Senate · New Hampshire · Before the vote
New Hampshire Senate race: what the forecasters say
Chris Pappas (D) vs John Sununu (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill
The seat is held by a Democrat. Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH favor the Democrat. They lean the same way, but at least one rates the race close, so it is graded as a battleground. No rating change caught here since Oct 21.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Tilt Democrat | D Tilt | Oct 15 | Their Senate forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | Likely D | D Likely | recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET | Their Senate forecast → |
| DDHQ / The Hill | Likely D | D Likely | Oct 31 | Their Senate forecast → |
| Race to the WH | Likely D | D Likely | Oct 31 | Their Senate forecast → |
Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (0)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
Unchanged since Oct 21: Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH.
Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 15, by its own change date: Toss-up → Tilt Democrat. That is before our monitoring began on Oct 21, so it is not in the count above.
Same state
Other battlegrounds in New Hampshire
- New Hampshire 1 (House)
Stefany Shaheen (D) vs Anthony DiLorenzo (R)
How this race will be graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.
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