House · Ohio · Before the vote
Ohio 7th District (OH-7): what the forecasters say
Brian Poindexter (D) vs Max Miller (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill
The seat is held by a Republican. Inside Elections favors the Democrat; Race to the WH favors the Republican; FiftyPlusOne and DDHQ / The Hill rate it a Toss-up. That is a head-on clash: the forecasters name opposite winners. 3 rating changes caught since Oct 21, the latest Oct 31, 12:09 AM ET.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Tilt Democrat | D Tilt | Oct 29 | Their House forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | Toss-Up | Toss-up | recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET | Their House forecast → |
| DDHQ / The Hill | Toss Up | Toss-up | Oct 14 | Their House forecast → |
| Race to the WH | Tilt R | R Tilt | Oct 31 | Their House forecast → |
Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (3)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
| When we saw it | Forecaster | From → to |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 12:09 AM ET | Race to the WH | Toss-up R 64% → Tilt R 65% (toward R) |
| Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET | Inside Elections | Toss-up → Tilt D (toward D) |
| Oct 27, 12:11 PM ET | FiftyPlusOne | Lean D 60% → Toss-up D 59% (toward R) |
No change since Oct 21: DDHQ / The Hill.
Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 29, by its own change date: Toss-up → Tilt Democrat. That is the change in the table above: we first saw it Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET.
Same state
Other battlegrounds in Ohio
- Ohio Senate
Sherrod Brown (D) vs Jon Husted (R) - Ohio governor
Amy Acton (D) vs Vivek Ramaswamy (R) - Ohio 1 (House)
Greg Landsman (D) vs Eric Conroy (R) - Ohio 9 (House)
Marcy Kaptur (D) vs Derek Merrin (R) - Ohio 10 (House)
Kristina Knickerbocker (D) vs Michael Turner (R) - Ohio 15 (House)
Don Leonard (D) vs Mike Carey (R)
How this race will be graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.
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