House · California · Before the vote

California 13th District (CA-13): what the forecasters say

Adam Gray (D) vs Kevin Lincoln (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill

The seat is held by a Democrat. Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH favor the Democrat. They lean the same way, but at least one rates the race close, so it is graded as a battleground. 1 rating change caught since Oct 21, the latest Oct 26, 10:09 PM ET.

Result: after Nov 3. Once the race is called, the result appears on this page, and each forecaster’s final rating, sealed before the polls close, is graded under the published rules.

✓ Sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET · Verify

Right now

Each forecaster’s current rating

The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.

Forecaster	Rating	Side	As of	Source
Inside Elections	Tilt Democrat	D Tilt	Dec 5, 2025	Their House forecast →
FiftyPlusOne	Safe Dem	D Safe	recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET	Their House forecast →
DDHQ / The Hill	Likely D	D Likely	Oct 14	Their House forecast →
Race to the WH	Likely D	D Likely	Oct 31	Their House forecast →

Rating history

Changes since Oct 21 (1)

A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.

When we saw it	Forecaster	From → to
Oct 26, 10:09 PM ET	Race to the WH	Lean D 83% → Likely D 88% (toward D)

No change since Oct 21: Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne and DDHQ / The Hill.

Inside Elections dates its rating here Dec 5, 2025, by its own date column: the rating has not changed since then. Our record shows no change since Oct 21.

Same state

Other battlegrounds in California

California 22 (House)
Randy Villegas (D) vs David Valadao (R)
California 48 (House)
Marni Wilpert (D) vs Jim Desmond (R)

How this race will be graded

Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.

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