The Dallas Morning News · NFL 2026 · week 7

Damon Marx CowboysNFL Editor's 2026 NFL picks and record

1–0–0

Straight up · 1 win · 0 losses · 0 ties · 1 of 1 decided picks

· no win % until 10 decided picks

1–0–0

Against the spread · 1 win · 0 losses · 0 pushes

1 of 1 decided picks

This week: CHI over NE · PIT over NO · BAL over CIN · see all 28 picks

View every pick

Market-adjusted points, straight up: +0.7 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 had a market price

How to read the points: zero is what the betting odds expected from these picks; above zero is better than the odds, below zero is worse.

How the graded picks were recorded · 2 picks (1 straight up, 1 against the spread)

2 Recorded before kickoff

What the labels mean →

Record so far

Current streak, straight up: 1 win in a row Longest: 1 win
Current streak, ATS: 1 win in a row Longest: 1 win

Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.

Straight up, live record since Week 6: +0.7 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 had a market price.
Against the spread, live record since Week 6: +1.0 points 1 pick scored · all priced by the market; 1-0 (1 of 1 decided picks); a coin flip averages 50%.
Against the spread, 2026 season: +1.0 points 1 pick scored · all priced by the market; 1-0 (1 of 1 decided picks); a coin flip averages 50%.

A right pick on a 50-50 game earns 1 point, a right underdog pick earns more, and a wrong pick costs 1. Above zero means better than the betting odds expected. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated

26 picks waiting for a result, all recorded before kickoff.

Pick log
Market-adjusted results
By week
Record in each team's games
Does this match the outlet?

Every pick

Week 7 · SU 1-0-0; ATS 1-0-0

Game	Straight up	Against the spread	Final	How we got it
NE at CHI Thu, Oct 22	CHI Win	CHI -3 Win	NE 24, CHI 30	Recorded before kickoff
PIT at NO Sun, Oct 25	PIT Pending	PIT -3 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
CIN at BAL Sun, Oct 25	BAL Pending	BAL -2.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
CLE at TEN Sun, Oct 25	CLE Pending	CLE -1.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
IND at MIN Sun, Oct 25	MIN Pending	MIN -6.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
MIA at NYJ Sun, Oct 25	NYJ Pending	NYJ -4.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
NYG at HOU Sun, Oct 25	HOU Pending	NYG +9.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
SF at ATL Sun, Oct 25	SF Pending	SF -3.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
TB at CAR Sun, Oct 25	CAR Pending	CAR -3.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
DEN at ARI Sun, Oct 25	DEN Pending	DEN -4.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
GB at DET Sun, Oct 25	DET Pending	DET -3 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
LAR at LV Sun, Oct 25	LAR Pending	LAR -4.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
KC at SEA Sun, Oct 25	KC Pending	KC +2.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
DAL at PHI Mon, Oct 26	DAL Pending	DAL -4.5 Pending	Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff

All Week 7 picks

Market-adjusted results

Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and how picking every favorite would have done. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks read after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. How points work

The 2026 season, the last four weeks, and the live record (picks recorded before kickoff, from Week 6) when available. Straight-up picks without a two-way price at the time are excluded from points; spread and over/under picks without line odds are scored at even odds.
Market and period	Record in these picks	Market-adjusted points	Compared with
Straight up 2026 season	1-0	+0.7 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 had a market price	Every favorite: 1-0 same 1 game
Straight up Live record since Week 6	1-0	+0.7 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 had a market price	Every favorite: 1-0 same 1 game
Against the spread 2026 season	1-0	+1.0 points 1 pick scored · all priced by the market	Coin flip: 50% 0.5 of 1 decided
Against the spread Live record since Week 6	1-0	+1.0 points 1 pick scored · all priced by the market	Coin flip: 50% 0.5 of 1 decided

Winner picks: points vs picking every favorite · market-adjusted points on the same 1 pick

Damon Marx CowboysNFL Editor +0.7 vs +0.7 favorites

Teal: the expert's market-adjusted points. Gray: picking every favorite in the same games, scored the same way.

By week

W-L-T straight up, W-L-P against the spread and over/under, by week.
Week	Straight up	Against the spread
Week 7	1-0-0	1-0-0
Season	1-0-0	1-0-0

By team

Record when picking each team

W-L-P. "Picked to win" counts picks on that team; "picked to lose" counts picks on its opponent.
Team	Picked to win	Picked to lose	ATS on them	ATS against
ARI Arizona Cardinals	—	—	—	—
ATL Atlanta Falcons	—	—	—	—
BAL Baltimore Ravens	—	—	—	—
CAR Carolina Panthers	—	—	—	—
CHI Chicago Bears	1-0-0	—	1-0-0	—
CIN Cincinnati Bengals	—	—	—	—
CLE Cleveland Browns	—	—	—	—
DAL Dallas Cowboys	—	—	—	—
DEN Denver Broncos	—	—	—	—
DET Detroit Lions	—	—	—	—
GB Green Bay Packers	—	—	—	—
HOU Houston Texans	—	—	—	—
IND Indianapolis Colts	—	—	—	—
KC Kansas City Chiefs	—	—	—	—
LV Las Vegas Raiders	—	—	—	—
LAR Los Angeles Rams	—	—	—	—
MIA Miami Dolphins	—	—	—	—
MIN Minnesota Vikings	—	—	—	—
NE New England Patriots	—	1-0-0	—	1-0-0
NO New Orleans Saints	—	—	—	—
NYG New York Giants	—	—	—	—
NYJ New York Jets	—	—	—	—
PHI Philadelphia Eagles	—	—	—	—
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers	—	—	—	—
SF San Francisco 49ers	—	—	—	—
SEA Seattle Seahawks	—	—	—	—
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers	—	—	—	—
TEN Tennessee Titans	—	—	—	—