Bolts From The Blue · NFL 2026 · week 5
Jeremy Brener's 2026 NFL picks and record
1–0–0
Straight up · 1 win · 0 losses · 0 ties · 1 of 1 decided picks
Week 6 picks not recorded yet · last checked Oct 14, 5:19 p.m. ET
View every pickRecord so far
Jeremy Brener is straight up 1-0-0 (1 of 1 decided picks), against the spread 0-1-0 (0 of 1 decided picks) and on totals 1-0-0 (1 of 1 decided picks).
- Straight up
- 1-0-01 of 1 decided picks
- Against the spread
- 0-1-00 of 1 decided picks
- Over/under
- 1-0-01 of 1 decided picks
- Current streak, straight up
- 1 win in a rowLongest: 1 win
Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.
- Straight up, 2026 season: +0.6 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 with recorded odds.
- Over/under, 2026 season: +1.0 points 1 pick scored · 0 with recorded odds, 1 at assumed even odds; 1-0 (1 of 1 decided picks); a coin flip averages 50%.
Each pick counts as a 1-point play at the no-margin market price; zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated
3 graded picks added from Bolts From The Blue pages after the games.
Market-adjusted results
Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and a simple rule to compare with. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks added after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. Zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate. How we score fairly
| Market and period | Record in these picks | Market-adjusted points | Simple rule |
|---|---|---|---|
| Straight up 2026 season | 1-0 | +0.6 points 1 pick scored · 1 of 1 with recorded odds | Every favorite: 1-0 same 1 game |
| Against the spread 2026 season | 0-1 | −1.0 points 1 pick scored · 0 with recorded odds, 1 at assumed even odds | Coin flip: 50% 0.5 of 1 decided |
| Over/under 2026 season | 1-0 | +1.0 points 1 pick scored · 0 with recorded odds, 1 at assumed even odds | Coin flip: 50% 0.5 of 1 decided |
- Jeremy Brener+0.6 vs +0.6 favorites
Teal: the expert's market-adjusted points. Grey: picking every favorite in the same games, scored the same way. Zero is the expected score if market probabilities are accurate.
Every pick
Week 5 · SU 1-0-0; ATS 0-1-0; O/U 1-0-0
| Game | Straight up | Against the spread | Over/under | Final | Predicted score | How we got it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN at LAC Sun, Oct 11 | DEN Win | LAC +3.5 Loss | Under 42.5 Win | DEN 23, LAC 17 | DEN 20-17 | Added after the game |
By week
| Week | Straight up | Against the spread | Over/under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 |
| Season | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 |
Does this match Bolts From The Blue?
Bolts From The Blue does not print a running record or per-pick marks that we can check against yet. Our count comes from the picks and the final scores alone.
By team
Record when picking each team
| Team | Picked to win | Picked to lose | ATS on them | ATS against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN Denver Broncos | 1-0-0 | — | — | 0-1-0 |
| LAC Los Angeles Chargers | — | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 | — |