House · Colorado · Before the vote

Colorado 8th District (CO-8): what the forecasters say

Manny Rutinel (D) vs Gabe Evans (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill

The seat is held by a Republican. Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH favor the Democrat. They lean the same way, but at least one rates the race close, so it is graded as a battleground. 2 rating changes caught since Oct 21, the latest Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET.

Result: after Nov 3. Once the race is called, the result appears on this page, and each forecaster’s final rating, sealed before the polls close, is graded under the published rules.

Right now

Each forecaster’s current rating

The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.

ForecasterRatingSideAs ofSource
Inside ElectionsTilt DemocratD TiltOct 29Their House forecast →
FiftyPlusOneLikely DemD Likelyrecorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ETTheir House forecast →
DDHQ / The HillLikely DD LikelyOct 14Their House forecast →
Race to the WHLean DD LeanOct 31Their House forecast →

Rating history

Changes since Oct 21 (2)

A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.

When we saw itForecasterFrom → to
Oct 29, 2:07 PM ETInside ElectionsToss-up → Tilt D (toward D)
Oct 26, 10:09 PM ETRace to the WHTilt D 73% → Lean D 79% (toward D)

No change since Oct 21: FiftyPlusOne and DDHQ / The Hill.

Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 29, by its own change date: Toss-up → Tilt Democrat. That is the change in the table above: we first saw it Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET.

Same state

Other battlegrounds in Colorado

How this race will be graded

Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.

Full rules · Check the seal · All 98 battleground races

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