Mile High Report · NFL 2026 · weeks 5–6

Tim Lynch's 2026 NFL picks and record

Best call: DEN over SEA (Week 6) — the market gave DEN a 42.7% chance Recorded before kickoff

2–0–0

Straight up · 2 wins · 0 losses · 0 ties · 2 of 2 decided picks · no win % until 10 decided picks

Week 7 picks: none recorded · Mile High Report usually posts on Thursday · last checked Oct 23, 4:16 a.m. ET

Market-adjusted points, straight up: +1.9 points 2 picks scored · 2 of 2 had a market price

How to read the points: zero is what the betting odds expected from these picks; above zero is better than the odds, below zero is worse.

How the graded picks were recorded · 2 picks

1 Recorded before kickoff
1 Read after the game

Read after the game: the pick as the outlet published it. Its page shows no pick time. These picks count in records; numbered places use only picks recorded before kickoff. What the labels mean →

Record so far

Current streak, straight up: 2 wins in a row Longest: 2 wins in a row

Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.

Straight up, live record since Week 6: +1.3 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 had a market price; 1-0 in these games; picking every favorite in the same 1 game: 0-1.

A right pick on a 50-50 game earns 1 point, a right underdog pick earns more, and a wrong pick costs 1. Above zero means better than the betting odds expected. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated

Pick log
Market-adjusted results
Badges
By week
Record in each team's games
Does this match the outlet?

Every pick

Week 6 · SU 1-0-0

Game	Straight up	Final	Predicted score	How we got it
SEA at DEN Thu, Oct 15	DEN Win	SEA 14, DEN 17	DEN 23-19	Recorded before kickoff

All Week 6 picks

Week 5 · SU 1-0-0

Game	Straight up	Final	Predicted score	How we got it
DEN at LAC Sun, Oct 11	DEN Win	DEN 23, LAC 17	DEN 24-20	Read after the game

All Week 5 picks

Market-adjusted results

Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and how picking every favorite would have done. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks read after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. How points work

The 2026 season, the last four weeks, and the live record (picks recorded before kickoff, from Week 6) when available. Straight-up picks without a two-way price at the time are excluded from points; spread and over/under picks without line odds are scored at even odds.
Market and period	Record in these picks	Market-adjusted points	Compared with
Straight up 2026 season	2-0	+1.9 points 2 picks scored · 2 of 2 had a market price	Every favorite: 1-1 same 2 games
Straight up Live record since Week 6	1-0	+1.3 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 had a market price	Every favorite: 0-1 same 1 game

Winner picks: points vs picking every favorite · market-adjusted points on the same 2 picks

Tim Lynch +1.9 vs -0.4 favorites

Teal: the expert's market-adjusted points. Gray: picking every favorite in the same games, scored the same way.

Record highlights

Badges are facts about past picks, given by published rules. Badge rules · How badges work

No current badges. Earlier badges are listed below.

The badge and the picks behind it

Select any badge to see what it means, how it compares and the odds of earning it by chance. Every pick behind each badge, with the rule and the outlet pages, is one link away: picks behind each badge. Recording labels: Recorded before kickoff (we saw the pick before the game); Timestamped before kickoff (the platform's timestamp or a web archive copy of the page); Read after the game · matches the outlet's own record (the outlet's published record matches our recount); Read after the game (any other pick; it can only lower a record).

Season badges

Best call: DEN over SEA (Week 6) — the market gave DEN a 42.7% chance Recorded before kickoff

The correct straight-up pick with the lowest market chance on record: DEN over SEA in Week 6, when the market gave DEN a 42.7% chance.

Period: 2026 season
How rare: If every pick won only as often as the market odds said, about 102 of the 122 experts who qualify for it would earn this in a season. Held now by 98 of all 137 experts in the badge count.

The pick behind this badge, with sources → · Badge rules