Senate · Louisiana · Before the vote
Louisiana Senate race: what the forecasters say
Jamie Davis (D) vs Julia Letlow (R) · candidates as listed by DDHQ / The Hill
The seat is held by a Republican. Inside Elections, FiftyPlusOne, DDHQ / The Hill and Race to the WH favor the Republican. This race is outside the current battleground set. Its forecast history remains available here. 3 rating changes caught since Oct 21, the latest Nov 2, 12:39 AM ET.
Right now
Each forecaster’s current rating
The latest rating each outlet has published, as recorded and sealed Nov 2, 12:42 AM ET. Ratings are shown in each outlet’s own words.
| Forecaster | Rating | Side | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Likely Republican | R Likely | Oct 29 | Their Senate forecast → |
| FiftyPlusOne | Likely R | R Likely | recorded Nov 2, 12:41 AM ET | Their Senate forecast → |
| DDHQ / The Hill | Likely R | R Likely | Nov 2 | Their Senate forecast → |
| Race to the WH | Likely R | R Likely | Nov 1 | Their Senate forecast → |
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Rating history
Changes since Oct 21 (3)
A change of rating, of favorite, or of a model’s lean across 50%. Each change is sealed with the time we first saw it. Chances are rounded, so a rating can change while the number stays the same.
| When we saw it | Forecaster | From → to |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 12:39 AM ET | Race to the WH | Lean R 85% → Likely R 86% (toward R) |
| Nov 1, 10:39 PM ET | Race to the WH | Likely R 85.3% → Lean R 84.6% (toward D) |
| Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET | Inside Elections | Solid/Safe R → Likely R (toward D) |
No change since Oct 21: FiftyPlusOne and DDHQ / The Hill.
Inside Elections dates its last change here Oct 29, by its own change date: Solid Republican → Likely Republican. That is the change in the table above: we first saw it Oct 29, 2:07 PM ET.
How races are graded
Every forecast on this page is sealed before the vote. Only battleground races are graded: a right call earns 1 point, a Toss-up ½ and a wrong call 0, the same rule for all four. This race is outside the current battleground set, so its forecasts are kept here but not scored.