Governor · Vermont · Before the vote
Vermont governor race: what the forecasters say
Amanda Janoo (D) vs Phil Scott (R) · candidates as listed by Race to the WH
The seat is held by a Republican. Inside Elections and Race to the WH favor the Republican. They lean the same way, but at least one rates the race close, so it is graded as a battleground. No rating change caught here since Oct 21.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Likely Republican | R Likely | Oct 15 | Their governor forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | does not forecast governor races | |||
| DDHQ / The Hill | does not forecast governor races | |||
| Race to the WH | Lean R | R Lean | Oct 31 | Their governor forecast → |
Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (0)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
Unchanged since Oct 21: Inside Elections and Race to the WH.
Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 15, by its own change date: Solid Republican → Likely Republican. That is before our monitoring began on Oct 21, so it is not in the count above.
How this race will be graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for both. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.
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