Senate · Nebraska · Before the vote

Nebraska Senate race: what the forecasters say

Pete Ricketts (R) vs Dan Osborn (I) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill

The seat is held by a Republican. Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH favor the Republican. They lean the same way, but at least one rates the race close, so it is graded as a battleground. 6 rating changes caught since Oct 21, the latest Oct 31, 4:09 PM ET.

Result: after Nov 3. Once the race is called, the result appears on this page, and each forecaster’s final rating, sealed before the polls close, is graded under the published rules.

✓ Sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET · Verify

Right now

Each forecaster’s current rating

The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.

Forecaster	Rating	Side	As of	Source
Inside Elections	Tilt Republican	R Tilt	Oct 29	Their Senate forecast →
FiftyPlusOne	Likely R	R Likely	recorded Nov 1, 5:10 AM ET	Their Senate forecast →
DDHQ / The Hill	Likely R	R Likely	Oct 31	Their Senate forecast →
Race to the WH	Lean R	R Lean	Oct 31	Their Senate forecast →

Rating history

Changes since Oct 21 (6)

A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.

When we saw it	Forecaster	From → to
Oct 31, 4:09 PM ET	Race to the WH	Tilt R 66% → Lean R 81% (toward R)
Oct 31, 4:09 PM ET	DDHQ / The Hill	Lean R 72% → Likely R 76% (toward R)
Oct 31, 12:08 PM ET	FiftyPlusOne	Lean R 74% → Likely R 78% (toward R)
Oct 30, 4:10 PM ET	FiftyPlusOne	Likely R 75% → Lean R 74% (toward D)
Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET	Inside Elections	Lean R → Tilt R (toward D)
Oct 26, 12:09 PM ET	DDHQ / The Hill	Likely R 76% → Lean R 73% (toward D)

Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 29, by its own change date: Lean Republican → Tilt Republican. That is the change in the table above: we first saw it Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET.

Same state

Other battlegrounds in Nebraska

Nebraska governor
Lynne Walz (D) vs Jim Pillen (R)
Nebraska 2 (House)
Denise Powell (D) vs Brinker Harding (R)

How this race will be graded

Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Once the race is called, a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. Cook, Sabato, Silver and other raters get their own table on the scoreboard.

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