Badge rules

Most underdog picks

Badges are facts about past picks, given by published rules. A badge is not a recommendation.

The rule

Straight-up picks on the underdog (the side the no-margin price at the time made less likely to win), live record only: among forecasters with at least 30 scored straight-up picks, at least 5 in the field, the most underdog picks, at least 5. Shown only together with how those picks did, and only if their market-adjusted points are zero or more. A fact about style, not about skill.

Holders now
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Window
live record

Picks that count. The live record only: picks we recorded before kickoff, from Week 6 of 2026 on. A pick read from an outlet's page after the game can only lower a record here: it adds to the total but never counts as a win. Points use the fair market price at the moment of each pick, with the bookmaker margin taken out; a straight-up pick without a two-sided price at that moment is left out, a spread or total pick without a price on its own line counts at even odds, and a pick read after the game counts as a miss (−1).

Holders

No tracked forecaster holds this badge yet. Levels start once the live record (from Week 6) has enough graded picks.

How common

Held now by 0 of the 73 forecasters in the badge count.

The chance check has no data for this badge yet.

Most underdog picks — Hunchmeter badge for NFL forecasters, 2026: held now by no one yet — Hunchmeter
Share this badge Copy link (the address of this badge) · Download card. To quote this badge:Most underdog picks — a Hunchmeter badge for NFL forecasters: Straight-up picks on the underdog (the side the no-margin price at the time made less likely to win), live record only: among forecasters with at least 30 scored straight-up picks, at least 5 in the field, the most underdog picks, at least 5. Held now by no one yet. https://hunchmeter.com/titles/most-underdog-picks/

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