House · Iowa · Before the vote
Iowa 2nd District (IA-2): what the forecasters say
Lindsay James (D) vs Joe Mitchell (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill
The seat is held by a Republican. Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH rate it a Toss-up. They lean the same way, but at least one rates the race close, so it is graded as a battleground. 2 rating changes caught since Oct 21, the latest Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Toss-up | Toss-up | Oct 15 | Their House forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | Toss-Up | Toss-up | recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET | Their House forecast → |
| DDHQ / The Hill | Toss Up | Toss-up | Oct 14 | Their House forecast → |
| Race to the WH | Tossup | Toss-up | Oct 31 | Their House forecast → |
Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (2)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
| When we saw it | Forecaster | From → to |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | FiftyPlusOne | Lean D 60.1% → Toss-up D 59.7% (toward R) |
| Oct 26, 10:09 PM ET | Race to the WH | Toss-up 50% → Toss-up D 55% (toward D) |
No change since Oct 21: Inside Elections and DDHQ / The Hill.
Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 15, by its own change date: Tilt Republican → Toss-up. That is before our monitoring began on Oct 21, so it is not in the count above.
Same state
Other battlegrounds in Iowa
- Iowa Senate
Josh Turek (D) vs Ashley Hinson (R) - Iowa governor
Rob Sand (D) vs Zach Lahn (R) - Iowa 1 (House)
Christina Bohannan (D) vs Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) - Iowa 3 (House)
Sarah Garriott (D) vs Zach Nunn (R)
How this race will be graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.
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