VSiN · NFL 2026 · weeks 5–9
Matt Youmans: NFL picks record, 2026 season
In the 2026 NFL season, Matt Youmans (VSiN) is 8-8-0 (50.0%) against the spread, in graded picks from Weeks 5–9. Updated .
Recently added · outside the counts for now We track new betting analysts for at least 30 graded picks recorded before kickoff, over at least 30 days and 2 NFL weeks, before they appear in rankings, badges and game-page counts. So far: 11 graded picks with a pre-kickoff timestamp (recorded by us before kickoff), over 22 days and 4 NFL weeks; each pick says who set the time and when we read it.
The record below counts every pick we have, the same way as for everyone. How we record and grade picks
Record so far
- Against the spread · wins‑losses‑pushes
- 8-8-0 50.0% of 16 decided · likely range 28–72%
- Longest run, ATS
- 4 wins in a row this season
5 graded picks read from VSiN pages after the games; 11 graded picks recorded by us before kickoff.
Week 10 picks: none recorded · last checked Nov 12, 6:23 p.m. ET
Market-adjusted results
Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and how picking every favorite would have done. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks read after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. Zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. How points work
| Market and period | Record in these picks | Market-adjusted points | Compared with |
|---|---|---|---|
| Against the spread 2026 season | 8-8 | 0.0 points 16 picks scored · all priced by the market · above zero beats the betting odds 0.00 per pick · likely range −0.50 to +0.49 per pick | Coin flip: 50% 8 of 16 decided |
| Against the spread Weeks 6–9 | 4-7 | −2.9 points 11 picks scored · all priced by the market −0.27 per pick · likely range −0.82 to +0.29 per pick | Coin flip: 50% 5.5 of 11 decided |
| Against the spread Live record since Week 6 | 4-7 | −2.9 points 11 picks scored · all priced by the market −0.27 per pick · likely range −0.82 to +0.29 per pick | Coin flip: 50% 5.5 of 11 decided |
Every pick
All experts: Week 10 picks · Week 11 early picks
Week 9 · ATS 1-2-0
| Game | Against the spread | Final | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN at ATL Sun, Nov 8 |  ATL +3 Loss | CIN 34, ATL 17 | Recorded before kickoff |
| TB at CHI Sun, Nov 8 |  TB +6 Win | TB 24, CHI 27 | Recorded before kickoff |
| BUF at MIN Mon, Nov 9 |  MIN +3 Loss | BUF 23, MIN 6 | Recorded before kickoff |
Week 8 · ATS 0-1-0
| Game | Against the spread | Final | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI at SEA Mon, Nov 2 |  SEA -3 Loss | CHI 34, SEA 17 | Recorded before kickoff |
Week 7 · ATS 1-3-0
| Game | Against the spread | Final | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF at ATL Sun, Oct 25 | ATL +2.5 Win | SF 20, ATL 29 | Recorded before kickoff |
| LAR at LV Sun, Oct 25 |  LV +3.5 Loss | LAR 35, LV 21 | Recorded before kickoff |
| KC at SEA Sun, Oct 25 |  KC +3 Loss | KC 3, SEA 20 | Recorded before kickoff |
| DAL at PHI Mon, Oct 26 |  PHI +4.5 Loss | DAL 38, PHI 21 | Recorded before kickoff |
Week 6 · ATS 2-1-0
LAC +7.5 
WSH +7.5 Week 5 · ATS 4-1-0
| Game | Against the spread | Final | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI at JAX Sun, Oct 11 | PHI +7.5 Win | PHI 17, JAX 19 | Read after the game |
| IND at PIT Sun, Oct 11 |  PIT -2.5 Win | IND 22, PIT 34 | Read after the game |
| LV at NE Sun, Oct 11 |  NE -3.5 Win | LV 17, NE 45 | Read after the game |
| BAL at ATL Sun, Oct 11 |  BAL +3.5 Win | BAL 30, ATL 23 | Read after the game |
| BUF at LAR Mon, Oct 12 |  LAR -3 Loss | BUF 37, LAR 34 | Read after the game |
By week
Source pages
- VSiN · recorded Oct 13, 4:56 a.m. ET
- VSiN · recorded Oct 17, 3:16 p.m. ET
- VSiN · recorded Oct 24, 2:19 p.m. ET
- VSiN · recorded Oct 31, 8:19 p.m. ET
- VSiN · recorded Nov 7, 2:12 p.m. ET
Labels at each pick: recorded before kickoff (we saw it before the game), timestamped before kickoff (the platform's own time), read after the game.