price) Win

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 2:40 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 1–6 · 14% before this game

    Quote
    Yaxel Lendeborg o29.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (56%) ... @ GS Thu, Nov 5 • 10:00 PM ET ... The Heat is also ranked No. 27 in offensive efficiency rating surrendered to small forwards (25.9) while having allowed the second-most rebounds (9.5) and most assists (6.3) per game to the position.

Recording history · 54 recordings, including 5 repeats of the same pick

Read after the game: the pick as the source shows it now, read after the game started, with no verifiable pre-game stamp. These picks are shown and counted in recording history only; they do not enter records, points or leaderboards. What the labels mean →

Repeats and picks read after the game (12)

Recorded before tip-off (0 + 1 repeat)

  • Pickswise Warriors -6.5 Priced (1.91) Repeat

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 4:11 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 17–13–1 · 57% before this game

    Quote
    MIA vs GSW | Spread - Golden State Warriors -6.5

Read after the game (7 + 4 repeats)

  • WagerTalk Warriors -7.5 author odds 1.94 · Result only (no price) Repeat

    captured Fri, Nov 6, 7:33 a.m. ET · original page · Spread 1–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    Spread Lean: Warriors -7.5 (-106)
  • WagerTalk Warriors Result only (no price) Repeat

    captured Fri, Nov 6, 7:33 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (winner) 1–0 · 100% before this game

    Quote
    Moneyline Pick: Golden State Warriors.
  • Doc's Sports Warriors -7.5 Result only (no price) Repeat

    captured Fri, Nov 6, 7:11 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Doc's Sports 4-Unit Play Take Golden State -7.5 over Miami (10 p.m. EST, Thursday November 5)
  • Craig Trapp Doc's Sports Heat +7.5 Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game

    captured Fri, Nov 6, 7:11 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Craig Trapp 2-Unit Play. Take #531 Miami (+7.5) Over Golden State (10;10 pm, Thursday November 5) **FD Odds**
  • Scott Rickenbach Doc's Sports Warriors -7.5 author odds 1.95 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game

    captured Fri, Nov 6, 7:11 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Scott Rickenbach 7-Unit Play. Take #532 Golden State -7.5 (-105) vs Miami (10:10 p.m.,Thursday, Nov 5)
  • Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy) Doc's Sports Over 234 Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game

    captured Fri, Nov 6, 7:11 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy) 4-Unit Play. #531. Take Over 234 Miami vs. Golden State Warriors (Thursday @ 10:10pm est)
  • August Young Doc's Sports Heat +7.5 author odds 1.91 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game

    captured Fri, Nov 6, 7:11 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    August Young 4-Unit Play (531) Miami Heat +7.5 -110 over Golden State Warriors (11/5 @ 10:00 PM ET)
  • Pau Sisternas Casasdeapuestas Warriors -6 author odds 1.80 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game

    captured Sun, Nov 8, 1:13 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Pau Sisternas -654,00 | 139 pronósticos Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat 06/11/2026 04:00 , NBA ... Pronóstico Acertado Golden State Warriors -6 Cuota 1.80
  • Steve Seagrave WagerTalk Over 11.5 Draymond Green · REB+AST author odds 2.00 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game

    captured Fri, Nov 6, 7:33 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 1–2 · 33% before this game

    Quote
    Draymond Green Player Prop Pick: OVER 11.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100) vs Miami Heat
  • WagerTalk Over 235.5 author odds 1.91 · Result only (no price) Repeat

    captured Fri, Nov 6, 7:33 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 0–1 · 0% before this game

    Quote
    Total Pick: Over 235.5 (-110)
  • VPrognoze · Fogg Warriors -4.5 author odds 1.93 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 11:44 p.m. ET · original page · Spread 1–3 · 25% before this game

    Quote
    06:00 Голден Стэйт Уорриорз - Майами Хит Баскетбол. NBA. Регулярный чемпионат ФОРА1 (-4.5) @1.93

More markets

Periods, exact scores, 60-minute calls and same-game combos for this game. Graded on the final and period scores and counted on their own, apart from the leaderboards and the pick count above. All sources on these markets →

Same-game combos (1 pick · 0-1-0 · 0.0%)

  • Anatoly Pimentel BetMGM Giannis Antetokounmpo over 12.5 rebounds (actual 14) + Heat to win Loss

    captured Thu, Nov 5, 5:44 p.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Giannis Antetokounmpo over 12.5 rebounds + Heat moneyline ... Prediction: Giannis Antetokounmpo over 12.5 rebounds + Heat moneyline.

Market reference (no-margin closing probabilities)

Before tip-off, the betting market gave the Warriors a 60% chance to win (with bookmaker margin removed) and the Heat 40%, by the median of the no-margin closing prices behind the recorded picks. Market lines are shown for context so you can compare each source's pick with the market of the day; each pick is graded against the line recorded with that pick. How points are calculated

Lines the sources printed: Spread GSW -7.5, GSW -7, GSW -6.5, GSW -5.5, GSW -4.5, GSW -3.5, GSW -2.5, MIA +5.5, MIA +7, MIA +8.5; Over/under 226.5, 233.5, 235.5, 237.5.

Sources

27 sources · 28 pages · Tip-off Thu, Nov 5, 10:11 p.m. ET; picks seen after it are labeled. How recording works

The two teams

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors, NBA, Nov 5, 2026, final: Warriors beat the Heat 120–100: 6 of 6 experts picked the Warriors. Moneyline picks 6 of 6 right, spread picks 14 of 18 right, over/under picks 0 of 5 right — Hunchmeter

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