Governor · Oregon · Before the vote
Oregon governor race: what the forecasters say
Tina Kotek (D) vs Christine Drazan (R) · candidates as listed by Race to the WH
The seat is held by a Democrat. Inside Elections and Race to the WH favor the Democrat. They lean the same way, but at least one rates the race close, so it is graded as a battleground. 1 rating change caught since Oct 21, the latest Oct 29, 2:08 PM ET.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Tilt Democrat | D Tilt | Oct 29 | Their governor forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | does not forecast governor races | |||
| DDHQ / The Hill | does not forecast governor races | |||
| Race to the WH | Tilt D | D Tilt | Oct 31 | Their governor forecast → |
Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (1)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
| When we saw it | Forecaster | From → to |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2:08 PM ET | Inside Elections | Lean D → Tilt D (toward R) |
No change since Oct 21: Race to the WH.
Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 29, by its own change date: Lean Democrat → Tilt Democrat. That is the change in the table above: we first saw it Oct 29, 2:08 PM ET.
How this race will be graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for both. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.
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