Sharp or Square · NFL 2026 · weeks 6–7

Chad Millman's 2026 NFL picks and record

2–1–0

Against the spread · 2 wins · 1 loss · 0 pushes · 2 of 3 decided picks · no win % until 10 decided picks

This week: ATL +3.5 vs SF · TB +3.5 vs CAR · DET -3 vs GB · see the pick log

Market-adjusted points, against the spread: +1.0 points 3 picks scored · all priced by the market

How to read the points: zero is what the betting odds expected from these picks; above zero is better than the odds, below zero is worse.

How the graded picks were recorded · 3 picks

3 Timestamped before kickoff

What the labels mean →

Record so far

Market-adjusted points Pick results adjusted for market odds.

A right pick on a 50-50 game earns 1 point, a right underdog pick earns more, and a wrong pick costs 1. Above zero means better than the betting odds expected. Compare all pick types · How these points are calculated

3 picks waiting for a result, all recorded before kickoff.

Pick log
Market-adjusted results
By week
Record in each team's games
Does this match the outlet?

Every pick

Week 7 · 3 picks waiting for a result

Game	Against the spread	Final	How we got it
SF at ATL Sun, Oct 25	ATL +3.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
TB at CAR Sun, Oct 25	TB +3.5 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 1 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff
GB at DET Sun, Oct 25	DET -3 Pending	Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET	Recorded before kickoff

All Week 7 picks

Week 6 · ATS 2-1-0

Game	Against the spread	Final	How we got it
BAL at CLE Sun, Oct 18	CLE +5.5 Win	BAL 10, CLE 13	Timestamped before kickoff
CAR at PHI Sun, Oct 18	CAR -0.5 Win	CAR 25, PHI 14	Timestamped before kickoff
LAC at KC Sun, Oct 18	LAC +7.5 Loss	LAC 6, KC 22	Timestamped before kickoff

All Week 6 picks

Market-adjusted results

Three numbers for each market: the record, market-adjusted points and how picking every favorite would have done. Points count each pick as if it were a 1-point play at the market price at the time of the pick (for picks read after the game, the price at the start of that NFL week), with the bookmaker margin taken out: a win adds what that price paid (more for an underdog, less for a favorite), a loss takes away 1 point, a push counts 0. How points work

The 2026 season, the last four weeks, and the live record (picks recorded before kickoff, from Week 6) when available. Straight-up picks without a two-way price at the time are excluded from points; spread and over/under picks without line odds are scored at even odds.
Market and period	Record in these picks	Market-adjusted points	Compared with
Against the spread 2026 season	2-1	+1.0 points 3 picks scored · all priced by the market	Coin flip: 50% 1.5 of 3 decided

By week

W-L-P by week.
Week	Against the spread
Week 6	2-1-0
Week 7	3 picks waiting for a result
Season	2-1-0

By team

Record when picking each team

W-L-P. "Picked to win" counts picks on that team; "picked to lose" counts picks on its opponent.
Team	ATS on them	ATS against
ATL Atlanta Falcons	—	—
BAL Baltimore Ravens	—	1-0-0
CAR Carolina Panthers	1-0-0	—
CLE Cleveland Browns	1-0-0	—
DET Detroit Lions	—	—
GB Green Bay Packers	—	—
KC Kansas City Chiefs	—	0-1-0
LAC Los Angeles Chargers	0-1-0	—
PHI Philadelphia Eagles	—	1-0-0
SF San Francisco 49ers	—	—
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers	—	—