Senate · South Carolina · Before the vote
South Carolina Senate race: what the forecasters say
Annie Andrews (D) vs Darline Graham (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill
The seat is held by a Republican. Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne and DDHQ / The Hill favor the Republican; Race to the WH rates it a Toss-up. They split: at least one names a favorite while another calls it a Toss-up. 6 rating changes caught since Oct 21, the latest Oct 31, 4:09 PM ET.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Tilt Republican | R Tilt | Oct 29 | Their Senate forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | Lean R | R Lean | recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET | Their Senate forecast → |
| DDHQ / The Hill | Lean R | R Lean | Oct 31 | Their Senate forecast → |
| Race to the WH | Toss Up | Toss-up | Oct 31 | Their Senate forecast → |
Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (6)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
| When we saw it | Forecaster | From → to |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 4:09 PM ET | Race to the WH | Tilt R 65% → Toss-up R 64% (toward D) |
| Oct 29, 4:08 PM ET | Race to the WH | Toss-up R 61% → Tilt R 66% (toward R) |
| Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET | Inside Elections | Lean R → Tilt R (toward D) |
| Oct 28, 2:06 PM ET | Race to the WH | Tilt R 72% → Toss-up R 65% (toward D) |
| Oct 27, 12:05 AM ET | Race to the WH | Lean R 79% → Tilt R 66% (toward D) |
| Oct 25, 2:10 AM ET | Race to the WH | Tilt R 75% → Lean R 77% (toward R) |
No change since Oct 21: FiftyPlusOne and DDHQ / The Hill.
Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 29, by its own change date: Lean Republican → Tilt Republican. That is the change in the table above: we first saw it Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET.
Same state
Other battlegrounds in South Carolina
- South Carolina 1 (House)
Nancy Lacore (D) vs Jenny Honeycutt (R)
How this race will be graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.
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