House · Colorado · Before the vote

Colorado 3rd District (CO-3): what the forecasters say

Dwayne Romero (D) vs Jeff Hurd (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill

The seat is held by a Republican. Inside Elections, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH favor the Republican; FiftyPlusOne rates it a Toss-up. They split: at least one names a favorite while another calls it a Toss-up. 2 rating changes caught since Oct 21, the latest Oct 25, 12:11 PM ET.

Result: after Nov 3. Once the race is called, the result appears on this page, and each forecaster’s final rating, sealed before the polls close, is graded under the published rules.

✓ Sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET · Verify

Right now

Each forecaster’s current rating

The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.

Forecaster	Rating	Side	As of	Source
Inside Elections	Likely Republican	R Likely	May 8	Their House forecast →
FiftyPlusOne	Toss-Up	Toss-up	recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET	Their House forecast →
DDHQ / The Hill	Lean R	R Lean	Oct 14	Their House forecast →
Race to the WH	Likely R	R Likely	Oct 31	Their House forecast →

Rating history

Changes since Oct 21 (2)

A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.

When we saw it	Forecaster	From → to
Oct 25, 12:11 PM ET	FiftyPlusOne	Toss-up 50.0% → Toss-up R 50.1% (toward R)
Oct 24, 12:11 PM ET	FiftyPlusOne	Toss-up D 50.0% → Toss-up 50.0% (toward R)

No change since Oct 21: Inside Elections, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH.

Inside Elections dates its rating here May 8, by its own date column: the rating has not changed since then. Our record shows no change since Oct 21.

Same state

Other battlegrounds in Colorado

Colorado 4 (House)
Eileen Laubacher (D) vs Lauren Boebert (R)
Colorado 5 (House)
Jessica Killin (D) vs Jeff Crank (R)
Colorado 8 (House)
Manny Rutinel (D) vs Gabe Evans (R)

How this race will be graded

Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.

Full rules · Check the seal · All 98 battleground races

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