Gridiron Experts · NFL 2026 · week 5
GridironExperts's 2026 NFL picks and record
2–1–0
Against the spread · 2 wins · 1 loss · 0 pushes · 2 of 3 decided picks
Record so far
GridironExperts is against the spread 2-1-0 (2 of 3 decided picks).
- Against the spread
- 2-1-02 of 3 decided picks
Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.
- Against the spread, 2026 season: +1.0 points 3 picks scored · 0 with recorded odds, 3 at assumed even odds; 2-1 (2 of 3 decided picks); a coin flip averages 50%.
Each pick counts as a 1-point play at the no-margin market price; zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated
3 graded picks read after the games but timestamped before kickoff by Tallysight.
Market-adjusted results
Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and a simple rule to compare with. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks added after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. Zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. How we score fairly
| Market and period | Record in these picks | Market-adjusted points | Simple rule |
|---|---|---|---|
| Against the spread 2026 season | 2-1 | +1.0 points 3 picks scored · 0 with recorded odds, 3 at assumed even odds | Coin flip: 50% 1.5 of 3 decided |
Every pick
Week 5 · ATS 2-1-0
| Game | Against the spread | Final | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE at NYJ Sun, Oct 11 | NYJ -1.5 Win | CLE 12, NYJ 17 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| MIN at NO Sun, Oct 11 | MIN -1.5 Win | MIN 23, NO 13 | Timestamped before kickoff |
| DEN at LAC Sun, Oct 11 | LAC +3.5 Loss | DEN 23, LAC 17 | Timestamped before kickoff |
By week
| Week | Against the spread |
|---|---|
| Week 5 | 2-1-0 |
| Season | 2-1-0 |
Does this match Gridiron Experts?
Tallysight marks each graded pick. Our grade matches its mark on 3 of 3 of GridironExperts's picks.
By team
Record when picking each team
| Team | ATS on them | ATS against |
|---|---|---|
| CLE Cleveland Browns | — | 1-0-0 |
| DEN Denver Broncos | — | 0-1-0 |
| LAC Los Angeles Chargers | 0-1-0 | — |
| MIN Minnesota Vikings | 1-0-0 | — |
| NO New Orleans Saints | — | 1-0-0 |
| NYJ New York Jets | 1-0-0 | — |