Game	Straight up	Against the spread	Final	How we got it
NE at CHI Thu, Oct 22	NE Loss	NE +3 Loss	NE 24, CHI 30	Recorded before kickoff
PIT at NO Sun, Oct 25	PIT Pending	NO +3 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
CIN at BAL Sun, Oct 25	CIN Pending	CIN +2.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
CLE at TEN Sun, Oct 25	TEN Pending	TEN +1.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
IND at MIN Sun, Oct 25	MIN Pending	IND +6.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
MIA at NYJ Sun, Oct 25	NYJ Pending	MIA +4.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
NYG at HOU Sun, Oct 25	HOU Pending	NYG +9.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
SF at ATL Sun, Oct 25	SF Pending	ATL +3.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
TB at CAR Sun, Oct 25	CAR Pending	TB +3.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
DEN at ARI Sun, Oct 25	DEN Pending	ARI +4.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
GB at DET Sun, Oct 25	DET Pending	GB +3 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
LAR at LV Sun, Oct 25	LAR Pending	LV +4.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
KC at SEA Sun, Oct 25	KC Pending	KC +2.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
DAL at PHI Mon, Oct 26	DAL Pending	PHI +4.5 Pending	Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff

All Week 7 picks

Market-adjusted results

Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and how picking every favorite would have done. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks read after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. Zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. How points work

The 2026 season, the last four weeks, and the live record (picks recorded before kickoff, from Week 6) when available. Straight-up picks without a two-way price at the time are excluded from points; spread and over/under picks without line odds are scored at even odds.
Market and period	Record in these picks	Market-adjusted points	Compared with
Straight up 2026 season	0-1	−1.0 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 had a market price · above zero beats the betting odds	Every favorite: 1-0 same 1 game
Straight up Live record since Week 6	0-1	−1.0 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 had a market price	Every favorite: 1-0 same 1 game
Against the spread 2026 season	0-1	−1.0 points 1 pick scored · all priced by the market	Coin flip: 50% 0.5 of 1 decided
Against the spread Live record since Week 6	0-1	−1.0 points 1 pick scored · all priced by the market	Coin flip: 50% 0.5 of 1 decided

Winner picks: points vs picking every favorite · market-adjusted points on the same 1 pick

Craig Miller The Ticket -1.0 vs +0.7 favorites

Teal: the expert's market-adjusted points. Gray: picking every favorite in the same games, scored the same way.

By week

W-L-T straight up, W-L-P against the spread and over/under, by week.
Week	Straight up	Against the spread
Week 7	0-1-0	0-1-0
Season	0-1-0	0-1-0

By team

Record when picking each team

W-L-P. "Picked to win" counts picks on that team; "picked to lose" counts picks on its opponent.
Team	Picked to win	Picked to lose	ATS on them	ATS against
ARI Arizona Cardinals	—	—	—	—
ATL Atlanta Falcons	—	—	—	—
BAL Baltimore Ravens	—	—	—	—
CAR Carolina Panthers	—	—	—	—
CHI Chicago Bears	—	0-1-0	—	0-1-0
CIN Cincinnati Bengals	—	—	—	—
CLE Cleveland Browns	—	—	—	—
DAL Dallas Cowboys	—	—	—	—
DEN Denver Broncos	—	—	—	—
DET Detroit Lions	—	—	—	—
GB Green Bay Packers	—	—	—	—
HOU Houston Texans	—	—	—	—
IND Indianapolis Colts	—	—	—	—
KC Kansas City Chiefs	—	—	—	—
LV Las Vegas Raiders	—	—	—	—
LAR Los Angeles Rams	—	—	—	—
MIA Miami Dolphins	—	—	—	—
MIN Minnesota Vikings	—	—	—	—
NE New England Patriots	0-1-0	—	0-1-0	—
NO New Orleans Saints	—	—	—	—
NYG New York Giants	—	—	—	—
NYJ New York Jets	—	—	—	—
PHI Philadelphia Eagles	—	—	—	—
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers	—	—	—	—
SF San Francisco 49ers	—	—	—	—
SEA Seattle Seahawks	—	—	—	—
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers	—	—	—	—
TEN Tennessee Titans	—	—	—	—