NHL · Saturday, Nov 7, 2026 · 7:15 p.m. ET · Final · Week 6 · Sat, Nov 7

Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs expert picks and results, Nov 7, 2026

Montréal Canadiens beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2 in regulation on Nov 7, 2026. 6 of 8 moneyline picks (75%) were right, 0 of 1 60-minute regulation pick. Each pick below shows when it was recorded and is graded against the official score. Updated .

Matchup picture · final · 13 experts graded

Canadiens beat the Maple Leafs 4–2: 6 of 8 experts picked the Canadiens

Over/under: 3 of 4 right.

  • TOR to win, no puck line pick 2
  • MTL to win, no puck line pick 6
  • Over/under pick only 3
  • Other 2
Montréal CanadiensMontréal Canadiens10-3-3 before this game
4–2
Toronto Maple LeafsToronto Maple Leafs8-7-2 before this game
Final · Sat, Nov 7, 7:15 p.m. ET · Market favorite: MTL (52%)

How the picks turned out

6 of 8 counted winner picks took the Canadiens; most sources were right.

MTL: 6 (75%) · WonTOR: 2 (25%)

60-min regulation: 0 of 1 right at the recorded lines.

Over/under: 3 of 4 right at the recorded lines.

Matchup picture

Canadiens at Maple Leafs: 15 countable picks by market and lineMoneyline (incl. OT/SO) · 8MTL 6 · avg. price 1.92TOR 2 · avg. price 2.11Over/under · 4Over 3 · avg. price 1.74Under 1 · avg. price 2.042 × Over 5.51 × Over 6.51 × Under 6.55.56.5median 6
Based on 12 counted picks on this game; the picture appears once a game has 8. Bars: how the picks split by market; for puck line and totals, the dots below a bar show which lines the sources printed. Prices are the no-margin market price when each pick was recorded, averaged per side. Not shown: 3 picks on other markets (60-min regulation, team totals, player props) — see the lists below.
Show as table
MarketSidePicksLines printedAvg. price at record
Moneyline (incl. OT/SO)MTL61.92
TOR22.11
Over/underOver35.5, 6.51.74
Under16.52.04

Picks

16 picks: 8 moneyline (incl. OT/SO) · 1 60-min regulation · 4 over/under · 3 player props

Within each side, picks are ordered by the writer's record on that market before this game.

Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) (8 counted of 8)

MTL: 6 (75%) · WonTOR: 2 (25%)

Montréal Canadiens (6)

Recorded before puck drop (6)

  • Kim Smith StatSalt Canadiens Result only (no price) Win

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 1:12 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 12–6 · 67% before this game

    Quote
    Moneyline Pick: Montreal Canadiens I’m taking Montreal. Toronto has the rest advantage and the home ice, and those are good reasons to consider the Leafs. But Montreal has been finding ways to collect points, and I trust the Canadiens a little more right now.
  • Tippsecret Canadiens Priced (1.83) +0.92 pts CLV -5.5% Win

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:11 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 10–6 · 62% before this game

    Quote
    USA: NHL Heute 01:07 Uhr Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens TIPP: Money Line Montreal Canadiens QUOTE & BOOKIE: 1,81
  • Luc LeBlanc Covers Canadiens Priced (1.83) +0.92 pts Win

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 1:41 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 2–1 · 67% before this game

    Quote
    TOR Sat, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET Moneyline MON (55%) Best Odds 53% Pick made: 12 minutes ago Luc LeBlanc
  • Alex MacMillan Winners and Whiners Canadiens Priced (1.88) +0.94 pts CLV -1.3% Win

    captured Fri, Nov 6, 11:12 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 3–2 · 60% before this game

    Quote
    Best Bet: Montreal Canadiens full-game moneyline (-112 at BetRivers reference, or better).
  • Will Rogers SportsMemo Canadiens Priced (1.83) +0.92 pts CLV -2.4% Win

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:11 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    (9) Montreal Canadiens at (10) Toronto Maple Leafs: Moneyline The Play Montreal Canadiens -115
  • Greg Liodice Yahoo Sports Canadiens Priced (1.83) +0.92 pts CLV -5.0% Win

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 1:14 p.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Pick: Canadiens ML Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs moneyline: Canadiens -122, Maple Leafs +102

Toronto Maple Leafs (2)

Recorded before puck drop (2)

  • Dustin Saracini Covers Maple Leafs Priced (2.03) -1.00 pts Loss

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 12:13 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 16–11 · 59% before this game

    Quote
    Dustin Saracini Senior Analyst 47% 49% 48% ... We love ourselves an Original Six showdown - and it's going to be an entertaining one. Toronto's offense comes into this one averaging 3.60 goals per game, while Montreal isn't far behind at 3.37. What's giving me the edge with the Leafs? Aside from the value we're getting as underdogs, Toronto owns a significant advantage on special teams.
  • Nate Duffett Pickswise Maple Leafs Result only (no price) Loss

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:41 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 1–1 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    Nate Duffett Medium Montréal Canadiens Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Sat, Nov 7 7:00 PM Moneyline - Toronto Maple Leafs

60-min regulation (1 counted of 1)

Recorded before puck drop (1)

  • Collabtok · TripleX53 Maple Leafs Priced (2.56) -1.00 pts Loss

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:11 a.m. ET · original page · 60-min regulation 4–7 · 36% before this game

    Quote
    Торонто — Монреаль П1 · кф 2.5 ПРОГНОЗ: П1 @ 2,50

Over/under (4 counted of 4)

Over: 3 (75%)Under: 1 (25%)

Over (3)

Recorded before puck drop (3)

  • Kim Smith StatSalt Over 6.5 Priced (1.87) -1.00 pts Loss

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 1:12 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 10–6 · 62% before this game

    Quote
    Total Pick: Over 6.5 Goals Give me the over 6.5. Montreal is scoring 3.56 goals per game and allowing 3.19. Toronto is scoring 3.65 and allowing 3.29.
  • Pickswise Over 5.5 Priced (1.53) +0.64 pts CLV +9.9% Win

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:41 a.m. ET · original page · Over/under 9–8 · 53% before this game

    Quote
    | Over 5.5 | 3⭐ | -130 | Rebet | Bet Now | MTL vs TOR
  • VPrognoze · shipuchka Over 5.5 Priced (1.53) +0.62 pts CLV -3.8% Win

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 4:11 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 7–8 · 47% before this game

    Quote
    03:00 Торонто Мейпл Лифс - Монреаль Канадиенс Хоккей. NHL. Регулярный чемпионат ТБ (5.5) @1.55

Under (1)

Recorded before puck drop (1)

  • Lyutiy Stavkoman - Telegram kanali @l_stavkoman statistikasi va tahlili Under 6.5 Priced (1.95) +1.04 pts CLV -15.7% Win

    published Sat, Nov 7, 4:57 p.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    10 000,00 УАН - Ординар Очікує Менше 6.5 Тотал Торонто Мейпл Ліфс vs Монреаль Канадієнс 08.11, 02:00 Кешаут 8 814,81 УАН Можливий виграш: 17 400,00 УАН Деталі ▶ ... Ставки на НХЛ !!️ Сьогодні поставив на 6 матчів 🍀

Player props (2 counted of 3)

Recorded before puck drop (3)

  • Covers Over 0.5 Auston Matthews · goals · actual 0 Result only (no price) Loss

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 1:41 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 31–34 · 48% before this game

    Quote
    Auston Matthews o0.5 Goals Scored (42%) Best Odds ... o0.5 43% We're back riding the bell cow that's produced over four units for us this season.
  • Todd Cordell Covers Over 1.5 Josh Anderson · shots on goal Result only (no price) Not graded

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 10:42 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 11–18 · 38% before this game

    Quote
    Josh Anderson o1.5 Shots On Goal (53%) ... I’d back Josh Anderson for Over 1.5 shots all the way to 57%.
  • Dustin Saracini Covers Over 0.5 Jack Roslovic · points · actual 0 Result only (no price) Loss

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 12:42 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 2–6 · 25% before this game

    Quote
    Jack Roslovic o0.5 Points (59%) ... TOR Sat, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET

Recording history · 28 recordings, including 11 repeats of the same pick

Read after the game: the pick as the source shows it now, read after the game started, with no verifiable pre-game stamp. These picks are shown and counted in recording history only; they do not enter records, points or leaderboards. What the labels mean →

Repeats and picks read after the game (12)

Recorded before puck drop (0 + 9 repeats)

  • Dustin Saracini Covers Maple Leafs Result only (no price) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 1:13 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 16–11 · 59% before this game

    Quote
    TOP PICK Canadiens vs Maple Leafs prediction: Leafs moneyline ... This is playable to 53%.
  • WagerTalk Canadiens Priced (1.83) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:11 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 1–1 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    Event: (9) Montreal Canadiens at (10) Toronto Maple Leafs: Moneyline Date/Time: November 7, 2026 7:07 PM EST Play: Montreal Canadiens -115
  • Nate Duffett Pickswise Maple Leafs Priced (2.00) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:41 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 1–1 · 50% before this game

    Quote
    Moneyline - Toronto Maple Leafs ... Canadiens vs Maple Leafs prediction: Maple Leafs ML (-115) available at the time of publishing.
  • Will Rogers WagerTalk Canadiens Priced (1.83) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 10:12 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Will Rogers ... Play: Montreal Canadiens -115 This is a storied rivalry between the two oldest franchises in Canada. Montreal opened the season with a 3-2 victory over Toronto and has taken the last f ... ast a point in every one of those games, and they’re 5-1-1 on the road. Toronto also faced Utah last time out, but lost 3-2, leaving the Leafs at 1-3 over their last four. Back Montreal on the road.
  • Pickswise Maple Leafs Priced (2.00) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:41 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 5–8 · 38% before this game

    Quote
    | Moneyline - Toronto Maple Leafs | 3⭐ | -105 | Rebet | Bet Now | MTL vs TOR
  • Pickswise Maple Leafs Priced (2.00) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 8:11 a.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 5–8 · 38% before this game

    Quote
    | Bet Now | MTL vs TOR | Moneyline - Toronto Maple Leafs | 3⭐ | -102 | Rebet
  • Todd Cordell Covers Over 1.5 Josh Anderson · shots on goal Result only (no price) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 11:11 a.m. ET · original page · Player props 11–18 · 38% before this game

    Quote
    Pick #1: Josh Anderson Over 1.5 shots Novig probability: 50% I’d back Josh Anderson Over 1.5 shots up to 57%. Matchup : Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Dustin Saracini Covers Over 0.5 Jack Roslovic · points · actual 0 Result only (no price) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 1:13 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 2–6 · 25% before this game

    Quote
    Canadiens vs Maple Leafs player prop: Jack Roslovic 1+ point ... At 56%, we're still getting enough value - I'd play this to 59%.
  • Dustin Saracini Covers Over 0.5 Jack Roslovic · points · actual 0 Result only (no price) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 4:12 p.m. ET · original page · Player props 2–6 · 25% before this game

    Quote
    Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs 7 p.m. ET | Player prop Jack Roslovic 1+ point Dustin Saracini

Read after the game (1 + 2 repeats)

  • NHL Predictions & Betting Picks Canadiens author odds 1.88 · Result only (no price) Not graded · read after the game

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 10:12 p.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Montreal Canadiens Toronto Maple Leafs ... The prediction is that the Montreal Canadiens will come out on top against the Toronto Maple Leafs, with odds of -114 currently available on the Moneyline.
  • VPrognoze · shipuchka Over 5.5 author odds 1.55 · Result only (no price) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 11:42 p.m. ET · original page · Over/under 7–8 · 47% before this game

    Quote
    ТБ (5.5) @ 1.55 ... Монреаль пожалует на Скотиабанк к Торонто... Жду от канадского дерби достойного результата на табло.
  • Pickswise Maple Leafs author odds 6.00 · Result only (no price) Repeat

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:44 p.m. ET · original page · Moneyline (incl. OT/SO) 5–8 · 38% before this game

    Quote
    MTL vs TOR 1st | Moneyline - Toronto Maple Leafs | 3⭐ | +500

More markets

Periods, exact scores, 60-minute calls and same-game combos for this game. Graded on the final and period scores and counted on their own, apart from the leaderboards and the pick count above. All sources on these markets →

Periods and 60-minute lines (2 picks · 1-1-0 · 50.0%)

  • Slivy Platnykh Prognozov 1st period · Under 2.5 Win

    published Sat, Nov 7, 11:01 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    ❇️ Торонто Мейпл Лифс - Монреаль Канадиенс 📊 1-й период, Тотал шайб меньше (2,5)
  • Slivy Platnykh Prognozov 3rd period · Under 2.5 Loss

    published Sat, Nov 7, 11:01 a.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    ❇️ Торонто Мейпл Лифс - Монреаль Канадиенс 📊 3-й период, Тотал шайб меньше (2,5)

Exact score (1 pick · 1-0-0 · 100.0%)

60-minute three-way: draw, double chance, draw no bet (2 picks · 1-1-0 · 50.0%)

  • Overbetting.ru Canadiens or draw (60 min) Win

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 5:45 p.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Mr_Grey ... Торонто Мейпл Лифс – Монреаль Канадиенс ... 2Х Ставка: 333 ... В прогнозе на канадское дерби НХЛ разбираем шансы «Торонто Мейпл Лифс» и «Монреаль Канадиенс». Ставка — X2 на «Монреаль» за 1,518.
  • Sergey Petrov Overbetting.ru Draw after 60 minutes Loss

    captured Sat, Nov 7, 7:10 p.m. ET · original page

    Quote
    Торонто Мейпл Лифс – Монреаль Канадиенс 03:00, 08 ноя 4.37 Ничья Ставка: 500

Same-game combos (1 pick · 0-1-0 · 0.0%)

Market reference (no-margin closing probabilities)

Before puck drop, the betting market gave the Canadiens a 52% chance to win (with bookmaker margin removed) and the Maple Leafs 48%, by the median of the no-margin closing prices behind the recorded picks. Market lines are shown for context so you can compare each source's pick with the market of the day; each pick is graded against the line recorded with that pick. How points are calculated

Lines the sources printed: Over/under 5.5, 6.5.

Sources

10 sources · 10 pages · Puck drop Sat, Nov 7, 7:15 p.m. ET; picks seen after it are labeled. How recording works

The two teams

Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs, NHL, Nov 7, 2026, final: Canadiens beat the Maple Leafs 4–2: 6 of 8 experts picked the Canadiens. Moneyline picks 6 of 8 right, over/under picks 3 of 4 right — Hunchmeter

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